Lecture 7: Life Tables & Population Growth Flashcards
Life history traits determine…
rate of population growth
Variables for life table
- nx = # alive at start of age x
- lx = age-specific survival rate (nx/n0) = proportion surviving from age x from age 0
- dx = # dying in age interval x to x+1
- qx = per capita rate of mortality in age interval x to x+1 = dx/nx
- bx = mean # offspring for females aged x = age-specific birth rate
Net reproductive rate (R0)
- avg # of offspring produced by an individual over life span
= (all)lxbx
Mean generation time (G)
- mean time elapsed between parent production & offspring
= (all)lxbxx / (all)lx/bx
= (all)lxbxx / R0
Calculating pop’s intrinsic rate of increase (r) from Ro & G
r = intrinsic capacity for increase = instantaneous growth rate
- predict pop growth trajectories
- compare predictions to natural growth rates
- compare pop growth across populations/species
- predict how fast a population may recover
r = (loge(r0))/G
What causes population to grow/shrink?
- births, deaths, immigration/emigration
Nt+1 = Nt + B - D
* D = dN (d = instantaneous death rate)
* B = bN (b = instantaneous birth rate)
r = b - d (b & d constant)
Exponential growth rate equation
dN/dt = rN
* dN/dt describes how pop size (N) changes over time
Geometric growth rate equation
Nt = N0e^rt
Iteroparous vs. Semelparous reproduction
Repeated; big-bang
Cole’s Paradox
To have and equivalent impact on pop. growth:
b(annual) = b(perennial) + 1
* assume perfect survivorship, pop. growth of semelparous species will be equivalent to iteroparous if annual produces just one more offspring on avg @ age 1
For annual and perennial to grow @ same rate…
- p(ad) : adult survival probability
- p(j) : juvenile survival probability
b(annual) = b(perennial) + (pad/pj)
- if juv survival high relative to adult –> itero + semel strategies have similar effects on pop. growth
If there’s such a strong numerical advantage to investing slightly more into the first clutch, why by iteroparous?
- perfect survival is never true
- juv survival sometimes uncertain
Reproductive value (Vx)
- expected reproductive contrinution of an individual of age x to next gen (same as R0)
Vx = bx + (all)(lt/lx)(bt)
- (all)(lt/lx)(bt) = residual reproductive value = expected future progeny