Lecture 10 - Payout Policy Flashcards

1
Q

What are the two ways firms can pay out cash to shareholders?

A
  • Cash dividends.

- Stock repurchases.

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2
Q

What are dividends?

A

Usually refers to a cash distribution of earnings. They are a regular payment of cash by the firm to its shareholders.

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3
Q

The policy is set by a firm’s…

A

Board of directors.

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4
Q

When a dividend has been declared, it becomes a…

A

A liability of the firm and cannot be easily cancelled by the firm.

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5
Q

Measures of dividends are…

A
  • Dividend per share.
  • Dividend yield (% of price).
  • Dividend payout (% if earnings).
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6
Q

What is the dividend payment process?

A
  • Declaration date is the date the dividend is formally announced and begins the dividend process for that specific dividend.
  • Ex dividend date is the first day on which the stock trades without the right to receive the announced dividend.
  • Record date is the date on which the list of shareholders eligible to receive the dividend is made.
  • Payment date is the date on which dividend checks are sent to the shareholders on record.
    Shares trade constantly, and the firm’s records of who owns its shares are never fully up to date.
    Investors who buy shares on or after ex dividend date do not have their purchases registered by the record date and are not entitled to the dividend.
    Shares usually fall on the ex dividend date.
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7
Q

In a perfect world, the stock price will fall by…

A

The amount of the dividend on the ex dividend date.

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8
Q

Taxes complicate things. Empirically, the price drop is less than the…

A

Dividend and occurs within the first few minutes of the ex dividend date.

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9
Q

What is stock dividend?

A

Distribution of additional shares to a firm’s stockholders. For example, 5% stock dividend means shareholders get 5 new shares for every 100 shares owned.

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10
Q

Do stock dividends have any impact on cash?

A

No. No cash leaves the firm. Market value of equity will stay the same, the number of shares in the market will increase and the price will decrease.

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11
Q

Why may stock dividends occur?

A

Firms want to give shareholders some benefits but there is no sufficient cash, so they pay stock dividends. No cash leaves the firm, there is only an increase in the number of shares.

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12
Q

What are stock splits?

A

Issues of additional shares to firm’s stockholders. The impact of stock splits are bigger than the impact of stock dividends. A stock split resembles a stock dividend except that it is usually much larger. The value of equity is constant, number of shares increases and price per share will decline. Usually expressed as a ratio. For example, 3:1 means shareholders have 3 shares for every share held earlier.

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13
Q

Why are stock splits preferred over stock dividend?

A

To make stocks more accessible to investors. Reduces share price.

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14
Q

What are share repurchases?

A

Instead of paying dividends, firms may use cash to buy shares of their own stock. Reduces the number of shares outstanding. The reacquired shares are kept in the company’s treasury. it can be resold if the company needs money.

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15
Q

What are the four ways to implement a stock repurchase?

A

Open market repurchase - buy stock in the secondary market. This is the most common method. The firm announces its plans to buy back shares in the secondary market. In practice, there are regulations limiting how many of its own shares a firm can repurchase. Repurchases are spread out over months or years at a time.
Tender offer - offers to buy a stated number of shares at a fixed price. Usually at a premium.
Auction - here the firm states a range of prices from which they are willing to purchase.
Direct negotiation - negotiate purchase from a major shareholder. Usually private and not related to public shareholders in the market.

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16
Q

What is information content?

A

A change in payout provides information about managers’ confidence in the firm and so may affect stock price. It can give a signal. Managers are reluctant to make dividend changes that may be reversed. Shareholders will increase dividends only if they can maintain that higher level in the future. Managers try to smooth the dividend stream and hate to cut them back. They try to avoid reducing the dividend. Managers focus more on dividend changes rather than the absolute levels. Dividends changes are more important than levels of dividends. Changes in dividends can have signals.

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17
Q

Information content in dividends.

A
  • Dividend increases convey managers’ confidence about future cash flow and earnings. Managers are reluctant to increase dividends unless they are confident they will maintain that payment later. Hence, a rise in share price is a positive signal.
  • Dividend cuts convey managers’ lack of confidence and therefore are bad news. There will be a fall in share price.
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18
Q

Information content in stock repurchases.

A
  • Signals managers’ optimism. If managers are confident, they will repurchase shares from the market.
  • Indicate that shares are underpriced.
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19
Q

What does the payout controversy question?

