linear 22\23 Flashcards
What is the primary goal of the OLS method?
To minimize the sum of squared residuals and find the best-fitting line.
What is the formula for ß in OLS regression?
ß= Cov(yt,yt-1)/Var(yt)
what does it mean for an estimator to be BLUE?
Best Linear Unbiased Estimator: it has the smallest variance among all linear and unbiased estimators
why is E[et|yt-1]=0 important in regression
it ensures that the error terms does not systematically vary with the independent variable, making the estimator unbiased
what is homoscedasticity, and why is it necessary?
it means constant variance of the error term, necessary for valid standard errors
what is the impacy of violating the no-autocorrelation assumption?
it causes inefficient OLS estimators and incorrect inference due to underestimated standard errors
why is normality of errors important?
it ensures that finite sampling distribution of the parameters is normal, making hypothesis tesiting valid
what are the steps in hypothesis testing?
- state H0 and H1
- calculate test statistic
- determine critical values or p-value
- Make a decision (reject/fail to reject H0)
what does H0: a=0 signify in CAPM?
it tests whether there is an abnormal return (alpha); CAPM implies a=0
what do the different values of the Durbin-Watson statistic indicate?
DW = 2: no serial correlation
DW < 2: positive serial correlation
DW > 2: Negative serial correlation
how does serial correlation affect OLS estimates?
Makes OLS inefficient, underestimates error variance, and invalidates hypothesis testing
what is serial correlation in regression models?
it occurs when residuals et are correlated with et-1 or other lags
does serial correlation affect OLS unbiasedness?
No, OLS remains unbiased but looses efficiency and proper inference properties
under what conditions does the Gauss-Markov theorm hold?
when assumtions of linearity, no multicollinearity, homoscedasticity, and no autocorrelation are met
is normality of errors necessary for large samples?
No, the Central Limit Theory ensures that sampling distribution of OLS estimates is approximately normal