Lecture 9 Market Efficiency Flashcards
What are the two standard assumptions of the Traditional Finance Theory?
Standard assumptions:
- Investors and managers resemble the Homo Economicus
- Markets are perfect and informationally efficient
Efficient Market
A market in which prices always “fully reflect” available information
Out of which two efficiencies exists Informational efficiency?
Allocative efficiency
Operational efficiency
How does the price adjustment of new information imply of the EMH?
Price adjustments after the arrival of new information are immediate and correct
What are the two interpretations of the EMH then?
Prices reflect fundamental values
It is not possible to systematically achieve abnormal returns
Arbitrage
The strategy of buying something in one place and selling it in another place at the same time, in order to make a profit from the difference in price.
What do EMH proponents do when there is mispricing?
Arbitrageurs buy and sell the same or essentially similar securities at advantageously different prices and as a result push prices back to their fundamental value.
What are three limits to Arbitrage?
Fundamental risk
Noise Trader risk
Implementation issues
What entails fundamental risk?
Substitute securities are rarely perfect
What entails Noise trader risk?
Mispricing may increase and force liquidation
What entails the implementation issues?
Transaction costs (commission, tax, bid-ask spread, price impact)
Short-sale constraints (regulation, fees, lacking stock lending supply)
Information costs (detecting)
Resources (money, collateral)
What is the one-way statement of the free lunch?
Prices are right is no free lunch, but no free lunch doesn’t mean prices are right
How can you test if price is right?
Law of one price - identical assets should have identical prices
rights issue
Issue of rights to a company’s existing shareholders to buy a proportional number of additional shares at a given price within a fixed period.
- Rights are mostly tradable
- Deep discount for distressed firms
What are advantages of rights issues relative to conventional issues?
- No wealth transfer to new shareholders
-Higher success rate - Lower issue costs (less marketing efforts)
What is the disadvantage of rights issue relative to conventional issues?
Signal of urgency
Which two components does the joint-hypothesis problem have?
Informational efficiency of the market
Asset pricing model specification
What are the three forms of efficiency and what do they entail (Fama 1970)?
Weak - Historical trading info -Technical analysis
Semi-strong - public info - Fundamental analysis
strong - Insider info - Insider trading
Inter-Dependency of the three forms of efficiency
A circle within a circle within a circle called from in to out: weak - semistrong - strong form
Anomaly
Deviation from an established rule
What is the Anomaly in Finance?
Market Inefficiency
A bubble
A bubble is an upward price movement over an extended period that then implodes