Lecture 2 - Investment appraisal applications Flashcards
If both investments return £500,000 why are they not equally as good as one another?
1) Timing - £500,000 today is not the same as £500,000 in 10 years.
2) Risk - not all investments are equally safe.
Why do we need a discount rate?
- Bring future cashflows back to today’s value.
- Reflect on the return investors require for the risk they take.
- For decision making
Establishing a discount rate:
Premium for risk + Risk free rate of return
2 different methods to set a discount rate are…
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):
- The average return expected by both lenders (debt) and shareholders (equity).
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM):
- Estimates the return needed based on investment risk compared to the market.
Relevant cashflows: Discounted Cashflows
DCF focuses on cashflows which impact decision making:
Include:
- Future and incremental cashflows, caused by the decision.
- Opportunity costs.
Exclude:
- Sunk costs (past expenses which have already been paid).
- Committed costs (fixed overheads and ongoing expenses)
- Depreciation
What is Capital rationing?
- Companies do not have unlimited capital, so they must choose between competing projects.
- Even if a project has a positive NPV, then it may not be taken due to capital constraints
2 types of capital rationing are:
Hard - Capital markets will only supply a given level of capital.
Soft - Company has chosen to restrict its capital investment.
Capital rationing: How do companies allocate Limited Capital?
- Company’s objective is to allocate available capital so as to maximise shareholder returns.
- They rank projects based on their NPV per unit of capital invested.
(NPV/capital required) - when ranking
Beyond NPV: The strategic context of investment appraisal.
- Investment decisions go beyond financial calculations.
- Also consider strategic factors which ensure long-term success such as:
- Real options
- Value chain analysis
- Cost driver analysis
- Competitive Advantage
Strategic factors: Real options…
- Traditional techniques take a very narrow financial focus.
- Therefore, may take a wider strategic focus such as building flexibility into investments.
Strategic factors: Value chain analysis
- “value chain” is that set of activities which link from basic raw materials through to the ultimate end product.
- Companies will analyse which part of the value chain needs investment to gain that competitive edge.
- Investments should strengthen key areas that improve efficiency, lower costs or differentiate the business.
Strategic factors: Cost driver analysis
- These are the factors that influence total costs in business operations.
- Investment decisions should focus on reducing high cost areas to improve efficiency.
- Analysing cost drivers helps a company to decide where to invest for long term savings.
Strategic factors: Competitive advantage analysis.
- Unique factors which make a company stand out
- companies use investment to differentiate themselves and build long term competitive advantages.