Lecture 4 Flashcards

1
Q

What is the dividend discount model

A
  1. Looks at the value of a company’s equity is at the PV of all expected dividends
  2. Companies can increase value by delaying dividends and investing in positive NPV projects which will lead to bigger dividends in the future
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2
Q

What does the dividend discount model yield

A

The intrinsic value or the fundamental value of the firm

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3
Q

What is the General DDM model

A
  1. Value of stock
  2. Expected dividend at time t
  3. Required return or discount rate or cost of equity
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4
Q

When is the DDM suitable

A
  1. Company is paying dividends
    1. Have established a dividend policy that is consistent with companys profitability
    2. Investor takes a non control perspective
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5
Q

What is the DDM Constant Growth Model (Gordon Model)

A
  1. The firms value at time zero
  2. The dividend at time one
  3. The cost of equity
  4. The perpetual dividend growth rate
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6
Q

What does the constant growth model do

A
  1. Determines the companys growth rate and estimate of the economy nominal growth rate
  2. Nominal growth rate is usually measured by the growth in GDP → (SUM: of estimated real growth rate GDP + expected long run inflation rate)
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7
Q

What are the functions of growth rates

A
  1. Return on Equity (Return from investing)
  2. Reinvestment (How much to invest)
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8
Q

What is b

A

Reinvestment rate

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9
Q

What is d

A

Dividend payout ratio = 1-b

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10
Q

What is g

A

Rate of dividend growth

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11
Q

How do you estimate g

A
  1. Assume that growth rates are a function of two factors
    1. ROE (Return from investing)
    2. Reinvestment (How much you invest)
  2. b= reinvestment rate, plowback ratio or earnings retention ratio
  3. D = dividend pay out ratio = 1b
  4. ROE
  5. g = growth of dividend
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12
Q

How do you value a firms growth opportunity

A
  1. Chosen investment and dividend rates
  2. Decompose the firms equity into:
    1. No growth component
    2. Growth opportunities component (expected value of opportunities today to profitably reinvest future earnings)
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13
Q

How do you partition value

A
  1. = Present value of growth opportunities
  2. = Earnings per share for period 1
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14
Q

What happens in a no growth model

A
  1. Same as constant growth with g = 0
  2. This is when a company doesn’t have positive expected NPV projects
  3. Earnings are all distributed in dividends
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15
Q

How to partition value

A
  1. Look for PV of growth rates
  2. Earnings per share for period 1
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16
Q

What is the Free Cash Flow valuation

A
  1. This is useful for companies that are not paying dividends yet
  2. This aligns with profitability within a reasonable forecast period
  3. The investor takes a control perspective
17
Q

What is Free Cash Flow to the Firm

A

Valuing the entire firm. The cash flow available to the company’s suppliers of capital after all operating expenses have been paid and necessary investments in working capital and fixed capital have been made

18
Q

What happens during growth opportunities

A
  1. Companies do not pay their entire earnings as dividends
  2. Current earnings is invested back into the same
  3. ROE>K, shareholders gain
19
Q

Why would a firm with negative PVGO represent a good takeover target?

A

Bc another firm could buy the firm for the market price

20
Q

What does it mean to have a negative PVGO

A

Negative present value of growth opportunities means by reinvesting earnings, a company is eroding value rather than creating it. Company should distribute more of its net earnings to shareholders

21
Q

What happens if you the value from the gordon model is different from mp

A
  1. Valuation is right and market is wrong or vice versa
  2. Do a sensitivity analysis on k and g
    1. Implied growth ate
    2. Implied ROE = implied growth rate/retention ration
22
Q

What is FCFE (Free cash flow to equity)

A

Cash flow available to the companys suppliers of capital after all operating expenses, interest and principal payment have been paid and necessary investments in working capital and fixed capital have been made

23
Q

How do you compute free cash flow

A
  1. Find cap ex
  2. Find change NWC
  3. Find Net debt
24
Q

What is cap ex

A

Capital expenditures for long term assets (property, plant and equipment)

25
Q

What is Change in NWC

A

Current assets - current liabilities

26
Q

What is change in Net Debt

A

New debt borrowing minus debt repayment

27
Q

What is change of net debt

A

New debt borrowing minus debt repayment

28
Q

What are the advantages and disadvantages of Free Cash Flow Valuation

A
  1. Financial methods commonly accepted
  2. May require number of inputs each requiring estimates that require professional judgement
  3. May adjust financial statements
  4. Requires significant amount of effort
  5. Sensitivity Analysis is important
29
Q

What is the value of the financial asset

A

Present value of all expected cash flows

30
Q

What is cashflow that equities produce

A

Dividends

31
Q

What happens when a company delays its dividends

A

Invest in positive NPV projects

32
Q

When is the Gordon Growth Model best suited

A

For firms growing at a rate comparable to or lower than the nominal growth of the economy

33
Q

What is the discount rate for asset pricing

A

Risk Free rate

34
Q

What happens if the cashflow or earnings are uncertain

A

Same earnings, risk will be higher, price of the asset will be lower to induce you to invest, discount rate will be higher

35
Q

What determines risk premium

A

Risk aversion and risk characteristics such as volatility

36
Q

What happens when risk security goes up

A

Price comes down

37
Q
A