lecture 12: screenings in medicine Flashcards
two questions you should ask when being recommended a test
- how accurate is the screening test?
2. how confident will you be in your prediction of my disease state
true positive
test CORRECTLY reports a POSITIVE result in a patient that actually DOES have the disease
true negative
test CORRECTLY reports a NEGATIVE result in a patient that actually DOES NOT have the disease
false positive
test INCORRECTLY reports a POSITIVE result in a patient that actually DOES NOT have the disease
false negative
test INCORRECTLY reports a NEGATIVE result in a patient that actually DOES have the disease
what two things answer how accurate the screening test is?
sensitivity and specificity
sensitivity
how well a TEST can detect presence of a disease when the disease is in fact present
CALCULATING: part/whole for PRESENCE
**uses people where they already know their disease state
**tells if test gives true positive
specificity
how well a TEST can detect absence of a disease when in fact the disease is ABSENT
CALCULATING: part/whole for ABSENCE
**uses people where they already know their disease state
**tells if test gives true negative
positive predictive value (PPV)
how accurately a POSITIVE test PREDICTS the presence of disease
–proportion of EVERYBODY that tested positive
negative predictive value (NPV)
how accurately a NEGATIVE test PREDICTS the absence of disease
–proportion of EVERYBODY that tested negative
sensitivity calculation
true positive / false negative
specificity calculation
true negative / false positive
what does NOT changed based on prevalence?
sensitivity and specificity
what DOES change based on prevalence?
PPV, NPV, false positives, and false negatives
diagnostic accuracy
proportions of total screenings that a patient is correctly identified as either having disease or not having disease
TP + TN / grand total population
likelihood ratios
- *ratio of TWO probabilities
- -ratio of the probability of a “given result” for a person WITH disease / ration of probability of “same result” for a person WITHOUT disease
–always WITH disease / WITHOUT disease
likelihood ratio positive (LR+)
**want number to be large
probability of positive rest in PRESENCE of disease / probability of positive result in ABSENSE of disease
ALSO, sensitivity / (1-specificity)
likelihood ratio negative (LR-)
**want number to be small
probability of negative result in PRESENCE of disease / probability of negative result in ABSENSE of disease
ALSO, (1-sensitivity) / specificity
validity
ability to accurately discern between those that DO and those that DO NOT have disease
same as precision
internal validity
extent to which results accurately reflect what was being assessed (true situation of study population)
external validity
extent to which results are applicable to other populations (not included in the original study)
also known as generalizability
reliability
ability of a test to give the same result on repeated uses
AKA reproducibility/consistency
**valid test is ALWAYS reliable, yet a RELIABLE test is not always valid
multiple cutoff values
many diagnoses typically have two dichotomous outcomes (positive/negative); however, there could be potentially multiple cut off values that could correspond with designating presence/absense of disease
**modified to increase/decrease FP/FNs depending on disease (treatment options/risk of not being treated)