A

Can payout policy change the underlying value of the firm’s common stock, or is it just a signal about the value?
What is the effect of a change in payout given the firm’s investment and financing decisions? It holds and assumes investment and financing decisions are constant, isolating the effect of payout policy on firm value.

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20
Q

What are the three opposing ideas about payout controversy?

A

Middle - payout policy is irrelevant.
Right - high dividends increase value.
Left - high dividends reduce firm value.

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21
Q

What does the MM (1961) irrelevance theorem for dividends assume?

A
  • A perfect and efficient capital market.
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22
Q

In perfect capital markets, a stock repurchase is equivalent to…

A

A cash dividiend.

23
Q

In practice, differences occur due to…

A

Flexibility - dividends are considered inflexible in comparison to share repurchases. When a firm increases cash dividends, shareholders are expecting this increase will be the same in the future, but this is not true for share repurchases. If a firm makes a large amount of share repurchases in one year, it doesn’t mean the firm will make these share repurchases again in the future. They are considered more flexible than dividends. Firms are more likely to use share repurchases than dividends.
Executive compensation - managers are sometimes given stock options as a compensation scheme to align their interests with interests of shareholders. The value of stock options is dependent on share price. If a firm pays cash dividends then share price will drop, if a firm repurchases shares then share price will be the same. To maintain the value of stock option, mangers are likely to use share repurchases rather than dividends.

Undervaluation - if a firm repurchases shares, the stocks are undervalued and underpriced in the market. Managers may use share repurchases for this reason.

Taxes - share repurchases have tax advantages.

24
Q

If cash dividends wants to be increased…

A

The firm can issue more additional shares.

25
Q

Shareholders receive a dividend but

the extra cash is exactly offset…

A

By a lower stock price. Stock prices reduce. They receive an extra dividend but they suffer from a capital loss. They receive and own a smaller fraction of the firm. After issuing new shares, there are new stockholders so existing shareholders have a smaller fraction of the firm.

26
Q

There is a transfer of value between…

A

New and old shareholders.

  • The new ones get the newly printed shares, each one worth less than before.
  • The old ones suffer from a capital loss on their shares. This loss is offset by the extra cash dividends they receive.
27
Q

Does it make any difference to the old shareholders that they receive an extra dividend payment plus an offsetting capital loss?

A

No.

28
Q

If capital markets are efficient…

A

Shareholders can raise cash by selling shares. If shareholders want two dollars cash, they can sell shares directly in the secondary market. This is called a homemade dividend.

29
Q

Old shareholders can get cash in two ways. What are these?

A
  • Persuade management to pay higher dividends.
  • Sell some of their shares to get cash in hand.
    It makes no difference between the two methods. Dividends are irrelevant to firm value. In either case, there will be a transfer of value from old to new shareholders.
30
Q

Shareholders can create homemade dividends by…

A

Selling a few shares.

31
Q

Shareholders can undo dividends by…

A

Purchasing a few more shares.

32
Q

Therefore, shareholders are…

A

Indifferent between dividend policies.

33
Q

Dividend policy changes…

A

Do not affect firm value.

34
Q

Positive NPV projects should…

A

Not be sacrificed in favour of changes in dividend policy.

35
Q

Why dividends might increase firm value?

A

Some investors have a natural preference for high payout stocks.

  • Desire for current income, such as the elderly. They need to depend on regular income to make a living. They could sell shares in the secondary market but this would incur transaction costs so it would be better if the firm paid cash dividends regularly.
  • Legal restrictions.
  • Behavioural finance. We assume investors are rational but in reality they are not. If cash dividends are paid regularly, investors can maintain their allocated budget. If they only spend the cash dividends, they will be more disciplined and spend money efficiently.
36
Q

All of this is true but it does not follow that you can increase the firm value by…

A

Increasing dividend payout.

37
Q

What is clientele effect?

A

From a broader perspective, there is a higher demand for high dividend paying companies. There are also enough supplies for high dividend paying firms. It doesn’t matter whether a single firm increases or decreases payment policy. If you consider the whole market, their would be enough demand payment for dividend paying firms.
The change for a single firms payout policy doesn’t matter.

38
Q

Only reason that can explain why dividends may increase value is what?

A

Agency theory and payout policy.

