lecture 5 Flashcards
zero conditional mean
- knowing x tells us nothing about the expected value
- expected value is on the line
we’ve assumed that the error distribution is centered on the regression line BUT
our idealized picture suggests something more
- that the variance is constant for all values of X
error distribution is centered on the regression line IS NOT
this is not one of our assumptions
in reality our little normal distributions don’t look even
they have different spreads
having all the exact same little normal distributions, variance of the error term in a regression model is constant
homoskedastic
little normal distributions do not look at the same; variance of the error term in a regression model is not constant
heteroskedastic
two assumptions that we have not made
- errors are homoskedastic
- errors are normally distributed
robust SE
- if errors are heteroskedastic and you use plain SE, you estimates of the standard error will be wrong
- use robust so all estimates will be fine, even if there isn’t heteroskedasticity
when variance of u decreases/increases estimate of slope gets more precise
decreases
as n increases/decreases our estimate of the slope gets more precise
increases
less variance for —- more variance for —-
u, x
as the variance of x increases/decreases our estimate of the slope gets more precise
increases
gauss-markov theorem
- three least squares assumptions hold and if the errors are homoskedastic then the OLS slope estimator is BLUE
BLUE
B- best, minimum variance estimator
L- linear function of the dependent variable; restriction on how we estimate the line
U-
E-
sweet spot for our 1-3 assumptions
OLS is unbiased
- now, even other linear estimators may do better
in addition to the least squares assumptions, there are additional regression assumptions that can be made
homoskedastic and normality
problem with homoskedastic and normality of the error term
assumptions care too unrealistic
what we can do with homoskedastic and normality of the error term
- small sample inference
- easier OLS variance estimators
- BLUE