Macro Flashcards
4 phases of business cycle
1) boom (actual economic growth>potential economic growth, unemployment falling, negative output gap falling)
2) Slow down (growth rates fall towards 0 and then reaches 0, inflationary pressure reaches full capacity)
3) Recession (2 consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, real GDP falls, deflation or inflation occurs- because of fall in AD & increase in cyclical unemployment)
4) Recovery (real GDP grows, AD increases)
Determinants of consumption
1) Income
2) Interest rate
3) Wealth
4) Expectation / Consumer confidence
Determinants of Investment
1) Interest rates
2) Changes in the level of national income
3) Expectation /Business confidence
4) Technological change
5) Existing level of spare capacity
Determinants of Government spending
Gov. macroµ economic policies
Determinants of Net exports
1) Domestic average price level
2) Average price level abroad
3) real disposable income abroad
4) Real disposable income at home
5) Government trade policy
6) There exchange rate
Three things fixed in SRAS
1) quality and quantity of factors of production
2) state of technology
3) wage rate (causes shift in SRAS curve)
What causes a shift in SRAS?
1) change in the wage rate
2) change in cost of raw materials
3) change in price of imported raw materials
4) change in the overall level of indirect taxation/subsidies
Summary of neo-classical perspective LRAS
Market clears (market forces are efficient) the level of real output, therefore, depends upon the quality and quantity of the factors of production available and the state of technology. In the long run the free market economy will operate on its PPC and represents the boundary of the PPC.
Summary of Keynesian perspective on LRAS
In the long run, wages and therefore prices are ‘sticky’, firms cannot produce below a certain level even if AD falls, in such examples firms respond by reducing real output (giving the Keynesian LRAS curve 3 parts)
Effect of decrease in AD in Neo-Classical model of LRAS
- AD shifts to left
- Real output decreases form YFE to Y1 and the price level therefore decreases form P to P1
- There is a deflationary gap indicating unemployment/ underemployment of resources.
- Wages falling means firms cost of production fall therefore -SRAS increases.
- SRAS shifts to SRAS 1
- Economy comes to a long run equilibrium in which real output is equal to the full employment level and the price falls from P1 to P2
- In the long run decrease in AD leads to no change in economic activity yet does lead to deflationary pressure in the average price level.
Examples of supply side policies
1) Gvt assistance to firms
2) Spending on r&d
3) Spending on education/training
4) Deregulation
5) Privatisation
6) Policies to reduce trade-union power
7) Introduce minimum wage (Keynesian)
8) Abolish minimum wage (Neo-Clasical)
9) Spending on infrastructure
Measures of unemployment
Claimant count (not good to compare between countries, false claimants and not every1 claims) Labour force survey (based on sample [may or may not be representative] costly & takes time)
Hidden unemployment
The failure of a country ti use some of its factors of production.
Hidden unemployment may not appear in calculation because:
1. discouraged workers (unemployed for long period of time and stop looking for work [become economically inactive])
2. people working part-time who would like to work full time
3. people working in jobs for which they are overqualified
Real wage unemployment
Cause of unemployment supported by neo-classical economists
Trade union negotiations/minimum-wage-legislation-change pushes the real wage higher than the equilibrium wage rate causing a surplus of wooers leading to unemployment.
Solution = reduce trade union power (increasing wage flexibility) or reduce minimum wage
Demand deficient
a.k.a cyclical unemployment.
supported by Keynesian economists
reduction in AD leads to fall in real output meaning AD for labour falls, wage rates would fall but they are sticky downwards so wage rate can’t fall meaning an increasing in unemployment.