Macroeconomics Flashcards
More SPICEE than a Ghost Pepper
Give four costs of Globalisation
- Free trade damages developing economies without comparative advantage, meaning businesses could shut down leading to structural unemployment
- Environmental damage from greater trade
- Outsourcing prices out unskilled labour in developed economies
- MNCs exploit land and capital of developing economies
Give four benefits of Globalisation
- MNCs train workers, bring capital to developing economies and generate foreign exchange
- Migration increases, labour gaps get filled, more income tax
- Lower input costs (outsourcing) means lower prices for goods
- Higher consumer choice
Give four causes of Globalisation
- Lower transport costs and lower communication costs (development of E-Commerce)
- Creation of GATT (1947) and subsequent fall in trade barriers
- More transnational firms (MNCs) mean more FDI, increasing capital flows and global links
- Fall of socialism, restoration of capitalism in China (1991)
Define - Globalisation
The integration of the world’s national economies into a single international market
Define - Containerisation
The process of standardising shipping containers and shipping equipment (Introduced in 1956)
20 Mark Question Breakdown
14 (3 Analysis points) - Application inc.
6 (3 Evaluation points)
24 minutes = 17 Minutes Analysis + 7 Minutes Evaluation
Give the names and countries involved in four trade blocs
- ASEAN - Southeast Asian Economies
- CIS - Post-Soviet States
- NAFTA - North American Economies
- EU - European Economies
Give four thing which affect the pattern of trade
- Creation of Trade Blocs
- Former soviet countries with low production costs being opened up to trade in 1991
- Newly industrialised countries such as China and India who have increased their share of manufacturing exports due to low cost production
- Shifting exchange rates
Define - Trade Creation
The increase in economic welfare from joining a free trade area, such as a customs union
Define - Trade Diversion
Where trade is diverted from a more efficient exporter towards a less efficient one by the formation of a free trade agreement
Give four benefits to specialisation and trade
- Specialisation by comparative advantage results in higher world output
- Economies of scale (able to sell to bigger market)
- More innovation and consumer choice
- Greater competition
Define - The Heckscher-Ohlin Model
The model says that countries will export products that use their abundant and cheap factors (endowments) of production and import products that use the country’s’ scarce factors
Define - The Linder Hypothesis
A theory that suggests nations with similar demands would develop similar industries. These nations would then trade with each other in similar, but differentiated goods
Define - Factor Endowments
The amount of land, labor, capital, and entrepreneurship that a country possesses and can exploit for manufacturing
Give four costs to specialisation and trade
- Countries can become overdependent
- Structural unemployment as industry priorities shift
- Lacking diversification in exports increases risk
- Benefits may just go to developed economies or the rich, increasing inequality
Define - Absolute Advantage
The ability to produce a good more efficiently (e.g with less labour)
Define - Comparative Advantage
The ability to produce a good relatively more efficiently (e.g at a lower opportunity cost)
Define - The Law of Comparative Advantage
A theory arguing that there may be gains from trade arising when countries (or individuals) specialize in the production of goods or services in which they have comparative advantage
What is the formula for the opportunity cost of producing an additional unit of Item A where Item A is one of two items an economy can produce?
Item B/Item A
Given a table which shows the cost per unit of producing two goods in two countries in labour hours how do you find the maximum amount of good A Country A can produce given one unit of resource?
Swap the cost of good A in Country A with good B in Country A
What is the key nature of a country’s PPF which has absolute advantage in both goods relation to the other country?
