Lecture 2 Flashcards
Parameters
describe the population e.g. population mean (mu_x), population variance (sigma^2) & population standard deviation (sigma)
Statistics
infer the population e.g. sample mean (Xbar), sample variance (s^2) & sample standard deviation (s)
What is a reasonable point estimate of the population mean?
sample mean
How do we quantify the level of uncertainty of the point estimate (Xbar)?
interval estimation e.g. confidence level/confidence interval
How do we figure out the sampling distribution of the point estimate (Xbar) to construct interval estimates?
central limit theorem
What does the central limit theorem (CLT) tell us & what are its applications?
it tells us the distribution of our estimator & is used for hypothesis testing and to build confidence intervals
What is a confidence interval & what is its formula?
it gives a range of values (e.g. [09, 14]) that is intended to cover the parameter of interest to a certain degree of confidence [insert image]
What is the difference between standard deviation and standard error?
TBA
review slide 9
in lecture 2 on ipad
Confidence interval interpretation
we expect 95% of these interval to cover the true population mean (mu_x) and 5% do not
The length of a confidence interval (CI) reflects…
our estimation uncertainty
What does the length of a CI depend on?
population standard deviation (sigma), confidence level (1 - alpha) & sample size (n)
review slide 18 & 19
in lecture 2 on ipad
In practice, it is unlikely that sigma (population standard deviation) is available to us, what is reasonable solution to this dilema?
replace sigma with s (sample standard deviation)
When using s instead of sigma how do we account for the added uncertainty?
use a slightly different sampling distribution that has fatter tails (student’s t distribution) [insert image]