Lecture 3 Flashcards
What is the binomial tree model in option pricing?
A discrete-time model where asset prices can move up or down, used to estimate the value of options.
How does the binomial tree model approximate option prices?
By choosing time intervals and simulating price moves, with smaller intervals improving accuracy.
Define “up” or “down” factors in the binomial model.
They represent the potential multipliers for asset prices moving up or down in a time step.
What is a risk-neutral probability?
The probability q used in binomial models, reflecting pricing as if all investors were indifferent to risk.
How is the risk-neutral probability calculated?
q = (e^rT - d) / (u - d), where u and d are up and down factors, and r is the risk-free rate.
Why is the real-world probability irrelevant in option pricing?
Because option prices are based on the asset’s current price, incorporating real-world probabilities.
What is the purpose of constructing a replicating portfolio in the binomial model?
To match option payoffs by holding a mix of assets and options, ensuring no-arbitrage pricing.
What are the basic components needed for binomial tree option pricing?
The asset price, up/down factors, risk-free rate and the strike price.
Describe a single-step binomial model for a call option.
Determine up/down asset prices, calculate option payoffs, then discount using risk-neutral probabilities.
How do you calculate a call option’s value in a single-step binomial model?
By finding the expected payoff, weighted by risk-neutral probabilities, and discounting at the risk-free rate.
What is the “no-arbitrage” condition in the binomial model?
It requires that the cost of a replicating portfolio equals the option price, ensuring no riskless profit.
Define a “complete market”.
A market where the payoffs of all assets can be replicated by a combination of basic securities.
Why is market completeness important in binomial pricing?
It allows for accurate option pricing by replicating payoffs with known securities.
What is the difference between risk-neutral and real-world measures?
Risk-neutral assumes investors are indifferent to risk, while real-world includes risk aversion and premiums.
How do you price a derivative under the risk-neutral measure?
Calculate expected payoffs using risk-neutral probabilities and discount at the risk-free rate.