Their PPF’s never intersect, the one with absolute advantage is always greater than the other
Give the default comparative advantage table
Australia: 300 sleds or 2 clarinets and Brazil : 200 sleds or 1 clarinet. Brazil had lowest opportunity cost in sleds, and have absolute advantage in neither
Give four WTO (with their primary mandate being to liberalise trade) rules
- Not allowed to discriminate unless part of free-trade areas and customs unions
- Quotas are not allowed
- If one county benefits from another’s’ tariff reductions, they must reduce tariffs themselves
- Fair competition and few barriers
Give 4 different types of trading blocs
- Preferential trade area, giving preferential access to certain products
- Free trade area where trade barriers are eliminated between them
- Customs Union is free trade area with CET
- Economic and Monetary Union with fixed exchange rate/single currency and common macroeconomic policies
Define - CET
Common external tariffs placed on imports from outside a free trade area
Give three factors of a Common Market
- Common law
- Common taxation
- Free movement of labour, capital etc…
Define - Hot Money
Capital which is frequently transferred between financial institutions in an attempt to maximize interest or capital gain
Give four conflicts between Trade Blocs and WTO
- Trade Blocs could distort world trade
- Trade Blocs are discriminatory
- Trade Blocs have conflicts with each other
- WTO losing power at the hands of large blocs and agreements
Define - Breadbasket/Ricebowl
xAn area of high fertility, soil and good climate which allows for ideal agricultural growing conditions
Define - Quota
An agreement by a country to limit its exports to another country to a given quantity
Describe the steps to drawing a tariff diagram
- Draw Price and Quantity axis
- Draw domestic supply and demand
- Draw world price across as world supply beneath equilibrium point
- Draw tariff price across as world+tariff supply beneath equilibrium point but above world supply
- Area between two prices and domestic supply is gain in producer surplus, loss in consumer surplus
- Area between two prices and new import quantities is gain in government revenue, loss in consumer surplus
- Remaining two triangles between prices either side of government revenue are deadweight loss
Describe the steps to drawing a quota diagram
- Draw Price and Quantity axis
- Draw world domestic supply and domestic demand
- Draw world price below equilibrium, marking the difference which imports must make up between domestic supply and domestic demand
- Shift out domestic supply by the quota amount to get world supply
- Draw this new equilibrium and hence find the new higher price, new quantity supplied domestically and smaller quantity of imports
- Foreign producers get the square between the two prices, and the two new import amounts
- Domestic producers get the trapezium between the two prices and domestic supply as extra producer surplus
- Two triangles left between prices are deadweight loss
Give four restrictions to trade
- Quotas
- Tariffs
- Subsidies to domestic producers
- Non-tariff barriers (administrative barriers)
Give four reasons for protectionism
- Anti-dumping measures
- Response to large trade deficits
- Infant industries
- Protect key/politically strategic industries
Give two effects of protectionism as stated by OECD
- Import barriers raise domestic prices through higher costs for intermediate inputs
- Each dollar of increased protection leads to a drop of 66 cents in GDP
Define - Current Account
The account made up of trade in goods, trade in services, income from investment and employment and transfers
Give the four components of the current account
- Trade in goods
- Trade in services
- Primary income (UK earnings from direct investment)
- Secondary income (General government transfers
Define - Capital and Financial Account
The account which records the flows of capital and finance between the UK and the rest of the world (FDI - Long Term Flow, Portfolio Investment - Short Term Flow)
Define - FDI
The net inflows of investment to acquire a lasting management interest in an enterprise operating in a foreign economy
Define - Portfolio Investment
The purchase of shares and bonds in international capital markets
Define - Reserve Assets
Foreign financial assets that are controlled by monetary authorities, used to finance deficits and deal with imbalances
What are the three components of the Balance of Payments?
- Current Account
- Capital and Financial Account
- Net errors and omissions
Give four factors that are likely to worsen a current account
- Consumer led economic growth (through expansionary fiscal or monetary policy) which boosts consumer spending on imports
- High inflation in domestic economy
- High relative wages = low relative competitive exports = high relative imports
- Low labour productivity = low relative competitive exports = high relative imports
Give three factors that are likely to increase a surplus on the financial account
- Having a higher rate of return on investment domestically than abroad means more foreign ownership of domestic assets than domestic ownership of foreign assets
- Having lower risk domestically with investments than abroad means more foreign ownership of domestic assets than domestic ownership of foreign assets
- A weaker domestic currency (£1:$1.20 -> £1.20:£120) makes foreign currency more expensive, making investment less profitable, meaning less domestic ownership of foreign assets and more foreign ownership of domestic assets
When does a current account deficit matter? Give four instances
- If it is a large proportion of GDP
- If the country has other liabilities which also characterise its external debt
- If trust in the country breaks down and they can no longer secure financing (borrowing)
- If the country are not using such borrowing to finance investment for long-term growth but rather just consumption
A current account deficit is financed by a surplus on the capital account and the _ which this surplus builds up
Liabilities
Give three policies which can reduce a trade deficit or prevent it from getting worse
- Contractionary aggregate demand policy to reduce expenditure and push domestic producers to turn away from suppressed domestic markets and to export markets
- Protectionist policies such as subsidies to domestic producers or trade barriers
- Devaluation means foreign currency is more expensive, making import prices go up. Also domestic currency is cheaper for foreigners, meaning export demand goes up
- Supply-side policy with relative unit labour cost improvements, increasing productivity or reducing wages
Evaluate contractionary policy as a means to reduce trade deficits, give two points
- Only short run concern, does not increase competitiveness
2. Raised interest rates increase demand for pounds , raising exchange rate and making imports cheaper
Evaluate devaluation as a means to reduce trade deficits, give two points
- J-Curve, in the SR devaluation makes deficit worse as ML doesn’t hold, in the long run it does which makes deficit get better
- If PED for a product is low, devaluation is irrelevant and people will still import that like US and oil (past)
3.
