Macro 15 - Exchange rates Flashcards
What are the three different exchange rate systems?
- Floating exchange rate
- Fixed exchange rate
- Managed exchange rate
What is a floating exchange rate?
A floating exchange rate is a system where the price of one currency expressed in terms of another is determined by the forces of demand for and supply of the currency in the foreign exchange market
How is an exchange rate determined in a floating exchange rate system?
The exchange rate is determined by the supply and demand of that currency against another currency or basket of currencies
Draw a diagram to show floating exchange rate determination
See page 7 in pack 15
Explain the causes of exchange rate fluctuations
- Exchange rate fluctuations are caused by changes in the supply and demand for a currency.
- When the demand for a currency exceeds its supply the exchange rate will increase in value known as an appreciation.
- When its supply exceeds demand it will fall in value known as a depreciation
What are the factors which affect supply and demand of a currency in a floating exchange rate?
- Speculation
- The official buying and selling of the currency by the government or central bank
- Relative inflation rates
- Relative interest rates
- Confidence in the state of the economy
- The balance on the current account
What is speculation?
Currency speculation involves buying currency without the intention of using it to buy foreign goods or services but to re-sell it when the value is higher
What are the factors influencing the supply of a currency?
(Why would people be selling a currency?)
- To buy foreign currency to import foreign goods
- To buy foreign currency to save in foreign banks
- To speculate
- Quantitative easing
What is a fixed exchange rate?
A fixed exchange rate is where the government or its central bank sets the exchange rate. This often involves maintaining the exchange rate at a target rate
What are some the wats a government or central bank can manipulate the exchange rate in a fixed exchange rate system?
- Buy its own currency on foreign exchange markets increasing its value
- Sell its own currency of foreign exchange markets decreasing its value
- Change interest rates - hot money inflows
- Limit the currency leaving the country reducing its supply
What is a managed exchange rate?
In a managed exchange rate system both free market forces of supply and demand and the government are responsible for determining the exchange rate of the currency. The currency’s value is allowed to fluctuate within a permitted band but there is central bank intervention to avoid large fluctuations in the rate.
What are the different ways in which a country can manage or fix its exchange rate?
- Capital controls
- Buying and selling currency
- Changing the interest rate
What are capital controls?
Capital controls are limits on the amount of foreign currency that can be bought
What are some drawbacks of using capital controls to fix or manage exchange rates?
They can lead to black markets developing and are open to corruption
What are some drawbacks of buying and selling currency to fix or manage exchange rates?
-Buying currency costs money creating an opportunity cost
- The country could run out of foreign exchange reserves to sell
- Printing money or selling currency could be inflationary