Lecture 1 - Introduction to Financial Markets Flashcards
(35 cards)
How has the world of finance changed over the last few decades?
Aim to name a few
1) Globalisation of the world of finance - increasingly integrated and connected markets globally e.g. much easier now to buy stocks and shares in a different country now
2) Unprecedented increase in volume of funds (number and the size of them) and size of financial industry
3) Funds increasingly managed in the behalf of investors by private managers, apps etc
4) Use of new technology like blockchain (one of the first cryptocurrency softwares) and AI (can be used instead of an actual person to give financial advice and investment recommendations)
5) Development of internet
6) Introduction of Euro currency
7) Increased importance of emerging markets (e.g. BRIC countries - Brazil, Russia, India and China - fastest growing emerging markets in the world)
8) Effect of 2008 - 2010 financial crisis
9) 4th Industrial Revolution (technological developments) in 2016 e.g. Fintech (financial technology) Revolution - refers to use of apps and technology to manage, access finance etc - most banks have now adopted apps as a means of online banking
10) COVID-19 crisis
11) Russia-Ukraine War - disrupted supply chains and trade (Russian gas etc)
Name some of the biggest financial centres in the world
1) New York
2) London
3) Singapore
4) Hong Kong
5) San Fransisco
6) Shanghai
7) Los Angeles
Dominated by USA, UK, China and Singapore
What is the main purpose of major financial centres like New York?
To meet the demand for financial services of the domestic market
What are the features of an International Financial Centre (IFC) like New York and London?
1) Large number of both domestic and foreign banks - as well as some international bank lending
2) Substantial amount of foreign exchange (FX) trading/business
3) Significant offshore market - deposit and lending in currencies different to those of the financial centre
4) Stock market should be well capitalised (significant total investment value) and offer high liquidity - I assume this means that easy access to stocks/shares by purchase using cash and easy access to cash by selling stocks/shares
5) Major market for corporate bond finance - both domestic and foreign - where firms give out bonds meaning that they borrow from the public at an agreement that they will pay the money back to the public in a given time period and with a certain amount of interest (considered safer and therefore returns typically lower but I imagine returns higher than government bonds which are naturally safer as less chance of a an Economy collapsing than a firm)
6) Range of Financial institutions - e.g. insurances companies, commercial law firms, brokers etc
Define Finanical Market
Financial markets - facilitate the exchange of financial instruments e.g. stocks, bonds, foreign exchange (FX - currency) etc
What are futures, forwards etc?
Financial assets which involve delayed receipts or payments - transfer funds across time
What are financial instruments generally referred to as?
Securities
What does the value of some financial instruments (securities) e.g. stocks and bonds depend on?
It should depend on the past performance of the issuer (e.g. firm) as well as future performance
Define Globalisation
World of finance has become globalised industry whereby national financial markets are increasingly integrated and connected into a global network of markets
Ability to do anything anywhere in terms of finance
State the characteristics of Globalisation
1) Borrowers seeking to raise funds aren’t limited to only their national/local market but can venture abroad
2) Investors can invest in many other countries
3) Financial institutions, like banks, seek to have global presence both as a means of expansion and to retain their existing customers who are ever more reliant on trade and economic interactions with foreign residents and firms
What has enabled financial capital to seek out investment opportunities in other countries?
The abolishing of exchange controls - restrictions much less now (restrictions of foreign exchange or FX which means dealing with different currencies around the world) - previously some countries prevented foreign investors from obtaining the local currency and therefore prevent them from entering the market
What can one say about emerging markets in recent years?
Countries in Southeast Asia (e.g. Singapore, Malaysia etc) and Latin America (Brazil etc) have attracted the interest of investors from developed economies due to the rapid rates of economic growth of these countries
Are there issues with investing in emerging markets?
Yes, whilst offer appealing returns they also lead to equally large losses e.g. Mexican crisis (1994/1995)
What have investors learnt from the losses in emerging markets?
That overexposure to a single emerging market is a risky business
What is BRIC and what does it stand for and represent?
