Macro Flashcards

1
Q

Microeconomics

A

Is the study of how individuals make more efficient decisions

Main aspect: scarcity

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2
Q

Macroeconomics

A

Is the study of how an overall economy behaves

Main aspect: whole economy, inflation, unemployment, GDP, growth rate,

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3
Q

General equilibrium

A

State in which all economic factors are balanced

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4
Q

Approaches to study GE

A

Mathematical model: not studied

Aggreative macro economics: study of relations between key aggregate variables

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5
Q

School of economics

A

See page 58 for graph

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6
Q

John maynard keynes

A

Main thesis: Government intervention is necessary to stabilise the economy because the market is not alawys able to self adjust naturally

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7
Q

John Maynard keynes Key points

A

Insuffiecient aggreate demand ( total spending ) can lead to unemployment

full employment is a tempoary state

macro economic equilibrium:
- sum of injections = sum of withdrawls
- Y = C + I + G + NX

active goverment intervention is needed to combat economic downturns

individuals and businesses make decisions based on limited information –> uncertainty

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8
Q

Simple circular flow of income

A

Injections: what enter the system/economy; investment, gov expenditure, export expenditure

Withdrawls: what leaves the system/ economy; net saving, net tax, import expenditure ( money spent on imports )

How it works: a household works at a factory and gets paid a wage this household then purchases goods from the factory

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9
Q

Injections and withdrawls

A

Injections and withdrawls; refer to the movement of funds into and out of the circular flow of income

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10
Q

Ideal scenario of injections and withdrawls

A

sum of injections = sum of withdrawls

I + G + X = S + T + Im

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11
Q

Keynesian theory of short run equillibrium; assumptions

A

1) the economy is running below full capacity and full consumption

2) unemployment persists even if wages do not drop

3) economic adjustments in the short run are made through quantity variables instead of price variables

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12
Q

Keynesian theory of short run equilibrium: Theory

A

short run equilibrium is achived when:
- ∑ injections = ∑ withdrawls ( Circular flow of income )
- Y = C + I + G + NX ( national income )
- Y = total income = total output = gdp
- C = consumption expenditure
- C= a ( 1-t) x Y + B
- A = factor of mpc
- MPC = marginal prospertity to consume
- MPC = change in consumption exp / change in GDP
- ( 1 - t ) x Y = Yd = disposable income
- t = tax rate
- b = dissavings
- I = ibvestment expenditure
- g = gov spending
- NX = net exports = X - Im = exports - imports

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13
Q

Keynesian theory of short run equilibrium: functional complexity

A

aggregate consumption factors: wealth, future expectations, age, credit conditions are left out

Investments factors fixed exogenous variable: costs, terms of credit

Gov spending factors fixed exogenous variable; gov spending is more dynamic ( covid 19 )

exports factors fixed exogenous variable;
exchange rate, imports

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14
Q

Endogenous variable vs Exogenous variable

A

Endogenous:
Definition: An endogenous variable is one that is determined within the system or model being studied. Its value is influenced by the relationships and interactions between other variables in the model.

Exogenous:
Definition: An exogenous variable is one that originates outside the model or system and affects the model without being influenced by the relationships within it. It is treated as a given or external factor.

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15
Q

Mathematical deduction of the Simple Circular Flow of Income:

A

Y = C + I + G + x - Im and Y = C + S + T
C + I + G + X - Im = C + S + T
I + G + X - Im = S + T
I + G + X = S + T + Im

Injections = withdrawls

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16
Q

Complex circular flow income

A

see page 62 for graph: includes; financial institutions, gov, firms, households, rest of world

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17
Q

FDI in complex model

A

Foreign direct investment can be seen outside of the model as they can be seen as withdrawls/injections from the loanable funds market

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18
Q

Golden rule of public finance

A

A government only borrows money to invest ( that will create long term benfits ) and not fund current spending

Gov spending should always be an injection in the circular flow of income

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19
Q

Tools for gov intervention

A

Gov spending: Transfer payments ( unemployment benefits ) , current spending ( police force ) ,capital spending ( infastructure ) , Taxation

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20
Q

Fiscal pact of the EU

A

EU countries should maintain a balanced nudget ( G= tYf ) over the course of a business cycle

G ≤ ( t + 0.03 ) x Y
- abondoned in covid 19 pandemic

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21
Q

Circular flow of money and circular flow of factors

A

circular flow of factors: factors of production & good and services

circular flow of money: spending & income

see page 62 for graph

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22
Q

Multiplier effect

A

Phenomenon where an initial increase in one of the components of aggregate expenditure leads to a larger increase in overall economic activity

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23
Q

How the multiplier effect works

A

1) initial change in spending ( increase in gov spending )

