Macro - Budget Defecit Flashcards
What is a budget deficit?
A budget defecit is when a governments
TOTAL EXPENDITURE > TOTAL REVENUE in a given period
What causes a budget deficit?
Government spending more than receiving in taxes and other income sources
Why is a budget deficit a bad thing?
Adds to National Debt
Potential credit rating downgrade for country - if debt seen as unmanageable
If credit rating downgrade then cost of borrowing goes up
Future generations have to pay for it
Possible tax increases for future generations
Possible reduction in spending on merit/public goods
High government spending could fuel inflation, particularly if funded by printing money, rather than borrowing
High government spending could cause crowding out - public money spent when private money could have provided a solution
Are there benefits to government spending that lead to a budget deficit?
Stimulate growth - funding infrastructure, public services or social projects
Investment in the future - education, healthcare or infrastructure - increase LR productivity and economic growth
Manage economic cycles- boost when demand is low
What are the benefits of a budget surplus?
Ability to pay down debts
Gives investors confidence that finances are being well run - may lead to more investment
Allow country to manage ecomomic shocks
What are the potential downsides of a surplus?
Depends how achieved
If through spending cuts or high tax rises = low economic growth
Underinvestment in public services (education, healthcare, infrastructure)?
Opportunity costs - if other high return projects not invested in
Can budget deficits be cyclical?
Yes, linked to the economic cycle, rather than policies
E.g. taxes down as businesses make less profits: government spending up on welfare payments
What is the difference between a structural budget deficit and a cyclical deficit?
A structural deficit exists regardless of where you are in the economic cycle
Caused by
perisistent over spending
Poor tax system (not efficient at collecting)
Debt interest payments (historic debts mean high interest payments)
Ageing population - not enough workers to fund retirees
Long term economic decline - low productivity or deindustrialisation =low tax
Why might a budget deficit fall?
Economic growth generating more tax revenues
Economic growth meaning less need for government spending
Tax rises generating more tax revenues
Tax cuts causing fall in tax avoidance/evasion
Reduced spending
Privatisation of public assets