Define - Relative Unit Labour Costs
Wages/Output relative to other countries
Give two examples of supply side policy to reduce wages through increasing labour
- Immigration
- Reducing structural unemployment by education/training where there are skill mismatches or relocation programmes if geographical immobility is a problem
- Frictional unemployment can be reduced if welfare payments are made less generous, so that search times between jobs are reduced -
- Voluntary unemployment can be reduced if tax rates are cut such that income from employment increases
Give four examples of supply side policy to reduce costs through improving productvitity
- Increase labour productivity Y/L through education, training and healthcare
- Improve capital productivity Y/K through making more RnD friendly regulation or offering subsidies -
- Reducing a government size (expenditure) through privatisation of firms such that those business are subject to market forces and the profit motive and hence become more productive
- Increasing competition in markets either through cutting costs through deregulation or increasing competition through demerging monopolies
Evaluate supply side policy, give four evaluation points
- Spending on education and healthcare doesn’t necessarily imply that it improves , money could be wasted
- Some countries have proved productive with high government intervention in the past
- Supply-side reform takes a long time as there is time-lag, consider education for example
- Supply-side reform meets political opposition
Explain why the balance of payments must always balance
If a country is a net exporter and thus have a surplus on the current account this means that they are acquiring more of foreign capital than foreign countries are acquiring of theirs. Because capital assets must always return to their country of origin to be invested, this gives said domestic country more finance to purchase and invest in foreign assets than foreign owners finance to purchase and invest in domestic assets. Because the financial/capital account is foreign ownership of domestic assets - domestic ownership of foreign assets there is net capital outflow and a deficit on this account which balances the surplus on the current account. Pounds out = pounds in
Give four implications of global imbalances
- Possibility of financial crises and contagion
- A reduction of future productive
capacity and growth rates for nations who are running financial account deficits - Accumulating foreign currency reserves cost in the form of the returns foregone by holding them in the form of traditional reserve assets rather than higher-yielding assets
- Global overproduction is carefully balanced by global over consumption, when this balance breaks a crisis ensues and growth slows down
Define - Dutch Disease
the negative impact on an economy of anything that gives rise to a sharp inflow of foreign currency, such as the discovery of large oil reserves
Give four factors which influence exchange rates
- Exports and imports
- Speculation - Speculation of an increase in the value of a currency increases its demand
- Relative inflation rates - Low inflation makes products cheaper which encourages demand for said currency to buy products
- Relative interest rates - High interest encourages demand for said currency
Give four likely effects of an decrease in the exchange rate
- Imports get more expensive and exports are cheaper
- More internationally competitive
- Cheaper to purchase currency and hence investment could increase in domestic country
- Expensive imports leads to higher domestic demand which means firms have less incentive to cut costs, leading to inflation
Give four benefits to the Euro
- Transparency as producers and tourists can more easily compare the prices of international goods, services and resources
- Lack of exchange rate fluctuations creates certainty and the ability to predict costs, which increases investment
- Trade creation as a single currency removes the exchange rate obstacle to trade, boosting exports
- Countries can’t use devaluation which means that they can’t induce inflationary pressures
Evaluate the benefits to the Euro
- The easy comparison of prices and hence downward pressure on prices through making firms have to be more efficient is partly cancelled out by transport costs across the eurozone
- Certainty and investment is the most significant benefit because it results in job creation, improved competitiveness and higher growth rates
- Trade diversion takes place due to CET and thus trade may just be between inefficient producers inside the Eurozone
- There is unemployment and a fall in GDP in the short-run if you can’t devalue the currency to improve the balance of trade
Give four costs to the Euro
- Eurozone isn’t an Optimal Currency Area
- Loss of independence of monetary policy which prevents economies from dealing with asymmetric shocks
- Can’t capitalise on a floating exchange rate to devalue a currency in response to crises
- Loss of fiscal independence which means large budget deficits are penalised
Evaluate the costs to the Euro
- Monetary policy between England and the Eurozone is similar
- Lack of fiscal independence may be good to prevent countries from generating budget deficits which they cannot pay back
- Benefits of devaluation are only temporary or cause inflation via the increased cost of imports
Define - Optimum Currency Area
A geographical region that has a fairly homogenous economy that would cope with a single currency and a single interest rate
What are the three key criteria for a successful currency union?
