Macro application Flashcards
UK growth rate (2023)
0.1%
Annual UK growth forecast for 2024
0.8%
Uk output gap
-0.1%
GDP per capita
£36,000
Total GDP
£2.53 trillion
Unemployment rate
4.2%
Employment rate
74.5%
Economic inactivity rate
22.2%
Breakdown of uk gdp
79% in services
14% in manufacturing
6% in construction
1% in agriculture
Wage growth in the UK? Why?
5.6% (positive in real terms). This is because of the inflation but also because of rising labour inactivity in the UK meaning that those in work have more bargaining power as these firms are struggling to hire workers.
Is unemployment rising or falling
Rising
Is our rate of unemployment above or below the natural rate of unemployment? What does this suggest?
It is above the natural rate of 3.5% which suggests cyclical unemployment.
Why shouldn’t we trust these unemployment rates.
It was a dodgy labour force survey (LFS) which only looked at 15,000 people. Usually should be at least 100,000 people. We need to move to a more technically advanced LFS.
Youth unemployment
11%
What is the consumer confidence like right now
Very weak
-cost of living crisis
-worry about job security
-very high inflation
Currently have very weak retail sales, move from luxury to normal (income elasticity of demand)