Lesson 3 & 4 Flashcards
Risk pooling
- Risk pooling is a risk management strategy that involves combining similar risks to reduce the impact of any one risk
- Insurance companies pool risks to protect against catastrophic events like floods or earthquakes. In health insurance, risk pooling combines the medical costs of individuals to calculate premiums. This allows the higher costs of less healthy individuals to be offset by the lower costs of healthier individuals.
Law of large numbers
As n gets large, SD approaches zero
SD of fraction of policies that result in a claim
root [p(1-p)/n]
Moral Hazard
People knowing they are insured take more risks
Selection bias
Selection bias occurs when the selection of subjects into a study (or their likelihood of remaining in the study) leads to a result that is systematically different to the target population.
National Flood Insurance Act
- Buy flood insurance and government will subsidize it but it will be priced appropriately
- Buying house in a flood prone area = higher money to pay for insurance
Henry Hyde’s contribution to insurance
- Sales appeal of having insurance with a large cash value
Hedge Funds
Hedge funds are investment funds that pool money from investors to invest in a variety of assets
Unemployment Insurance
Unemployment insurance, also known as redundancy insurance, is a short-term policy that provides a monthly payment to replace part of your income if you are made redundant through no fault of your own. It can help you maintain your essential expenses while you look for a new job
Capital Asset Pricing Model
- Asserts that all investors hold their optimal portfolio
- All investors hold same portfolio of risky assets
- Tangency portfolio = Market portfolio
Tangency Portfolio
A tangency portfolio is a portfolio of risky assets that offers the best risk-adjusted return for a given level of risk
Mutual Fund
A mutual fund is a company that pools money from many investors and invests the money in securities such as stocks, bonds, and short-term debt. The combined holdings of the mutual fund are known as its portfolio. Investors buy shares in mutual funds.
Why does Gold have negative beta?
- It’s very safe; it always remains despite stock market
What is the use of negative beta assets
- Helps reduce the overall variance
- Offsets other risks
Credit Default Swap
A credit default swap (CDS) is a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse them if the borrower defaults.
How is insurance regulated
By the state government
Buying negative qty of stock
Borrow the shares and sell them
You owe the shares to someone else
Why buy negative qty of stock?
- A negative stock price can also occur if you buy a stock and the price declines. For example, if you bought Walmart stock at $157 and it fell to $150, you will see -5% for this stock in your account. This doesn’t mean that you lost money, you only fix the loss if you sell it
- Investors can use buy-minus orders to purchase securities at a price lower than the last traded price. This can be useful when the market is volatile or when the investor expects a temporary price drop
Why does CAPM not support short sale
- If everyone bougght negative qty no stock could have an optimal holding
- On average it is not possible
Suppose if you put x dollars in a risky asset and 1-X in a riskless. What’s the expected return?
r = xr1 + (1-x)rf
How does ‘leveraging up to the hilt’ give you any expected return
Playing it smart is what matters but comes with the cost of risk
Relation between covariance and variance
+ covariance = assets moving in same direction = higher variance
- covariance = assets in different direction = lower variance
Efficient Portfolio Frontier
Expresses standard deviation of portfolio in terms of r of the expected return on the portfolio
Dominated
Hope curve below the minimum variance point
Never invest stocks in that
Gordon Growth Model
Present value = x / (r - g)
How to make money off declining industries
Buying them less than the present value