- Labour mobility across the region
- Capital mobility and price and wage flexibility
- Must be cyclical convergence (all countries on same phase of business cycle)
Give three measures of competitiveness
- Relative unit labour costs - Rising costs mean UK is becoming less competitive
- Relative export prices - Rising relative export prices mean export prices in UK are rising faster or falling slower than those in other countries the UK trades with, making UK less competitive
- Export prices to import prices - If export prices are rising significantly faster than import prices then the country is likely to be losing international competitiveness
Give four factors influencing competitiveness
- Exchange rate - Rise in UK exchange rates make UK goods less price competitive abroad (depends on PED, low PED means little change) however if firms keep foreign currency prices the same, international competitiveness will not change however domestic profits will decrease
- Productivity Rises in UK’s productivity relative to main trading partners will increase competitiveness
- If wage and nonwage costs ie. pensions and taxes go down, UK will be more internationally competitive
- Higher regulation increases industry costs which reduce international competitiveness
Define - SPICEE
Strong Pound Imports Cheap Exports Expensive
Define - Value of Exports and Imporve
Price of Exports/Imports x Quantity of Exports/Imports
Define - Expenditure Reducing Policy
Government policies to reduce the level of aggregate demand in order to reduce imports and boost exports
Define - Expenditure Switching Policy
Government policies to switch production currently being sold domestically, to exports
Define - Depreciation
A natural fall in the value of the exchange rate
Define - Appreciation
A natural increase in the value of the exchange rate
Define - Currency Controls
Controls on the purchase of foreign currency by domestic citizens and firms
Define - Marshal-Lerner Condition
This condition states that the value of imports only falls and the value of exports only rises after the depreciation of a currency if the PED of Imports + PED of Exports is greater than one, meaning they are relatively elastic which would allow price changes of imports and exports to be easily responded to with quantity changes (PEDx + PEDm > 1)
Define - Absolute Poverty (World Bank)
Those living on below $1.90 at purchasing power parity per day at constant 2011 prices
Define - Relative Poverty
Situation obtaining if household income falls below X% of median adjusted household disposable income (X=60 in the UK)
Define - Gini-Coefficient
A proportion and measure of variance which shows how close to perfect equality a country is and hence how evenly its income is distributed
What happens to areas A and B, and the Gini-Coefficient as income is redistributed to the top of the earnings ladder?
Area A gets bigger, Area B get’s smaller, and so A in proportion to A+B is bigger. The Lorenz curve moves closer to the line of perfect inequality and so gini-coefficient is greater
What are the x and opposite y axes on a lorenz curve diagram?
X-axis is cumulative share of people from lowest to highest incomes
Y-axis is cumulative share of income earned
What is Millennium Goal 1?
Half the people in extreme poverty and hunger by 2015, this was achieved in 2010. A new target was set in 2015 to eradicate poverty by 2025
What is Millennium Goal 2?
Universal primary education (100% children complete primary schooling)
What is Millennium Goal 3?
Gender equality (eliminate gender disparity)
What is Millennium Goal 4?
Reduce child mortality by 2/3 by 2015
What is Millennium Goal 5?
Reduce maternal mortality ratio by 3/4 by 2015, target still not met
What is Millennium Goal 6?
Combat HIV, Malaria, etc..
What is Millennium Goal 7?
