Macro Flashcards
What are accelerator and multiplier effect caused by
Macroeconomic instability as they exacerbate the booms and slumps of the trade cycle: strengthening booms and deepening slumps
What causes an accelerator effect
Changes in real GDP
How does the accelerator effect work
1.Firms need more capital equipment due to higher consumer demand
2.Increase in investment needed dependent on capital:output ratio
3.Firms invest into capital equipment according to the ratio which therefore shifts AD out further
The multiplier effect will be larger when:
Mpc on domestic goods is high
Mpt on extra income is low
Mps is low
Consumer confidence is high
Low competitiveness of foreign goods
What are the problems with the multiplier
Difficult to estimate size so can’t predict changes in fiscal policy
Time lags lead to mistakes
When is the accelerator effect at its strongest
Rate of change of consumer income and spending is strongly positive
Low spare productive capacity
Large supply of investment funds
High business confidence
Do the multiplier and accelerator interact
Yes they work together
How does the multiplier effect work
1.Occurs after an injection into circular flow of income
2.This increases AD
3.Initial injection flows through economy
4.This injection is recycled through economy and will increase AD further dependent on size of mpc
What is the formula to work out multiplier effect
1/1-mpc
What are the UKs macro economic objectives
Growth-steady with trend rate
Inflation-2%
Employment-full
Balance of payments-stable
Benefits of stable economy
eg inflation at 2%
High business and consumer confidence-more C and I therefore increase in AD,SRAS,LRAS
Maintain price competitiveness if inflation lower than trading partners
Attracts FDI
Keeps IR low
Cause of macroeconomic instability
Multiplier and accelerator-make booms and slumps bigger
Economic shocks eg brexit/oil prices
Financial instability eg crisis 2008
Excessive gov debt-pay 112bn per year in interest
Explain the SR Phillips curve(cost push inflation)
Decreased unemployment
Labour becomes more scarce
Higher wages paid to attract workers
Increases business costs
Decreases SRAS
Cost push inflation
Explain SR Phillips curve(demand pull inflation)
Decreased unemployment
Increase in disposable income
Increase in consumer demand
Increase in AD
Demand pull inflation
Inverse relationship in SR only
Explain wage price spiral
Demand pull inflation
Decrease in real wages
Increase in wage demands
Higher business costs
Decrease in SRAS
Cost push inflation
Repeat
Explain LR Phillips curve draw diagram
Increase in AD
Leads to reduced unemployment and increases to RGDP and price level
The increase in price level decreases real wages
Increase in wage demands increases business costs and shifts SRAS left
This increases unemployment and price level at the same time(move back to NRU)
How can the LRPC be shifted
Supply side policy to reduce structural unemployment eg HS2
What does monetary policy include
Interest rates
Exchange rates
Money supply
What is Fishers equation
Money supply x Velocity circulation= Price level x Volume of transactions
(Mv=Pt)
What does mv represent
National expenditure
What does pt represent
National output
How does fishers equation work
Assumes v and t are constant in SR and therefore any increase in money supply will directly lead to inflation
How can Fishers quantity theory of money be challenged
During a recession business and consumer confidence is low therefore volume of transactions(t) decrease as people feel they need to save
What happens if a bond falls in price
Increased yield(return)
More expensive for the corporation selling to borrow
What happens if a bond increases in price
Lower yield(return)- cheaper to borrow
How do the government take loans
Sell bonds to financial corporations
Impact of a reduction in interest rates
Cheaper to spend lower cost of borrowing
Less advantage of saving
Increase in Cd and I
Increase in disposable income
Outflow of hot money due to depreciation of £
What will occur if increase in AD is greater than increase in AS
Demand pull inflation
How does quantitative easing work
- Bank electronically creates money
- This is used to buy back government bonds from financial institutions
3.This increases demand for and price of bonds, lowering yield and making it cheaper for firms to borrow
4.Financial institutions use new liquid cash to buy alternative assets such as corporate bonds
5.This increases price of corp bonds and reduces yield making it cheaper for firms to borrow
6.Reduced cost of borrowing encourages spending and investment
Which increases AD and AS
When is quantitative easing used
To get out of a recession
Causes of inflation
AD increases
Demand pull inflation(benign)
Or
SRAS decreases
Cost push inflation(malign)
Who does inflation benefit
Those with debt/mortgage
Who does inflation hinder
People with savings
Negatives of inflation
Falling real incomes
High interest rates
Wage price spiral
Reduced international competitiveness
Business uncertainty
Regressive-worse effect on poorer people