2) Impact on income ( more income for recipients of government spending )

3) induced consumption ( more consumption due to more income )

4) furthur rounds of spending ( more income for recipients of additional consumption spending )

3&4 are the multiplier effect

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24
Q

Multiplier formula:

A

1/ 1- a ( 1-t ) + u

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25
Limitations of the multiplier effect
Model is very simplified Ideal for economies with spare capacity and not at full employment
26
Net present value
PV ( cash inflows ) - PV ( cash outflows ) Metric to analyse the profitability of a projected investment
27
Net present value rule:
One should only invest into project with a positive net present value
28
Marginal net present value
MNPV = MR - MC / ( 1+ R ) ^a Measure of additional value on NPV that a small change in scale or characteristics bring
29
accelerator effect
phenomenon that a small change in demand for consumer goods can lead to much larger change in demand for capital goods
30
How the accelerator effect works
1) increase in demand for consumer goods 2) factors reach full capacity 3) firms invest in capital goods ( machinery ) to increase capacity lead to increase in demand for capital goods - Capital goods a) increase in the rate of economic growth will cause a correspondingly larger increase in the level of investment b) investments become an endogenous variable when an economy moves to full capacity
31
GDP
Total market value of all the finished goods/services . produced in a country within a specific period of 4 time (usually one year) Formula: GDP=PA ×QA +PB ×QB +...
32
Conditions of GDP
workers contribute to the economy they work in and only includes items that are sold legally
33
Methods to compute GDP
Output method: GDP = sum of all goods/services - using gross value added with value added = firms revenue - cost of purchases Income method: GDP = sum of all incomes earned by individuals and businesses Expenditure method: GDP = sum of all expenditures on goods/services = C + I + G + NX expenditure is most common
34
Nominal GDP
unadjusted gdp formula: sum ( quantity of each product ) x ( current year price of each product )
35
Real GDP
inflation adjusted gdp fomrula: sum ( quantity of each product ) x ( base year price of each product ) most accurate
36
GDP per capita
GDP / population
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Limitations of scope of GDP
unrecorded economic activities ( informal sector ) non monetary productive activites ( partenting ) subsistence farming ( farming for self consumption ) corruption & overvaluation (. artificially high contract prices )
38
Philosipical limitations of GDP
Use as socio-economic performance indicator National Income does not equal Welfare Wellbeing encompasses more than material consumption
39
Gross National Income
GNI = Total amount of money earned by a nations people and businesses ( Measure of a nations wealth GNI = GDP + net income from abroad net income from abroad = income from abroad - income sent abroad
40
Net national income
NNI = gross national income accounted for depreciation of fixed capital assets NNI = GNI - depretation
41
Net domestic product
NDP = GDP accounted for depreciation of fixed capital assets NDP = GDP - depreciation
42
Inflation
Inflation = Sustained increase in the general price level of goods/services in an economy over a period of time Inflation rate: CPI y2 - CPI 1 / CPI 1
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Types of inflation
Price-push inflation Cost-push inflation Demand-pull inflation
44
Reasons why GDP should be adjusted for inflation
clarification for economic growth sources ( change in production vs change in price levels ) policy informed decision making ( guide policy makers ) accurate comparisions over time accurate international comparisions
45
GDP deflator
overall measure of the price level in the economy ( how much prices changed from the base year to the current year )
46
GDP deflator formula
GDP deflator = nominal gdp / real gdp volume x price / volume = price Interpretation: Increase; inflation No change; no inflation decrease; deflation
47
CPI
Measure of the average change in prices paid by urban consumers for a basekt of goods/services over time
48
CPI formula
cost of basket current year / cost of basket base year interpretation: increase; inflation no change; no inflation decrease; deflation
49
CPI VS GDP deflator
GDP Deflator and Consumer Price Index can differ due to differences in scope, coverage, methodology, and more. For instance, higher oil prices have different impacts because oil is weighted heavier in CPI than in GDP Deflator.
50
Purchasing power parity
Purchasing Power Parity = PPP = Comparative measure of currency strength to reflect the relative purchasing power of different currencies
51
Keynesian Approach to Fiscal Policy
Keynesian cross: = 45 Theory = Model that focuses on the relationship between Aggregate Expenditure (demand) and Real GDP (income) objectives: -determination of the equilibrium -determination of inflationary and deflationary gaps ( to adjust monetary and fiscal policy ) visualisation: slide 68
52
inflationary gap
Relation between demand and supply: aggregate expenditure ( demand ) > output of dull employment consequence: upward pressure on prices --> potentional inflation Combat measures: -decrease in gov spending ( lower G ) -Increase in tax ( higher t --> lower c ) visulation: slide 68
53
deflationary gap
Relation between demand and supply: Aggregate Expenditure (demand) < Output at Full Employment (supply) consequences: Downward pressure on prices --> potentional deflation combat measures: - increase in gov spending ( lower g ) - decrease in taxes ( higher t --> lower c ) visualasation: slide 68
