Lecture 2 Flashcards
What are the implementation problems with comparable analysis
When is comparable most useful
Implementation Problems
- finding comparable that match precisely
- different accounting method
- different prices from different multiple
- negative denominators
- different capital structures can affect multiples
Application
- Useful to price IPO’s and thinly traded firms
define technical screens.
What are the different type of screens (6 points)
Technical screens: identify position based on trading indicators
Price screens Small stock screens Neglected stock screens Seasonal screens Momentum screen insider trading screens
define fundamental screens
What are some fundamental screens
How do you profit from fundamental screens
Fundamental screens: identify positions based on fundamental indicators of the firms operations relative to price
Price / earnings
Price / Book value
Price / Cash Flow
Price / Dividends
The idea here is buy firms with low multiples and short sell those with high multiples
What are stock with high multiples are called
Stocks with low multiples are called
Growth or Glamour or fashionable stocks (usually overpriced)
Value stocks or Contrarian stocks (likely to be under priced)
According to the Dividend discount model what is the value of the equity
What are the situation for terminal values
The present value of the future dividends discounted by the price of equity
Growth or no growth. Remember you discount the next period dividend to get the value at the terminal point.
What are the advantage and disadvantage of the DDM (2 points in each)
when is the best to use the dividend discount model
Advantage
- easy concept
- predictability are fairly stable in the short run
Disadvantage
- Relevance: not related to value but a payout out of earnings
- forecast horizons: If a firm is not expected to payout dividends for a longer periods then its difficult to calculate the terminal value
Works best: When payout is permanently tied to the value generation in the firm. Fixed payout ratio.
What is the formula for free cash flows
What discount rate do you use
What are the two cases for continuing value
What is the formula for “value of net debt” and how does it apply to FCF
FCF = Cash used in operations - Cash used in investments
Weighted average cost of capital
No growth perpetuity or growing perpetuity. Remember to get the CV at the terminal point you use the FCF one period in front of the TV and if you use the perpetuity formula you get the CV at the terminal point.
Value of net debt = Debt obligation - debt assets + preferred equity. You must subtract the value of net debt from the value of assets (from FCF model) to calculate the value of equity.
What are the basic steps to calculate the SP from FCF model
Discount FCF
Discount CV
= Value of assets
Value of assets - Net Debt = Value of equity
Value of equity / No shares outstanding = SP*
If market SP > SP* then overvalued