Macroeconomics part 2 Flashcards
What is the goal of external stability?
The goal of external stability is achieved if Australia is living within its means and able meet its international financial obligations.
Generally this is indicated by low C.A.D to GDP ratio, sustainable in NFD and a stable exchange rate.
How do you measure External stability?
Current Account deficit
What is the CAD?
Current Account Deficit
- It is a statistical record of the financial transactions between Aus and the rest of the world.
- The CAD is one half of the Balance of Payments.
- When the Capital account is in surplus, the Current account is in deficit and approx by the same amount.
Four Sub-account of the Current Account:
Net Goods
It is the difference in total value between export credits for goods sold overseas, minus import debits for goods purchased abroad.
(credits for goods minus debits for goods)
Four Sub-accounts of the CA: Net Services
It is equal to the difference between the value of service credits received by Aus, minus service debits paid abroad.
(credits for services minus debits for services)
Four Sub-accounts of the CA: Net Primary Incomes
It is the difference in value between income credits received from overseas, minus income debits paid out abroad.
(credits for incomes minus debits for incomes)
Wages, interest, dividends, profits
Four Sub-accounts of the CA: Secondary incomes
Credits minus debits
Pensions
Credit
money received for exports sent overseas
debit
imports to aus from overseas
how do you calculate the CAD?
Net Goods + Net Services + Net Primary Incomes + Net Secondary Incomes = Overall balance on CA
note: in Aus’ case, the result turns out to be a large CAD
Balance of payments: Capital Account
capital transactions include
Net Capital Transfers (net inflow of funds to Aus by permanent migrants
and the
Net Acquisition Of Non-Produced, Non-Financial Assets (covers the excess of credits over debits for the sale of copyright, patents, franchises and trademarks of a tangible nature)
Balance of Payments: financial account
Records transactions involving foreign financial assets and liabilities.
Records excess total credits for investment funds received by Aus from abroad, minus total debits for investment by Aus abroad.
What is the Exchange rate
the exchange rate measures the price/value of Australian dollar when swapped for other currencies.
As previously had a fixed exchange rate system, now uses a floating exchange rate.
What is the Floating Exchange rate
Where the Aus dollar is decided in the foreign exchange market by currency buyers (demanders) and currency sellers (suppliers)
What does it mean/ happens when the exchange rate appreciates?
when there is less selling and more buying of the currency following:
- stronger than expected trade figures
- terms of trade improvements
- strong overseas eco activity
- rises in domestic interest rates
- improved price competitiveness of our economy against overseas.
What does it mean/ happens when the exchange rate depreciates?
when there is more selling and less buying of the dollar following:
- periods of rapid domestic economic growth.
- strong consumer and business local confidence
- local interest rate cuts
- global recession
- depressed commodity prices
- release of worse than expected trade figures
What is a consequence of a floating exchange rate?
the market forces can create instability and unpredictability in exchange rate for the AUD
What are the two measures of the exchange rate?
- the TWI (trade weighted Index)
- Individual exchange rates
What is the NFD
Net Foreign Debt
Indicates Aus’ external position.
The difference between what Aus has borrowed from and owes overseas minus what Aus has lent or invested abroad.
NFD - Public sector or official Government borrowing component
The net debt of the Federal and State Governments.
It is what taxpayers have to payback and is a burden on the economy.
As it increases it becomes a burden to future generations and large debt repayments.
NFD - Private sector or non-official borrowing
The net debt of companies and individuals.
This debt has been borrowed in the market place and usually for sound/smart economic and business reasons.
Relationship between CAD and NFD
A CAD rise means Aus has a greater reliance on overseas borrowing and foreign capital inflow.
Increased borrowing, makes income repayments heavier, causing CAD to increase.
Relationship between AUD and CAD
When the AUD rises, exports become less attractive abroad while to us, imports are more attractive. Thus, CAD tends to rise. The bigger the CAD, the greater downward pressure on the AUD , helping to reduce CAD as exports become more attractive against imports.
Relationship between the NFD and the AUD
Large and unsustainable rise in unproductive foreign debt depresses the exchange rate, means bigger interest repayments abroad.
Involves selling more AUD in the foreign exchange market.
A lower exchange rate causes burden of debt servicing to become heavier when measured in terms of overseas currencies.
demand side factor impact on External Stability
Generally any demand factor (C,I,G,G,X,M) that would cause an increase in AD will tend to cause an increase in consumption spending, a part of which must be imports.
therefore ^ in AD = ^ M = ^ CAD