54
Full employment
Full employment: Everyone who wants to work either has a job or is transitioning between jobs Aggregate Demand of Labour = Aggregate Supply of Labour
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Unemployment
Unemployment: Difference between aggregate demand of labour and aggregate supply of labour Aggregate Demand of Labour < Aggregate Supply of Labour
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Labour market graph
Slide 70
57
Philips curve graph
slide 70 In the short run there is an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment workers have low bargaining power in case of high employment due to a surplus of labour a low barganing power leads to lower wages hence low prices, which results in low inflation In case of low unemployment the opposite effects happen
58
Diûerent views of Aggregate Supply:
classic view of lras vs keynesian view of lras slide 70
59
price and quantity adjustments
The simple Keynesian model assumes that adjustments to excess or deficient aggregate demand will primarily occur through changes in output and employment, especially when there's spare capacity. In cases of excess demand, there will be some price increases, but the main adjustment occurs in expanding output and employment. In contrast, when an economy is near full employment and capacity, price increases dominate as there is limited capacity to expand output. This can lead to wage and salary inflation, and prices and wages can chase each other.
60
Business cycle
SLIDE 70
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Economic policy
= Course of action that is intended to influence or control the behaviour of the economy --> Monetary and fiscal policy
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Fiscal policy
= Government decisions on spending, welfare payments and taxation
63
Fiscal policy: full employment Objective: mitigation of inflationary gap
MEASURES spending: 1) avoid government spending: 2) no money injection into the economy: 3) no Increase in aggregate demand 4) aggregate demand does not exceed aggregate supply 5) mitigation of inflationary gap welfare payments: 1) avoid welfare payments 2) no money injection into the economy 3) no increase in aggregate demand 4) aggregate demand does not exceed aggregate supply 5) mitigation of inflationary gap Taxation: 1) increase in taxation 2) more money withdrawn from the economy 3) decrease in aggregate demand 4) aggregate demand does not exceed aggregate supply 5) mitigation of inflationary gap
64
Fiscal policy: full employment Objective: generation of inflationary gap
MEASURES spending: 1) ( full employment, economy is a max aggreagte supply ) 2) Government spending 3) money injection into the economy 4) increase in aggregate demand 5) aggregate demand exceeds aggregate supply 6) generation of inflationary gap Welfare payments: 1) full employmnet, economy is at max aggregate supply 2) increase in welfare payments 3) money injection into the economy 4) increase in aggregate demand 5) aggregate demand exceeds aggregate supply 6) generation of inflationary gap Taxation: 1) full employment, max aggregate supply 2) reduction in taxation 3) less money withdrawn from the economy 4) increase in aggregate demand 5) aggregate demand exceeds aggregate supply 6) generation of inflationary gap
65
Fiscal policy: not full employment Objective: Decrease in real output
Spending: 1) avoid government spending 2) no multipplier effect 3) no increase in real output welfare: 1) avoid welfare payments 2) no increase in consumption 3) no increase in real output Taxation: 1) increase in taxation 2) decrease in consumption 3) no increase in real output
66
Fiscal policy: not full employment Objective: increase in real output
spending: 1) Gov spending 2) multiplier effect 3) relatively larger increase in real output welfare: 1) increase welfare payments 2) increase in consumption 3) increase in real output Taxation: 1) decrease in taxation 2) increase in consumption 3) increase in real output
67
Automatic fiscal policy stabilisation: taxation scenario: during economic contractions
1) lower incomes 2) lower taxation 3) increase in disposable incomes 4) increase in spending
67
Automatic fiscal policy stabilisation: taxation scenario: during economic expansion
1) higher incomes 2) higher taxation 3) reduction in disposable incomes 4) less inflationary pressure
68
Automatic fiscal policy stabilisation: welfare payments scenario: during economic expansion
1) no welfare payments 2) no increasre in disposable income 3) less inflationary pressure
69
Automatic fiscal policy stabilisation: welfare payments scenario: during economic contraction
1) increase in welfare payments 2) increse in disposable incomes 3) increase in spending
70
change in real GDP or growth rate of real gdp
( new real gdp-old real gdp / old real gdp ) x 100
71
Flaws of gdp per capita
Ignores Income Distribution: Non-Market Transactions: Quality of Life: Externalities and Sustainability: Economic Activity vs. Economic Welfare:
72
economic growth vs economic development
* Economic growth means increase in output or production. * Economic development means both more output or production and changes in the technical and institutional arrangements by which, factors of production are produced and distributed. economic growth is fundamental for economic development
73
economic development
Increases in output or production has to be sustained over a long period of time. * Changes in economic structure would spread out in the entire economy . * Growth has to be accompanied by an increase in efficiency . * Economic development is shaped not only by economic factors but also by non-economic factors like environmental, social, and cultural conditions of the economy .
