Macroeconomics 13-18 Flashcards
13. The level of overall economic activity - 18. Supply-side policies
Gross-domestic product (GDP)
Total value of goods produced in an economy over a given time period
Income method
Measures the value of all income earned in a country from wages, rent etc.
Output method
calculates the total output produced in a country
Expenditure method
Calculates GDP by adding up the total money spent in an economy
Gross national income (GNI)
GDP + net property income (current transfers) from abroad
Real GDP/GNI
Adjusted to the effects of inflation
GDP/GNI per capita
GDP or GNI divided by the amount of people in a nation – measure of living standards.
Main macroeconomics goals (5)
- A steady rate of increase of national income (economic growth). 2. Low level of unemployment. 3. low and stable rate of inflation. 4. sustainable level of gov debt. 5. equitable distribution of income
Leakages in circular flow of economy
Savings, taxes, imports
Injections in circular flow of economy
Government spending (goods and services), investments, exports
Problems with measuring national income (5)
- inaccuracies, 2. unrecorded activity and parallel economy, 3. external costs, 4. quality of life concerns (ppl work longer for GDP growth), 5. composition of output (weapons doesn’t benefit consumer, think USSR)
Calculation: GDP adjusted for inflation
GDP per capita / living standard
Calculation: GDP growth
new - old / old x 100%
Phases of the business cycle (4) and GDP
Recovery (increasing), boom (height), recession (decreasing), trough (low)
Aggregate demand
Total expenditure on consumption, investment, government spending and net export (AD=C+I+G+X-M)
Government spending
Spending by governments on goods and services such as health, education or law enforcement (not transfer payments)
Price level (APL)
Overall level of prices including inflation
What causes changes in consumption? (5)
- Changes in income, 2. Changes in interest rates, 3. Changes in wealth, 4. Changes in consumer confidence/expectations, 5. Household indebtedness
What causes changes in investments? (6)
- Changes in interest rates, 2. Changes in business taxes, 3. Technological change, 4. Changes in expectations/business confidence, 5. Level of corporate indebtedness, 6. Changes in national income
What causes changes in government spending?
Depends on political and economic priorities of the government. If government spending increases, AD shifts to the right
What causes changes in net exports?
Foreign incomes and inflation (export), national income (import)
Aggregate supply
Total output, total supply of goods and services produced in an economy at a given time period at an overall price level
Supply shock
Unexpected event that affects supply, sudden change in price – generally negative (e.g. hurricane destroys all factories)
SRAS shape and explanation
Upward sloping. Higher market prices, increase in output. No change in prices of FoPs in SR -> larger profit margins. Supply constrains due to diminishing returns and scarcity
What causes shifts in AS
Changes in costs of production: 1. wage rates, 2. cost of raw materials, 3. price of imports, 4. government indirect taxes or subsidies. Supply-side shocks. (ANYTHING BUT PRICE)
LRAS – two schools of thought
New classical (monetarist), Keynesian
Monetarist / new classical theory
minimal government intervention, focuses on marcoecon effects of supply of money and central banking, biggest enemy is INFLATION –> MAINTAIN PRICE STABILITY
New classical LRAS
Perfectly inelastic at full employment level of output. Potential output is based on quantity and quality of FoPs and not price level
Keynesian theory
State and private sector play a role in balancing business cycles, AD is driving factor, gov needs to save money, biggest enemy is UNEMPLOYMENT
Keynesian LRAS
stages: 1) Perfectly elastic, costs don’t rise due to spare capacity. 2) approaches potential output, higher prices for FoPs -> price levels rise. 3) Impossible to increase production, FoPs fully in use
What shifts the SRAS curve? (3)
- Price of labour, 2. Price of inputs, 3. Taxation and legislation
What shifts the LRAS?
Changes in quality or quantity of FoPs (improved technology, increased labour capital, improved production process, better efficiency, research and development)
Short-run equilibrium
AD=SRAS, no pressure on price level
Long-run equilibrium
AD=LRAS
Inflationary gap
Economy is at an equilibrium at an output higher than full employment level = only possible in SR
Deflationary gap
Economy is at an equilibrium lower than full employment level
New classical supply side LRAS
Changes in AD will only affect PL. AD shifts to right –> Rising prices hollows out wages and expectations force wages up –> final price for output decreases –> SRAS moves to left. Full employment at higher price level.
