Lecture 2 Flashcards
Please explain the difference between forecasting period and terminal value. Provide the general formula as well.
Please explain and provide the formula for the DDM
Nike Inc. just paid a dividend per share of $0.74 at the end of 2024. Dividends are expected to grow 7% per year during 2025-2029. After 2029, dividends are expected to
drop to a stable 5%. Investors’ required rate of return (𝑟𝑒) is 10%.
What are the advantages/disadvantages with the DDM?
Advantages
* Easy concept: Dividends are what shareholders get
* Predictability: Dividends are usually fair stable in the short run
Disadvantages
* Irrelevance: Distribution, which typically happens later than the
actual creation of value.
When it works best
* When payout is permanently tied to the value generation in the
firm (dividends/earnings).
Please explain what residual earnings are and provide the formula
RE is the excess income generated by the company above the expected return on equity.
What are the advantages/disadvantages with the RE model?
Advantages:
* Focuses on value drivers: 1) profitability and 2) growth in investment
* Describes a firm’s value using accounting variables that are subjects of
financial analysis and forecasting.
* Uses the properties of accrual accounting that
* recognizes value added ahead of cash flows
* treats investment as an asset rather than a loss of value
* Incorporates the value already recognized in the balance sheet
(through book value of equity).
* Reduces reliance on speculation
Disadvantages:
* Accounting complexity
* Accounting distortions
Please describe the free cash flow model
- Value of the operations: Present value of future free cash flows to firm
- Free Cash Flows to firm (FCF) = Operating Cash Flows – Capital
Expenditures - FCF (reformulated approach) = Net Operating Income (after taxes) –
Changes in Net Operating Assets - The intuition is that FCF is cash “left” in the firm after capital investments.
Such cash is likely to be paid as interest (debtholders) and dividends
(shareholders).
Provide the formula for the DCF model
What are the advantages/disadvantages to a DCF?
- Advantages
- Easy concept: cash flows are real and easy to think about.
- Familiarity: straightforward application of familiar PV techniques.
- Disadvantages
- Relevance:
- FCF fails to recognise value generated that does not involve cash flows.
- Firms can increase FCF by cutting back on investments, causing
investment to be treated as a loss of value. - Not aligned with what people forecast.
- When it works best
- When the investment pattern produces positive constant free cash flow or
free cash flow growing at a constant rate; a “cash cow” business.
What i the residual operating income model (REOI)? Please describe and provide formula
- Similar intuition with the residual earnings model; but REOI focuses
on abnormal operating profitability. - It measures the incremental operating income generated after
meeting the firm’s cost of capital.
What is relative valuation and what are the steps in finding it?
- The value of an asset is compared to the market value of other comparable
assets. - Example of multiples: Price-Earnings ratio (P/E)
- Three steps in relative valuation
- Step1: Select a set of comparable companies
- Step2: Compute average P/E-ratio of these comparables
- Step3: Multiply earnings of company to be valued with average P/E of comparables
- Done!