macro case studies Flashcards

1
Q

what is the current uk base rate?

A

0.75% (check if up to date it will change)

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2
Q

what is an example of a very high interest rate?

A

argentina = around 45% (check)

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3
Q

why is argentina’s interest rates so high?

A

because their cpi inflation is expected to be almost 50% by the end of 2022 while economic growth is only forecasted to be 2%

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4
Q

what country has the highest savings ration?

A

Qatar = 58%

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5
Q

what is the UKs savings ratio

A

the savings ration surged from 5% to 25% during the first lockdown

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6
Q

who has one of the highest national debts?

A
Japan = 257% of GDP
Sudan = 210% of GDP
Greece = 207% of GDP
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7
Q

who has one of the highest trade deficits? and surpluses?

A

the USA had a trade deficit of almost a trillion dollars in 2020 while China had surplus of over $500bn in 2020

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8
Q

who has the highest per capita disposable income?

A

USA with about $55,000 per capita

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9
Q

who has one of the highest income taxes?

A

Japan with around 56% income tax

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10
Q

who has one of the highest corperation taxes?

A

Venezuela with it being around 34%

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11
Q

what was the USs fiscal deficit in 2021

A

around $2.8 trillion

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12
Q

what was the the UK’s forecasted growth looking like in 2022

A

the highest out of all the g7 countries

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13
Q

explain the link between the canadian dollar and the price of oil

A

canada is the worlds 4th largest producer of oil so when oil dropped around 60% from mid 2014 to 2015, so did the canadian dollar

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14
Q

how have oil prices increased since 2020?

A

they have increase 5x that of the low in 2020

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15
Q

give an example of austerity measures in the UK

A

the uk government cut £30bn worth of spending towards social services, housing subsidies and welfare payments from 2010 to 2019

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16
Q

what did japan experience in the 90s

A

they experienced a “lost decade” where there was stagnation and deflation

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17
Q

give an example of hysterisis and explain what is it

A

hysterisis is where the effect of something keeps happening even after the cause has gone. in 1981, unemployment rose to 3 million people due to the recession, a form of cyclical unemployment. But, unemployment kept on rising all the way until 1986, suggesting that this cyclical unemployment turned into structural unemployment

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18
Q

how has USAs gini coefficient changed over time

A

their gini coefficient has continued to rise since the 1990s

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19
Q

how much has the UK quantitative eased?

A

they have bought almost £900bn worth of bonds using QE

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20
Q

what have been the effects of trump’s tariffs?

A

Trump enforced tariffs which, as of 2020, were on almost 17% of all imported goods to the US. according to forbes, the total stock market return of these tariff announcements was -10%. it also led to a large increase in consumer costs of around $50bn. many countries also imposed retaliatory tariffs including China, who imposed $34bn worth of retaliatory tariffs

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21
Q

how has vietnam’s economic growth been in the 21st century

A

they have recorded more than 5% growth annually for every year this century until the pandemic

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22
Q

how has vietnams trade balance changed?

A

they have only started to run a trade surplus since 2010

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23
Q

what is vietnams gini coefficient

A

it has stayed around the mid 30s since the 90s

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24
Q

how has vietnams unemployment trended?

A

it has not gone above 3% in this century

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25
Q

what is the levels of fdi in vietnam?

A

the accumulated stock of FDI is almost $400bn spread over 33,000 projects

26
Q

who imports the most from vietnam?

A

the US buys the most of vietnams exports. 51% go to asia and 26% go to north america

27
Q

what is vietnams largest export?

A

in 2020, just under half of all vietnams exports were machinery equipment

28
Q

how does vietnam rank for competitiveness

A

vietnam is often in the top half of the world in competitiveness

29
Q

what is their fiscal deficit?

A

around 4% of GDP in 2022

30
Q

what is their current account?

A

5.5% surplus of their GDP

31
Q

how much did real GDP fall over pandemic

A

it dropped 9.5% in 2020 but recovered 6.8% in 2021

32
Q

how many jobs are currently unfilled?

A

1.2 million vacant jobs

33
Q

what is the current rate of youth unemployment?

A

11% - london = 18%

34
Q

what is the CPI inflation rate early 2022?

A

in january, it got tto around 6% but IMF expect it to reach around 8%

35
Q

what was the wage inflation rate end of 2021?

A

around 4.5%

36
Q

what was mean disposable income in 2020-21?

A

around £35,000

37
Q

what was uk fiscal deficit in 2020?

A

12.5% of GDP. biggest post war deficit

38
Q

what was the increase in national debt from 2019 to 2020

A

about a 25% increase

39
Q

how much did the government increase corperation tax by

A

19% to 23% for companies with profits more than £250,000 in 2023

40
Q

how much did average house prices rise in 2021

A

10%

41
Q

what is household debt in 2021

A

2 trillion, double that of 2003

42
Q

how much has Africa’s intra regional trade change?

A

it has doubled from 6% to 12% from 1990 to 2011

43
Q

what does singapore have which is considered to be the best

A

-they have the worlds largest port

44
Q

what are singapore’s restrictions on trade

A

they have one of the lowest tariff rates in the world, thus contributing to export led growth

45
Q

what is singapore’s gini coefficent

A

in 2020, it was 0.35, around the same value as the UKs

46
Q

what is their highest income tax rate?

A

it is only around the low 20%s, about under half of the UKs highest

47
Q

what is singapore’s national debt to GDP ratio?

A

it was around 130% of GDP in 2021, much higher than the UKs, but their credit rating is still AAA

48
Q

what has their economic growth rate been like due to high export led growth?

A

from 1961 to 1991, GDP per capita growth was on average around 10% a year

49
Q

how has FDI helped the transfer of skills?

A

between 1970 and 1980, when ESSO came to singapore, the % of top management being local went from 0% to 75%

50
Q

what is the UKs current unemployment?

A

3.8% - this is below the natural rate of unemployment of around 4%, suggesting a positive output gap

51
Q

what % of the uk economy is services?

A

around 80%

52
Q

what has happened to economic inactivity rate in the UK?

A

-it has risen about 1.5% to 21.4%

53
Q

why are there job vacancies in the UK?

A

employment rate has fallen to around 75%, suggesting people are leaving the work force

54
Q

how has the UK prevented structural unemployment?

A

-the offered the furlough scheme to prevent firms and industries from closing down, thus keeping long term unemployment at just 1%

55
Q

what is evidence that the UK is experiencing cost-push inflation?

A

producer price inflation is almost 12%

56
Q

how low is UK productivity?

A

about 20% below the average of the other g7 countries

57
Q

how has inequlity increased in the UK?

A

0.34 in 2010 to 2020, but now it is 0.36

58
Q

How much of world GDP do emerging markets and developing countries hold?

A

58%

59
Q

What is singapores exports to gdp ratio?

A

About 170%

60
Q

How much do taxes reduce the gini coefficient?

A

In 2018, the gini coefficient before taxes was around 0.46, after tax, disposable income gini coefficient was reduced to around 0.34