Mack (2000) Flashcards
Based on Mack 2000, write down the formula for the reserve estimate of the BF method
Write
True or false : The BF method assumes the current claim amounts if fully predictive of future claims
False. Since RBF uses Uo, it assumes the current claims amount Ck is not predictive of future claims
Based on Mack 2000, write down the formula for calculating the reserve estimate for Chain Ladder
Write
True or false : The Chain Ladder method assumes the current claims amount Ck is fully predictive of future claims
True
Name an advantage of Chain Ladder over BF
Using CL, different actuaries obtain similiar results. This is not the case with BF due to differences in the selection of Uo
Write down the formula for the reserve estimate for Benktander method using Mack 2000 notation
write
What is the credibility weight for the Benktander method?
c = pk
What is the general relationship regarding iteration of ultimate claims and reserves Based on Mack 2000? What is the specific relationship for BF, GB and CL?
m = 2 pour GB m = 1 pour BF m = infini pour CL
Name 4 advantages of the Benktander method over BF and CL
- Lower MSE –> Neuhaus compared the MSE of Rc = c * RCL + (1- c) * RGB
MSE of RGB is smaller than BF for c > pk/2
Mack also states in the abstract that the Benktander method almost always has a smaller MSE than BF and CL - Better approximation of the exact Bayesian procedure
- Superior to CL since it gives more weight to a priori expectation of ultimate losses
- Superior to BF since it gives more weight to actual loss experience