74
other measures compared to gdp that show us the true nature of how a country is doing
Human Development Index (HDI) World Happiness Report (WHR) Happy Planet Index (HPI) Sustainable Society Index (SSI) Better Life Index Social Progress Index (SPI)
75
ex ante vs ex post macro
Ex-ante means planned or intended or expected. For example, ex-ante investment means investment planned to be made during the year. Ex-post means actual or realized. For example, ex-post investment means actual.
76
aggregate supply
Aggregate supply is the total supply of goods and services the economy planned to be produced by all production units in the economy as a whole during a given period of time.
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aggregate demand
Aggregate demand is the total demand for final goods and services that the economy as a whole plan to buy at a given level of income time during a given period of time. Aggregate demand equals total (planned) expenditure for final goods and services (consumption and investment goods).
78
The component of Aggregate Demand in an open economy are
Private consumption Expenditure ( C) o Private investment Expenditure (I) o Government Expenditure (G) o Net Export i.e Export (X)– Import (M) Aggregate Demand= Aggregate Expenditure= C + I + G + (X – M)
79
Employment
Employment of a factor refers to its use in the process of production. Employment of labour is an important macro-economic variable. The term ‘employment’ has been synonymously treated with employment to of labour or workers. Worker is said to be employed when he is engaged in act of production.
80
full employmemt
Full employment: Full employment in a very simple sense may mean that the total available supply of labour is completely absorbed in gainful employment. Full-employment may mean absence of involuntary unemployment. Classical economists argued that in the long-run the economy would automatically tend to move towards fullemployment (absence of involuntary unemployment) and unemployment would be voluntary.
81
Classical Economics: Assumption of Full-Employment
The entire economic premise of the classical economists was based on the assumption of full-employment of labour and other economic resources. They concluded that under perfect competition in a free capitalist laissez-faire economy, forces (invisible hand) operate in the economic system which tend to maintain fullemployment in the long run without inflation
82
SAY’S LAW OF MARKET
Any productive process has generally two effects due to employment of factors of production such as: i. a certain output of goods and services results which is supplied to the market and ii. an income stream is generated on account of payments made by firms to the owners of factors of production and these factors incomes are spent on the goods produced and supplied. Thus according to Say’s law, all income is spent by the community, though there is a ‘leakage’ of saving in circular flow of income expenditure. Yet it argues that such saving is not a real leakage, but a sort of channelization in spending. That is, saving is another form of spending because to save means to intend to spend on producers goods i.e. investment. What ever is saved is automatically invested in productive activities. Thus, according to Say’s law, every additional output creates an additional income which creates an equal amount of extra expenditure. Thus, increase in output = Increase in income = Increase in spending. According to say, as every additional supply creates an additional demand, aggregate supply equals aggregate demand and there can be know general over production and general unemployment.
83
: IMPLICATION OF SAY’S LAW
There is automatic adjustment (built-in stability) when supply creates its own demand. Hence there is no need of government intervention in the functioning of a free-enterprise capitalist economy. o Since supply creates its own demand there is no possibility of any general overproduction or deficiency in aggregate demand. Aggregate supply always equal aggregate demand. o When there is no general over-production, there is no general unemployment and free economy automatically attains equilibrium at full-employment level in the long-run. o Supply creates its demand in real terms. Money is just a veil. Behind the flow of money there is real flow of goods and services. Change in money has no impact on the real economy’s prices of equilibrium at full-employment o Saving-investment equality is brought about by the flexibility of interest-rate. o Wage-flexibility in a competitive labour market tends to bring about full-employment of workers.
84
Keynes’ Criticism of Classical Theory:
Keynesian economics arose from J.M. Keynes’ disagreement with classical economics, which emphasized market forces and automatic adjustments to full employment. In The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, Keynes criticized several classical assumptions: Full Employment Equilibrium: Keynes argued that full employment is rare and that equilibrium can exist at underemployment levels. Short-term vs. Long-term Equilibrium: He emphasized short-term equilibrium, stating, “In the long run, we are all dead.” Say’s Law: Keynes challenged Say’s Law, arguing that supply can exceed demand, leading to economic disequilibrium and that there is no automatic self-adjustment in the economy. Saving and Investment: He disagreed with the classical view that saving and investment equilibrate through flexible interest rates, asserting that this balance is achieved through changes in income instead.