Long term decision making Flashcards
Week 9
Two categories of capital budgeting
Screening decisions- does a project do what we want it to and give back. Preference decisions- you can only do one project, which is the best
What is Payback period
Measures the rate of recovery of original investment. No time value is taken into account. The shorter the better
Payback formula
Take away until it is positive. Previous years answer/year it went positives cash flow. Month= answer x 12. Accept or not
Advantages of Payback
Favours projects that gives early return of cash so is a cautious approach.
Simple
Disadvantage of Payback
Does not take into account the time value of money, so will not be worth the same in future.
Ignores any net cash flow after payback period so could miss any increased profits
What is Accounting rate of return
for a project to be acceptable, it must achieve a target ARR that a business sets. The highest ARR should be selected
ARR formula
Average profit (total profit/how many years aborting profit for)/ average investment (initial investment + final investment /2) x 100 to give a %
ARR advantage
Compared to Payback, takes into account all the profits expected
ARR disadvantage
Does not take into account the time value of money.
Percentage return provides no insights into size of return, 10% return on £1 would be worse than a 2% return on £1m
Calculating the future value
present value number (1 + interest rate as a decimal) ^ number of years
Net present value
Expected rate of return giving up by investing in a project
Net present value formula
Cash flow x discount rate for each year. add up and - year 0 cost
Net present value formula- discount rate
1/(1 + interest rate as a decimal) ^ number of years
Advantage of NPV
Time value of money is taken into account. Depends solely on the forecasted net cash flows and discount rate so other factors like managers taste will not affect the budget
The highest NPV gets chosen!
Disadvantage of NPV
Can not just consider financial factors, you need to look at the company’s ethos etc.
Not easy to select a appropriate discount rate
When the firm is capital rationing it will fail as a decision rule