Lecture 12: Performance & Portfolio considerations Flashcards
Holding Period Returns (HPR):
HPR = ????
D: dividend or any other cash income
Real Estate investment performance (p1):
Holding Period Returns (HPR):
HPR = (P_t - P_t-1 + D)/ P_t-1
D: dividend or any other cash income
Geometric Mean Return (compounded rate of return)
GMR = {Căn bậc n[????]} -1
=> superior when measuring the performance of investment for a ?? of time
Real Estate investment performance (p2):
Geometric Mean Return (compounded rate of return)
GMR = {Căn bậc n[(1+HPR1)(1+HPR2)…(1+HPRn)]} -1
=> superior when measuring the performance of investment for a specified period of time
Arithmetic Mean Return
AMR = ??
- a simple (non-compounded) average
- Widely used in statistical studies spanning very long periods of time
- AMR almost the same as GMR (for a ? and ?? series!)
Real Estate investment performance (p3):
Arithmetic Mean Return
AMR = Sum(HPR)/n
- a simple (non-compounded) average
- Widely used in statistical studies spanning very long periods of time
- AMR almost the same as GMR (for a steady and non-volatile series!)
Real Estate investment performance (p4):
The foundation for modern finance theory is the notion that:
- variability in asset returns represents ?
- ? over what could be earned on a ? investment represent the price of risk
Real Estate investment performance (p4):
The foundation for modern finance theory is the notion that:
- variability in asset returns represents risk
- premiums over what could be earned on a riskless investment represent the price of risk
Real Estate investment performance (p5):
Coefficient of Variation (Standard Deviation of Returns/Mean Return)
- The level of ? per unit of ?
- Also known as “?-to-?” ratio
Real Estate investment performance (p5):
Coefficient of Variation (Standard Deviation of Returns/Mean Return)
- The level of risk per unit of return
- Also known as “risk-to-reward” ratio
Real Estate investment performance (p6):
It may not be optimal to focus on the risk and return of individual asset or property => Need to consider a ?
- Asset efficiency? Does adding an asset to a portfolio add to returns while maintaining or lowering portfolio risk?
Real Estate investment performance (p6):
It may not be optimal to focus on the risk and return of individual asset or property => Need to consider a portfolio
- Asset efficiency? Does adding an asset to a portfolio add to returns while maintaining or lowering portfolio risk?
Portfolio Returns:
HPR_P = ???
where W’s are weights
Portfolio Returns:
HPR_P = W1HPR1 + W2HPR2 +…..
where W’s are weights
Portfolio Weighting:
??: Maximum return for a given risk level
Portfolio Weighting:
Efficient frontier: Maximum return for a given risk level
Diversification benefit (p1): Portfolio Risk: ?? - Not a simple weighted average!! - There is interaction between returns of assets
Diversification benefit (p1): Portfolio Risk: Standard deviation - Not a simple weighted average!! - There is interaction between returns of assets
Diversification benefit (p2): Covariance: A statistical measure of how ? two data series (e.g., asset returns) ? together over time
Diversification benefit (p2): Covariance: A statistical measure of how closely two data series (e.g., asset returns) move together over time
Diversification (p3):
Correlation = ? (x,y)/ (?x*?y)
(SD: standard deviation, sigma)
- Relative measure of movement
- Range of ? to ?
E.g., as the correlation approaches +1, two series are said to move very closely together.
In general, the further away the correlation away from +1, the ? the potential for portfolio risk reduction.
- Maximum risk reduction can be achieved when Correlation of ij = ?
Diversification (p3):
Correlation = Covariance (x,y)/ (SDx*SDy)
(SD: standard deviation, sigma)
- Relative measure of movement
- Range of +1 to -1
E.g., as the correlation approaches +1, two series are said to move very closely together.
In general, the further away the correlation away from +1, the greater the potential for portfolio risk reduction.
- Maximum risk reduction can be achieved when Correlation of ij = -1!
Growing interest (and ease) in global diversification - Evolution of global ? structures in major cities Development of commercial mortgaged-backed securities (CMBS) markets (more on this in the next lecture!) => ? allow investors to take a position (long & short) in real estate without actually ? or ? properties.
Growing interest (and ease) in global diversification - Evolution of global REIT structures in major cities Development of commercial mortgaged-backed securities (CMBS) markets (more on this in the next lecture!) => Derivatives allow investors to take a position (long & short) in real estate without actually buying or selling properties.
Risks of global investment:
- Currency risk
- Different tax laws & property rights
- Communication & culture differences
Risks of global investment:
- Currency risk
- Different tax laws & property rights
- Communication & culture differences
Consider an investment held over three years with a return of +20 percent in the first year, -25 percent in the second year, and +20 percent in the third year. What is the arithmetic mean return on the investment?
5%
Geometric mean returns are:
A.
Simple averages of holding period returns
B. Expressed as compound rates of interest C. More applicable when no specific time interval is considered to be any more important than another D. Widely used in statistical studies spanning very long period of time
B