lecture 3 & 4 Flashcards
explanatory theory
a set of internally consistent statements about relationships between concepts linked by mechanisms.
i.e. an explanation about why something is observed—what caused this particular phenomenon?
e.g. Why is voter turnout for local elections higher in some cities than in others?
ratio variable
quantitative variable with an ordered scale and equal intervals, where there is a true 0 point
0 means zero e.g. income
interval variable
type of quantitative variable that is measured on a scale where the intervals between values are consistent and meaningful, but the variable lacks a true zero point.
0 does not mean zero e.g. temperature
discrete variable
Possible values are clearly separated (e.g. count variables: number of children)
continuous variable
“in-between values” are always possible (e.g. temperature of 27.873425 Celsius).
dependent variable
the characteristic you wish to explain (outcome variable)
caused or depends upon the IV
example: voter turnout
independent variable
the explanation or one of the explanations (explanatory variable)
Influence, affect or cause some other phenomenon
Example: bad weather on voting day, distance to the voting station
In simple terms, we can think of the IV (x) causing the DV (y):
x → y
Independent variable → Dependent variable
what type of variable is the duration of an interview
quantitative variable/ continuous variable
what type of variable is a favourite coffee brand
nominal variable
what type of variable is the level of democracy
ordinal variable
hypothesis
an educated guess that indicates how an IV is thought to affect, influence or alter a DV
Proposes a relationship that subsequently will be tested with empirical observations of the variables
The entity/unit of analysis
The entity that we are analysing, the entity to which the research questions and hypotheses refer. e.g. individuals, cities, countries, elections, wars. .
measurement error is due to
- Difficulty in obtaining accurate and complete data (e.g. Historical casualties in war).
- Changes in the measurement formula (e.g. GDP changes suddenly).
- Interpretation of questions, e.g. Are you “happy”?
two main types of measurement error
- Random: the unpredictable fluctuation in measurements due to chance or random factors.e.g. measuring the weight of an object on a balance scale, and due to air currents or small variations in the scale’s precision, the readings fluctuate slightly around the true weight.
- Systematic: a consistent and reproducible deviation of measurements from the true value.
Unlike random errors, systematic errors do not cancel out with repeated measurements; instead, they consistently skew the results.
Example: If a scale consistently reads 1 kg higher than the true weight of an object due to a calibration error, it introduces a systematic error.
validity of research design
Must be:
1. Appropriate: The number of teachers in city schools is an inappropriate measure of the quality of public education
2. Complete: student/teacher ratio is appropriate but incomplete: quality of education is also a function of libraries, facilities, etc.