Lessons Flashcards
What’s the adjustment to the nuts/air vs bluffcatcher, if the oop(nuts/air) player overbluffs by 0.1% more than equilibrium?
What does this mean regarding data-driven strategies?
Every bluffcatcher becomes profitable, so ALWAYS call.
Data-driven strategies can be both simple AND more profitable than playing balanced (which would be profitable vs overbluffer anyways but not as much as the exploiting strategy of always calling).
When studying preflop GTO, what should I focus on?
Thresholds and buckets.
For example, as BB vs BU I continue with any suited Jx+, call any gapper, including 2 gapper, and my offsuite threshold is X9,
I 3 bet 99+, suited broadway hands, some high playability hands (suited, connected), and bluff with AJo/KQo and a low frequency of broadways.
If the pool under 3-bets, what’s an exploit as the BU?
That means that the more speculative opens are not going to be sufficiently punished, so I can open wider. Also, overfold vs a 3-bet!
When using exploits preflop, for example opening wider as BU vs pool, what should I consider?
- Hard vs soft: If I will open 60% of hands as BU it will be noted
- Who is my villian: if there’s a 28/23/11 player in the BB, it’s not good to try and exploit him as if he’s an average part of the pool
- Remember that the sim aren’t the perfect answer, it’s about the principle, adjust as necessary
- Fish - I want to play with them
What are leaks? What methods can I utilize to spot my leaks?
Spots I need to work on;
- Work on spots that give me the most trouble, that confuse me the most
- Stat check - compare my stats vs a solver and spot significant differences.
Poker tracker tutorial for gathering stats/report so I can find leaks
https://www.pokertracker.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=45&t=22599&p=107460#p108194
What’s my preflop stats vs recommended stats?
Recommended:
24-29/20-24/9-11
My stats:
22.75/16.75/6.61
clearly I UNDER 3-bet and I need to work on that.
also fold to 3-bet is: recommended: 48-52 and as of 3-april my stat is 71.95
So overall:
-I need to 3-bet more
-I need to defend more vs 3-bets
What’s the conclusion from the lesson about variance?
The higher your winrate the less likely you are to lose over large samples. Playing well and continuing to improve are tools a player can use to combat variance.
Focus on things that you can do something about, and are actually important. Your behavior on and away from the tables. Always keep studying and improving, winning or losing. Always play my best, winning or losing.
How can I frame/think about my sessions results in a way that will encourage me to keep playing well regardless of the results?
Let’s say that you just finished a winning session, with $1,000 in profit after 1,000 hands. A frame: That $1,000 isn’t really yours. What’s yours, is $120 which translates to your win rate. Consider the rest as a loan that you took from the pool and you’re going to give it up to the pool one way or another. Either you’re going to lose $880 (slowly or fast, it doesn’t really matter), or you’re going to break even for some hands, so you’ll get exactly what your win rate shows in the long run. “Don’t celebrate every touchdown like you just won the Superbowl”
Now let’s say that you finished a losing session. Your loss was $800. A frame: You didn’t lose $800. You actually gave a loan this time to the pool, thankfully for the pools to keep existing. You’ll get that back somehow. From the same or different players. Slowly or fast. If you know your winrate then it’s only a matter of time before you realize it. Your true results are $12 every 100 hands (or whatever your win rate is). Everything else is just noise.
Why should I thank variance?
Variance is the reasons recs keep playing poker. Without variance, recs would never keep playing poker.
How do I prioritize which area of the game I should study based on what pokerdetox suggest? How do I improve on that?
Look at hands from database and answer for each line:
- How frequently does it occur?
- What’s the average pot size?
Frequency times pot size gives me a $ number on the worth of each line.
Further improve on this by adding (multiplying) % of EV pot share lost per line.
After figuring out a leak I want to work on, what 3 steps should I take when I work on my leak?
- Studying
- Build resources
- Integrating upgrades
What does «studying» mean, in the context of studying a spot where I leak the most?
- Ask relevant questions: Why and how?
- Articulate my findings in my own words. If I can’t teach it, I don’t understand it!
What does «gathering resources» mean when studying a spot where I leak the most?
Collect what you’ve learned and turn ideas into reference material. Ask yourself, “what’s my favorite way of testing myself and memorizing material?”. This is preparation for integrating the updates.
What does «integrating updates» mean when studying a spot where I leak the most?
drill what we learned enough that it becomes «unconscious competence»
deliberately practicing upgrades that I’ve already studied
What does poker detox recommend doing on the flop as PFR IP in a 2B and 3B pot? Why?
Bet range 25%.
- Even against MES (a strategy that exploits this simplified strategy the most), this loses 0.6% of the pot
- The MES will check-raise a ton and defend a ton more, but population is already under-defending and under-check-raising!
What does pokerdetox recommend in 2BP OOP PFR and why? Why should I not apply the opposite simplified strategy?
Actionable: Check range.
In theory:
Check range has the least amount of EV loss (even against MES) compared to equilibrium vs bet range. Bet range loses a lot more of the pot.
In practice:
While pool is overfolding vs a B25 range oop, this still loses EV (compared to check range) even AFTER modelling the overfolding tendency vs a bet of pool.
What does poker detox recommend to do in a 3B-pot OOP? Why?
Bet range 25%.
- Minimum regret vs MES compared to the other two simplified strategies (R50, check range).
- If we take into account population tendencies, which under-defends and under-raises, this is actually performing better than equilibrium strategy
Why does studying how to defend vs a c-bet matter?
It’s a very high frequency node
Give some heuristics of hands that I want to defend with
-High realizability: For example, 2 overcards with a BDFD
-Nut making potential: Ability to make a hand that can play for a large pot
-Absolute value: Pairs and strong A highs
-defend more vs small bets and vice-versa
What’s the most common scenario that I should prioritize first when studying how to defend?
as BB vs BU on the flop vs a small bet
Give the main heuristic when it comes to defending vs a small c-bet as PFC 2B
Heuristic:
In general vs. ~33% CBet as 2BP OOP PFC: Defend all pairs, & most strong backdoor draws or better. (This would include strong backdoor flush draws & backdoor straight draws, gutshots, and 8 out+ draws)
These simplified heuristics won’t capture 100% of the spots for defense, but they will get you 80%+ of the way there. The remaining 20% will come through drilling this zone routinely and identifying patterns to refine your strategy.
Give additional/extra heuristics when it comes to defending vs a small c-bet as PFC 2B
- Strong Ace high with good backdoors wants to defend, while strong Ace high without good backdoors wants to fold on your average non-dynamic texture.
- two strong overcards with good backdoors
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How do I study with GTOW?
Take away patterns from my study/drills and refine my strategy via the heuristics I found.
Use the same process for discerning what hands to check raise vs. hands to check call…