Ensure environmental sustainability (half the amount of people without access to sustainable drinking water) some progress has been made
What is Millennium Goal 8?
Develop global partnership for Development (ODA, Debt Sustainability and Market Access) some progress has been made, not much though
Give four measurements for standard of living
- GNI/Capita at PPP
- HDI
- Doctors relative to population
Define - GNI
GNI, Gross National Income, is GDP + Net Income from Abroad
What factors of standard of living does GNI not cover and hence make it unsuitable as a measurement
- Social indicators
- Level of inequality
- Informal sector
What did Kuznets believe to be the relationship between development and inequality?
He believed that over time, the first movers would have higher incomes which would increase inequality, however over times all the others catch up and hence suggests that capitalism tends to reduce inequality over time
What did Picketty believe to be the relationship between development and inequality?
He suggests Kuznets looked at a specific period of time around the first world war where labor had died and thus was scarce, increasing wages for low skilled jobs and so reducing inequality. He looked at inequality after, at around 1980, and empirically itbegins to increase again
Give four reasons why income inequality has gotten worse from 1974 in the UK
- Changing structure of the economy led to the elimination of middle income jobs for the masses and the creation of high and low paid jobs
- Trade unions had their power suppressed by Thatcher after 1979, meaning labour cannot bargain for higher wages
- Skilled immigration ending up in unskilled lowers unskilled wages while raising skilled wages and hence increasing the gap
- The welfare state means that employers don’t have to pay employees as much as they would usually have to as the employee wage is topped up by the government. This increases the employer’s earnings and decreases the employee’s earnings (only pre-tax transfer gini-coefficient will show greater inequality)
30 Mark Question Breakdown
21 (4 Analysis points) - Application Inc.
9 (4 Evaluation points)
36 Minutes = 25 Minutes Analysis + 11 Minutes Evaluation
What are on the x and y axes on Kuznets and Picketty’s displays of the relationship between capitalism and inequality
X-axis - Development
Y-axis - Gini-coefficient
Define - Capitalism
Private ownership of resources and free enterprise
Give four reasons why inequality is an essential ingredient of capitalism
- Private ownership of resources means those who own them will tend to become relatively richer to those who don’t
- More productive workers are paid more which gives them incentive to be productive
- Entrepreneurship is fueled by a profit motive and hence the more innovative and successful the more profit, providing this incentive for firms to improve
- Private ownership of property ensures inheritance which solidifies inequality
Give three reasons as to why inequality may not be an essential ingredient of capitalism
- Degree of inequality could vary between different capitalist systems
- Could be reduced by government policy
- Capitalism is reducing global inequality through globalisation and the spread of resources + greater market access
Define - Low Level Equilibrium Trap
Countries with low income per capita have less savings, which in turn means low investment, limited capital which restricts growth and keeps income per capita low
Define - Rostow’s Stages of Economic Growth
A process described by Rostow, which set out five stages through which he claimed that all developing countries would pass
Explain Rostow’s Five Stages of Economic Growth
- Traditional society - Low investment in agrarian economy. Income per capita is static
- The preconditions period - Increases in agricultural productivity, allowing resources to be released. Important that resources devoted to provision of infrastructure
- Take-off - 20/30 year period of growth, with investment rising relative to GDP. Emergence of entrepreneurs. A flow of funds for investment is most needed at this stage
- Drive to maturity - New sectors emerge to complement leading sectors. Investment is relatively high proportion of GDP
- Age of mass consumption - Fully diversified, consumption takes highest proportion of GDP.
Define - Dependency Theory
The notion that the countries of the world can be divided into core and periphery, and that countries in the core developed by exploiting those in the periphery
Give three reasons why growth may lead to development
- Growth results in higher income which allows people to increase savings, which increase investment, which can then be taken by entrepreneurs and invested to improve the quality of infrastructure
- Growth results in higher incomes and more tax revenue which results in increases in spending on health services, lowering mortality rates, which would have an impact on HDI
- Countries lifted from absolute poverty (higher income per capita) from growth directly experience improvements in development due to lower crime and less poverty
Give two reasons why growth may not lead to development
- Growth can increase inequality through the increased wealth being unevenly distributed
- Growth that is not sustainable means that when it can no longer sustained development gains could be reversed, for example the