Macroeconomic key terms Flashcards
AAA credit rating
The best credit rating that can be given to a corporation’s or a government’s bonds, effectively indicating that the risk of default is negligible
Accelerator effect
Where planned capital investment is linked positively to the past and expected growth of consumer demand or national income
Aggregate supply shock
Either an inflation shock or a shock to potential national output; adverse aggregate supply shocks of both types reduce output and can increase the rate of inflation
Animal spirits
The state of confidence or pessimism held by consumers and businesses
Appreciation
A rise in the market value of one exchange rate against another
Austerity
Economic policy aimed at reducing a government’s deficit (or borrowing). Austerity can be achieved through increases in government spending - primarily via tax rises and/or a reduction in government spending or future spending commitments
Automatic stabilisers
Automatic fiscal changes as the economy moves through stages of the business/trade/economic cycle
Bank run
When a large number of people suspect that a bank may go bankrupt and withdraw their deposits. Bank runs are rare, one happened with the Northern Rock in 2007
Bond
Both companies and governments can issue bonds. The issue of new government debt is done by the central bank and involves selling debt to capital markets
Brain drain
The movement of highly skilled people from their own country to another nation
BRIC economies
The BRIC grouping - Brazil, Russia, India, China - shorthand for the rise of emerging markets. The BRICs have a bigger share of world trade than the USA
Bubble
When the prices of securities or other assets rise so sharply and at such a sustained rate that they exceed valuations justified by fundamentals, making a sudden collapse likely (at which point the bubble “bursts”)
Budget deficit
Occurs when government spending is greater than tax revenues. Reducing the deficit can be achieved by tax increases or cuts in government spending or a period of economic growth which brings about a rise in direct and indirect tax revenues
Business confidence
Expectations about the future of the economy -vital in influencing business decisions about how much to spend on new capital goods
Capacity utilisation
Measures how much of the productive potential of the economy is being used. Utilisation falls during a recession leading to a rise in spare capacity
Capital market
A stock or bond market where firms can raise money for investment purposes
Capital stock
The value of the total stock of capital inputs in the economy
Capital-labour substitution
Replacing workers with machines in a bid to increase productivity and reduce the unit cost of production. This can lead to structural unemployment
Claimant Count
The number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits
Closed economy
An economy operating without imports and exports - i.e. closed to global trade
Comparative advantage
Refers to the relative advantage that one country or producer has over another. Countries can benefit from specialising in and exporting the product(s) for which it has the lowest opportunity cost of supply
Constant prices
Constant prices tells us that the data has been inflation adjusted
Consumer confidence
Expectations about the future including interest rates, incomes and jobs
Consumer durables
Products such as washing machines that are not used up immediately when consumed and which provide a flow of services over time
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Is the government’s preferred measure of inflation
Corporation tax
A tax on the profits made by companies
Cost push inflation
An increase in the price level caused by a sustained increase in costs of production
Credit crunch
Where banks reduce lending due to falling confidence that loans will be repaid
Creeping inflation
Small rises in the general price level over a long period
Current Account
The overall balance of credits minus debits for trade in goods, trade in services, investment income and current transfers
Current Account deficit
The amount by which money relating to trade, investment etc. going out of a country is more than the amount coming in. A current account defict implies a net fall of demand in a country’s circular flow
Current Account surplus
The amount by which money relating to trade, investment etc. going into a country is more than the amount leaving. A current account surplus implies a net increase of demand in a country’s circular flow
Cyclical trade deficit
A trade deficit that arises purely due to changes in the economy’s cycle, for example, many countries run a trade deficit when their economy is growing strongly
Cyclical unemployment
Unemployment caused by a lack of aggregate demand for goods and services, where national output < potential output leading to a negative output gap
Default
Occurs when a borrower has broken the terms of a loan or other debt, for example, if a borrower misses a payment
Deflation
Where inflation falls below 0%
Depreciation