Keynesian supply side LRAS
LR equilibrium can occur at different levels below full employment (depending on AD)
Demand side policies (describe + two categories)
Focus on changing AD and counteracting effects of SR fluctuations in real GDP = stabilisation policies. Fiscal policy and monetary policy
Government budget
A country’s planned (forecasted) revenues and its planned expenditures over a period of time (one year usually)
Sources of gov revenue
Taxes, sale of goods & services, sale of gov owned assets and property
Budget surplus
Money left over after covering expenses
Budget deficit
Expenditure is larger than revenue (borrowing money by selling gov bonds)
Fiscal policy (definition + three categories)
Set of government’s policies relating to its expenditure and taxation rates to influence AD. 1. Capital expenditures (roads etc.), 2. Current expenditure (wages etc.), 3. Transfer payments (pensions etc.)
Aims of fiscal policy (6)
- Low and stable rate of inflation, 2. low unemployment, 3. stable economic environment for growth, 4. reduce fluctuations in business cycle, 5. Equitable distribution of income, 6. External balance between export revenue and import expenditure
Expansionary fiscal policy
Keynesian demand management to INCREASE AD: lower income taxes (C), lower corporate taxes (I), increase government expenditure (G)
Contractionary fiscal policy
To DECREASE AD: increasing income tax (C), increasing corporate tax (I), reducing government spending (G)
Trade-off in expansionary and contractionary fiscal policy
Lower inflation means higher unemployment, higher inflation means lower unemployment
Strengths of fiscal policy (2)
- Effective in the LR at dealing with recession, 2. Ability to target specific sectors of the economy
Limitations of fiscal policy (6)
- Time lags (changing policy), 2. Political pressure (unpopular to increase taxes), 3. Sustainable debt (expansionary is expensive), 4. Effect on net export (increase in gov spending, increase in interest rates –> bad exchange rate), 5. Crowding-out effect (same as before except firms can’t invest), 6. Inability to achieve specific targets
Governmental debt and costs of having high levels of it
Accumulation of all budget deficits, expressed as % of GDP. Debt servicing increases, to maintain same Level of services gov raises taxes –> less output. Decrease in gov response (to sudden events e.g. covid)
Monetary policy
Official policies to govern the supply of money + level of interest rates
Aims of monetary policy (5)
- low inflation, 2. low unemployment, 3. stable economic growth in LR, 4. Reduce fluctuations in business cycle, 5. Achieve external balance between export and import
Expansionary monetary policy
To INCREASE AD: lower cost of money, lower interest rates. Less unemployment, higher price level, increase in GDP growth.
Contractionary monetary policy
To DECREASE AD and lower inflation: higher interest rates, less consumption and investments. Increasing unemployment but less inflation.
Strengths of monetary policies (4)
- Relatively quick to put into place, 2. No political intervention – not reliant on popularity, 3. an absence of crowding-out, 4. ability to make small and precise changes
Limitations of monetary policies (4)
- Time lags, 2. Ineffectiveness (when low interest rates cannot be lowered), 3. low consumer and business confidence (lowering interest rates may not increase AD), 4. inability to target specific sectors
Calculation: real interest rate
nominal - inflation
Supply-side policies (main goal + two categories)
To increase the potential output of the economy by increasing quality or quantity of FoPs. Market orientated policies (markets operate freely) or interventionist policies.
Aims of supply-side policies (5)
- Long-term economic growth, 2. Improved competition and efficiency, 3. Reduced labour costs and unemployment through increased labour market responsibility, 4. International competitiveness (low inflation), 5. Increased incentives for firms to invest and innovate (reducing costs)
Main idea of market-orientated supply-side policies
To increase incentives for labour to work harder and more productively, and incentive for firms to increase productivity
What are market-orientated supply-side policies? (7)
- Reduction in income taxes, 2. Reduction in corporate taxes, 3. labour market reforms, 4. Deregulation, 5. Privatisation, 6. Policies to increase competition, 7. Trade liberalisation
Limitations of market-orientated supply-side policies
People may choose to work less with less taxes and it may benefit those who are rich, reduction in living standards, negative externalities, monopoly creation by privatisation, time lags
Interventionist supply-side policies (5)
- Investment in human capital (education and training), 2. Research and development, 3. Provision of infrastructure, 4. Direct support for business / industrial policies, 5. Improved information (trade fairs)
Limitations to interventionist supply-side policies
Expensive, dependent on ideological aims of government, time lags, controversies regarding education (for whom, what resources allocated, etc.)
Supply side policies are __ policies but have __ effects on demand side
Long run, short run
Connection between supply-side and demand-side policies (2)
- Reduction in taxes and corporate taxes will also have expansionary fiscal effects –> Econ growth, unemployment reduced –> inflationary pressure, 2. Expansionary fiscal policies may have supply-side effects –> increased gov spending leads to increase in quality and quantity of FoPs