Lecture 2 Key Terms Flashcards
Static regression model
describes the contemporaneous relationship between variables y and z
finite distributed lag model
describes the relationship between past realisations of the variable as well as the present
stochastic process
a sequence of random variables indexed by time defined on a common probability space
weak stationarity
mean, variance and autocovariances are stable; mean and variance are constant over time and the covariance only depends on the lag between the variables and not the initial starting point
autocorrelation function / correlogram
characterises dependencies among observations, and depicts the length and strength of the memory of the process
white noise process
a process with zero mean and constant variance
serial (un)correlation
zero correlation across time periods
strong exogeneity
assumption that the error at time t is uncorrelated with each explanatory variable across every time period
stability condition
theta | < 1 in the ar(1) model. Maintains stationarity in the model and prevents high persistence
weak dependence
autocorrelation tends towards zero as the gap between the variables increases
Contemporaneous exogeneity
errors and their contemporary explanatory variables are uncorrelated