Lecture 7 - Epidemiology Flashcards
Risk Perception
Smoke: controlable, observeable
HIV: controllable but non-observable
Smog/pollution: uncontrollable but observable
Pesticides: uncontrollable and unobservable
People say uncontrollable and unobsevable are most dangerous when really controllable and observable toxins are most dangerous=SMOKING
Lancet Study on the Burden of Disease
-huge study that identified 20 leading risk factors to disease Major cause was hypertension In terms of tox: 2--> tobacco 3--> alcohol 4-->household pollutions Thus toxicant expsoure is important
The Black Death (1300)
-killed 50% people, lasted few years, RATS
Ergot fungus was teh cause; grew on rye
Acute High dose: convulsions, mania, halluciamntions
Chronic low dose: gangrene due to peripheral vasoconstriction
“St Anthony’s Fire”
Chimney sweeps
1775: higher incidence of scrotal cancer
Soon: had to bathe at every shift
Cholera
1854
Due to water contamination in certain London villages
When well was closed, cholera diseappeared
Great Smog of London
-they were burning coal in fireplace; rose up and caused severe pollution
4000 deaths and many more after
What is in air? Suflur dioxide, co2, NO
—> excess deathwas duel to suflur dioxide. The coal was low quality with high suflur content
SO2 is a airway irritant and NO as well
CO2 is an asphyxiant
Framingham Heart Study
Prospective cohort study
>1 risk factor can go from 5-50%
Understands risk factors in CVS disease
Methods to evaluate toxins
Case control: outcome –> expsoure (you have the disease already)
Cohort: exposure –> outcome
Ex: Framingham study: follow people in life exposed to same factors, diet etc, and saw that the outcome was heart disease
Odds ratio
For case control study
The ratio os risk of disease in exposed vs unexposed
OR=2: exposed had 2x the risk as unexposed
Standardized Mortality Ratio
Like odds ratio (exposed/unexposed) but now its risk of death, NOT disease
SMR=150 –> 50% higher chance of death due to thsi exposure
Relative Risk
Ratio of disease in exposed/unexposed population
RR=175 –> 75% increase in risk
1948 Study on Chula Vista Landfill and Greenwood Landfill
Study on 2 diff landfills and the health of the population living thereall kinds of chemicals dumped there
1950: houses built over it
1995: concluded no correlation b/w landfill areas and disease
Hierarchy of Data
Meta-analysis (systematic review) > randomized trials > cohort > case-control > cross-sectional
Study: the effect of diesel exhaust in miners
-retrospective cohort study (as opposed to Framingham=prospective)
Comparing workers exposed and not exposed to diesel exhaust
====> lung cancer
Case control study showed non-smokers with highest expsoure 7x mor likely to die
Cohort study showed lung cancer among exposed group was 5x higher
THIS ALLOWED DIESEL EXAHSUDT TO CLASSIFY AS HUMAN CARCINOGEN