lecture 10 Flashcards
what is efficientcy
where prices rationally reflect availble information
if a market is efficient what happens when there is new information
new information should be incorparated into the share price rapidly and rationally with respect to the direction of the share price movement.
- no chance for a trader to make a return
what does effiecency does not mean
prices does not depart from true economic value
investor will not beat the market (some will actually do this, but it should be up to chance)
purpose of an efficeint market
- encourage share buying
- to give correct signals to company managers
- help allocate resources
what are the 3 levels of efficiency
weak-form
semi-strong form
strong form
what is weak form efficiency
Share prices fully reflect all information contained in past price movements
what is semi-strong form
Share prices fully reflect all the relevant publicly available information
what is strong form
. All relevant information, including that which is privately held, is reflected in the share price
what is a weak form test
a simple price chart
- no trading rules based on past movements
- we see a line break-out pattern –> when investors follow past price changes this would often lead to an influx of investment
what is the filter approach: weak form test
focus on long term trends
- filter out short term movements
what is ‘underreaction’ in terms of investing
investors are slow to react to the release of information
what does research say about semi-strong efficiency
there is evidence showing departures from semi-strong –> but for most investors it is seen as efficient
–> there is evidence for semi-strong, but it is possible to outperform the market
what is the relationship between strong form test and insider trading
what is ther regulator response to strong from efficiency
strong-form is when someone contains information not publically availble –> most likely information inside information which seen as bad due to its uncompetitive nature
to combat this there were regulatios which Prohibit certain individuals from dealing in the company’s shares for crucial time periods