39
Q

Explain agency theory and payout policy.

A

Managers may pursue selfish goals. They may over invest. They may spend money for their own benefit, for example, on a luxury office, expensive holiday etc.

40
Q

Selfish goals are…

A

Easier to pursue when the firm has plenty of surplus cash, free cash flow (financial slack).

41
Q

Dividends or repurchases can reduce…

A

Managers’ ability to misuse or waste the firm’s resources.

42
Q

Dividends provide more discipline…

A

Than repurchases. If a firm has to pay dividends to shareholders, this may change managers’ behaviour and they could become more disciplined. It can reduce financial slack and reduce cash surplus. It can encourage managers to behave efficiently and not in their own interest and for their own benefit at the expense of shareholders. More inflexible than repurchases.

43
Q

Payouts can serve as a way for the board of directors to…

A

Reduce agency costs.

44
Q

Why dividends may reduce value?

A

Companies can convert dividends into capital gains by
shifting their payout policy. Young rapidly growing firms might not pay dividends so they reinvest dividends into the firm. The share price will increase in the future. That way the firm can convert dividends into capital gains by increasing share price.
Dividends - these are taxed as income, payable on distribution.
Capital gains is the increase in share price - taxed as capital gains, deferred payment until sale of share. Tax rate for capital gains are actually much less than the tax rate for dividends.
Dividends are taxed more heavily than capital gains.
- Taxpaying investors should welcome a move to lower dividends and value the firm more favourably. Tax paying investors would prefer low dividend paying firms than high paying dividend firms.

45
Q

Explain payout and the firm life cycle according to the MM theory?

A
  • Payout is a residual/by-product of other financial policies (investment and borrowing).
  • Firm has to accept all positive NPV projects and after making appropriate decisions then payout policy is made. Payout policy made after investment and borrowing.
  • Payout policy is dependent on how much cash is left in the firm.
  • Payout decisions should evolve over the firm life cycle.
  • Young growth firms have more profitable investment opportunities and tend to retain and reinvest cash in the firm. Sometimes they might have to issue shares in the secondary market. They are unlikely to pay out cash to shareholders, which is what the payout policy is.
  • Mature firms may encounter severe free cash flow problems severe. This may lead them to start paying out cash. Shareholders can get cash for investment opportunities. Mature firms do have not lots good investment opportunities. This means they have a large amount of surplus cash and managers will pursue their own benefits at the expense of shareholders.
  • As the firm ages, more and more payout is called for (dividends or share repurchases).
46
Q

The firm life cycle is…

A

Not always predictable.

47
Q

The following three questions can help managers decide whether the firm is in mature phase or not. What are they?

A
  1. Is there enough positive free cashflow after accepting all positive NPV projects?
  2. Is debt ratio prudent ratio? Is capital structure appropriate here?
  3. Does the company retain sufficient cash for unexpected shocks?
    If the answer is yes, then the free cash flow is surplus and payout is called for, payout is expected by shareholders.
48
Q

Aggregate dividends and repurchases are massive and have…

A

Increased over time.

49
Q

Dividends and repurchases are heavily concentrated…

A

Among a small number of large, mature firms. Payouts are called for and expected by shareholders.

50
Q

Managers are reluctant to…

A

Cut dividends - information content. Dividend increases are good news and decreases are bad news, and the latter will lead to decreases in share prices.

51
Q

Managers smooth dividends, raising them slowly and…

A

Incrementally as earnings grow.

52
Q

Stock prices react to…

A

Unanticipated changes in dividends. Increases in dividends means stock prices will go up. Decreases in dividends means share prices will go down.

53
Q

The size of stock repurchases tends to vary…

A

With transitory earnings. Stock repurchases are flexible.

54
Q

What are the characteristics of a sensible payout policy?

A
  • Pay out all free cash flows over time. If a firm has free cash flow, managers may pursue their own interests, leading to agency costs.
  • Avoid passing up positive NPV projects to pay dividends
    or repurchase shares. Firm value is most affected by investment decisions not financing decisions.
  • Wait to initiate dividends until free cash flow is substantial.
  • Set the current regular dividend stream consistent with a long run target payout ratio.
  • Set the dividend low enough to avoid expensive external
    financing in the future.
  • Use repurchases to pay out temporary cash flow increases.