linear 22\23 Flashcards

1
Q

What is the primary goal of the OLS method?

A

To minimize the sum of squared residuals and find the best-fitting line.

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2
Q

What is the formula for ß in OLS regression?

A

ß= Cov(yt,yt-1)/Var(yt)

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3
Q

what does it mean for an estimator to be BLUE?

A

Best Linear Unbiased Estimator: it has the smallest variance among all linear and unbiased estimators

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4
Q

why is E[et|yt-1]=0 important in regression

A

it ensures that the error terms does not systematically vary with the independent variable, making the estimator unbiased

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5
Q

what is homoscedasticity, and why is it necessary?

A

it means constant variance of the error term, necessary for valid standard errors

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6
Q

what is the impacy of violating the no-autocorrelation assumption?

A

it causes inefficient OLS estimators and incorrect inference due to underestimated standard errors

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7
Q

why is normality of errors important?

A

it ensures that finite sampling distribution of the parameters is normal, making hypothesis tesiting valid

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8
Q

what are the steps in hypothesis testing?

A
  1. state H0 and H1
  2. calculate test statistic
  3. determine critical values or p-value
  4. Make a decision (reject/fail to reject H0)
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9
Q

what does H0: a=0 signify in CAPM?

A

it tests whether there is an abnormal return (alpha); CAPM implies a=0

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10
Q

what do the different values of the Durbin-Watson statistic indicate?

A

DW = 2: no serial correlation
DW < 2: positive serial correlation
DW > 2: Negative serial correlation

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11
Q

how does serial correlation affect OLS estimates?

A

Makes OLS inefficient, underestimates error variance, and invalidates hypothesis testing

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12
Q

what is serial correlation in regression models?

A

it occurs when residuals et are correlated with et-1 or other lags

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13
Q

does serial correlation affect OLS unbiasedness?

A

No, OLS remains unbiased but looses efficiency and proper inference properties

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14
Q

under what conditions does the Gauss-Markov theorm hold?

A

when assumtions of linearity, no multicollinearity, homoscedasticity, and no autocorrelation are met

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15
Q

is normality of errors necessary for large samples?

A

No, the Central Limit Theory ensures that sampling distribution of OLS estimates is approximately normal

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16
Q

why is a t-test used to test a=0 in CAPM?

A

to determine if the abnormal return (alpha) is significantly different from zero

17
Q

what’s the difference between finite and asymptotic properties of an estimator?

A

Finite properties apply to small samples, while asymptotic properties apply as sample size approaches infinity

18
Q

how does multicollinarity affect OLS

A

it does not bias the estimator but inflates standard errors, reducing statistcal significance

19
Q

why must the variance in the OLS be > 0?

A

without vairance in yt-1, ß cannot be calculated

20
Q

what are the type 1 and type 2 errors in hypothesis testing?

A

type 1: rejecting H0 when it is truw
type 2: fsiling to reject H0 when it is false

21
Q

what methods cna be used to adjust for serial correlationa?

A

use roburst standard error(e.g. Newey-west) or models like ARIMA

22
Q

what does a significant alpha in regression imply for investrs?

A

Evidence of abnormal returns not explained by market risk (ß)

23
Q

how can residual plots help detect serial corrrelation ?

A

Patterens in residuals, such as trends or cycles, indicated autocorrelation

24
Q

what is the difference between homoscedasticity and heteroscedasticity?

A

homoscedasticity: constant error variance
heteroscedasticity: error variance depends on the independent variable

25
Q

what are the assumptions needed for OLS to be BLUE?

A

Linearity, random sampling, no multicollinearity, zero conditional mean, homoscedasticity, no autocorrelation

26
Q

what is the sampling distribution of an estimator?

A

the distribution of the estimator accross random samples, refecting its variability

27
Q

linear in paramters

A

the stochastic process follows a linear model

28
Q

No Perfect Collinearity

A

no idependent variable is a perfect linear combination of the other

29
Q

zero conditional mean of error terms

A

the expeced value of the error terms, given the explanatory varables for all time periods is 0. error terms is uncorrelated with each explanatory variable in each time period

30
Q

Strict Exogenity

A

error terms is uncorrelated with each explanatory variable in each time period

31
Q

Weak exogeneity

A

Weak exogeneity requires the structural error to have zero conditional expectation given the present and past regres- sor values, allowing errors to correlate with future regressor realizations

32
Q

homoscedasticity

A

conditional on X, the variance et is constant. et and X are independent

33
Q

No serial correlation

A

Conditional on X, the errors in two different time periods are uncorrelated

34
Q

Autocorrelation

A

Conditional on X, the error in two different time periods are correlated

35
Q

Normality of error terms

A

The errors are independent of X and are independently and identically distributed