A fall in the market value of one exchange rate against another
Depression
Used to describe a severe recession which may become a prolonged downturn in the economy and where a nation’s GDP falls by at least 10 per cent
Deregulation
Reducing barriers to entry in order to make a market more competitive
Discouraged workers
People often out of work for a long time who give up on job search
Discretionary fiscal policy
Deliberate attempts to affect aggregate demand using changes in government spending, direct and indirect taxation and borrowing
Disinflation
A persistent fall in the general price level of goods and services
Disposable income
Gross income less income tax and national insurance contributions plus cash welfare benefits. Disposable income is the money that comes into a household from various sources, including welfare benefits but after taxes on income
Double-dip recession
When an economy goes into recession twice without a full recovery in between
Dumping
When a producer in one country exports a product to another at a price below the price that it charges in its home market or below the costs of supply
Economic cycle
Variations in the annual rate of growth of an economy over time
Economic growth
An increase in the real value of goods and services produced in a country or area as measured by the annual % change in real national output. Also a long-run increase in a country’s productive capacity
Economic shocks
Unpredictable events such as volatile prices for oil, gas and foodstuffs
Economic stability
When growth, prices and unemployment do not change much from year to year
Economically active
Those who are unemployed and actively seeking a new job
Economically inactive
Those who are of working age but are neither in work nor actively seeking work
Emerging markets
The financial markets of developing countries
Exchange rate
The rate at which one currency can be exchanged for another
Expansionary monetary policy
A relaxation of monetary policy means an attempt to use an expansionary monetary policy to boost aggregate demand, output and jobs - includes lower interest rates
Expectations
How we expect the future to unfold
Expenditure-switching policies
Policies that are designed to ‘switch’ expenditure from imports to domestically produced goods in order to improve the balance of payments and stimulate GDP
Export revenue
Sales from selling goods and services overseas, an injection of demand
Financial assets
For consumers, the main financial assets are property, pensions, equities, unit trusts and cash
Fine-tuning
Changes in monetary policy or fiscal policy designed to gradually manage the level of aggregate demand and prices e.g. small changes in policy interest rates/taxation
Fiscal austerity or fiscal tightening
Fiscal austerity refers to decisions by a government to reduce the amount of government borrowing (i.e. cut the size of a fiscal deficit) over a period of years
Fiscal/budget deficit
When government expenditure is higher than tax revenue
Fiscal policy
A government’s policy regarding taxation and public spending. It can be expansionary/loose (with the emphasis on increased spending and lower tax revenue to boost economic activity, with the acceptance of a wider fiscal deficit) or contractionary/tight (with the emphasis on cutting spending and boosting tax revenue, resulting in slower economic activity)
Fiscal stability
Many governments seek to maintain a degree of balance between tax revenues and public sector spending. A balanced budget is one in which spending and revenue are equal
Fiscal stimulus
Government measures, normally involving increased public spending and lower direct and/or indirect taxation, aimed at giving a positive jolt to economic activity
Forecast
A prediction made about the likely future performance of an economy
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
Is investment from one country into another (normally by companies rather than governments) that involves establishing operations or acquiring tangible assets, including stakes in other businesses
Free trade
When trade is allowed without any form of restriction such as a tariff
Full capacity output
A level of national output where all available factor inputs are fully employed - this is a factor influencing the underlying growth rate (LRAS)
Full employment
When there are enough job vacancies for all the unemployed to take work
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Is the total value of output in the UK and is used to measure changes in economic activity
Gini coefficient
A measure of the extent to which groups of households, from the bottom of the income distribution upwards, receive less than an equal share of income
Globalisation
The deepening of relationships between countries of the world reflected in an increasing level of overseas trade and investment
Gross National Income (GNI)
Income generated from the resources owned by inhabitants and businesses of a given country
Government debt
The total stock of unpaid debt issued by a government. A government will normally borrow money by issuing bonds or other securities