BRIC - Brazil, Russia, India, China
These 4 countries are the fastest growing emerging markets
State the problems/risks of emerging markets
1) Poor accounting standards - minimal or weak regulation of the accounting reports of firms in an emerging economy may mean that profits and gains are shown to be higher than what they are - managers are incentivised to do in order to gain capital - therefore you buy stocks/shares in an emerging country because of the fact that you think a country and its firms are performing better than reality … the financial information about a country and its firms is not reliable - you have no indicator of true performance
2) Weaker legal institutions - especially relating to the protection of minority investors (shareholders) and creditors - in developed economies there are typically rules/regulations and provisions in place to ensure that the insider of the firm (a majority shareholder) is not abusing their power - for example typically to pass a major restructuring decision a 50% agreement vote is required but this may not occur in emerging market firms where someone with say a 30% share in the firm may be able to do what they want with little to no resistance -> this leads to governance issues in firms in emerging markets
3) Geo-Political risks - warfare, instability of governments, coups - uncertainty of political systems, fiscal policy etc
4) Foreign exchange risks - currency may depreciate if the emerging market has high inflation (high inflation caused by poor policy)
5) Controls on foreign investment - some emerging markets/economies may prevent foreign investors to invest - also foreign investors exposed to a lot of risk as the state/government may expropriate (take/seize) the assets/investment of the foreign investors
6) Higher transaction costs - information is not reliable - payment system may not be as sophisticated - if the market is not that liquid then this would also, alongside the factors mentioned previously, contribute to higher transaction costs
How has technology changed the world of financial markets?
Positives:
- large increase in the use of technology in the 1980s (especially computers) -> led to switch from paper trading to screen based trading -> led to less shouting on trading floor
- computers allow new complex products to be devised and priced in real time
- trading occurs at a very high frequency (nano seconds) - done by machines using algorithms
- financial services industry now much more efficient due to technology and clients now offered better range of products and quality of service
- mobility of clients - to obtain banking/financial services you no longer require going to a bank - can be obtained through technology (online banking) - via your phone (on the go banking services) - virtual meetings can be set up as a result of technology - clients can there access banking services on the go whilst mobile - change in the way banking/financial services provided as a result of technology - self help machines in bank branches reduce the number of staff required saving on salary/wage costs
Negatives:
- use of technology can be expensive - equipment expense and the maintenance of the machines - I.T staff required to do so
- security and reliability problems due to greater use of technology - data breaches - hackers may hack into companies and banks and distribute the information relating to the clients of the companies/banks - very problematic, tech glitches - could be very costly e.g. in 2023 the Bank of Ireland allowed customers to withdraw money they did not have in their accounts
What else has in financial markets leading to further innovation?
The underlying asset has evolved - no longer individual stocks - rise in popularity in:
- index funds
- ETF’s (exchange traded funds) - fund that may follow an index such as the FTSE 100 or the S&P 500 or US equity as a whole (all American firms trading on the stock market - all American plc’s) - like index funds, involve buying a share in all the firms in an index - very diverse portfolio - ETF’s grown in popularity in the last couple of decades - very similar to index funds but only difference is that index funds only value and trade once a day (usually at midday) which is why if trading for a day has closed, a trader won’t know exactly what price they’re buying or selling at (which is what I experience because mine is an index fund)
- junk bonds (high risk and high return)
- cryptocurrency e.g. bitcoin (prices fluctuate considerably - very volatile - extremely risky)
- NFT’s (non-fungible tokens) - digital assets
- rise of retail/social trading platforms e.g. Robinhood, StockTwit etc - these platforms allow average small size retail investors to invest and communicate with each other stating their opinions and beliefs about certain stocks and funds - gained popularity after the GameStop incident where big hedge funds believed (using past trends and other information) that the GameStop stock price would fall as they thought its business model as an in person gaming console and game supplier was obsolete and that the future was online - the hedge funds shorted the stock expecting it to fall where they would cash out and make a fortune - however as GameStop has been around for several years and holds an important part in the life in many consumers, small time investors on platforms like Robinhood began buying the GameStop stock excessively and managed to push the stock the price upwards causing extreme losses for the hedge funds which had shorted the stock expecting it to fall - this is an example of how small time investors on platforms like Robinhood were able to win against big time Wall Street investors and hedge funds
How did the trading floor differ a few decades ago to today?
It was a lot more chaotic and crowded than it is today - the outcry method was something where traders would shout and project hand signals on the floor to complete trades in the pre technology era - since the introduction of technology trading has become more efficient, calmer and quiet through apps and platforms like Robinhood, Stocktwits, Vanguard, Etoro etc
What is high frequency trading and what is being done to improve it?
High frequency is different to the long term horizon trading which is also done - high frequency trading is done by large institutions constantly (closely watch news/earnings announcements and the trade accordingly within milliseconds)
Large amounts of trading occurs between London (London Stock Exchange - LSE) and Frankfurt (Frankfurt Stock Exchange) - existing networks can send signals between the two areas where stock exchanges are located in 6 milliseconds - this seems minimal but due to the amount of trading taking place even 6 milliseconds can seem too long - mainly due to the ability of investors to arbitrage (which is where an asset/stock, which cross listed in multiple stock exchanges e.g. London and Frankfurt, is purchased and sold almost simultaneously in different markets in order to profit from tiny differences in the asset’s listed price)
Therefore new communication masts (tall towers with antennas) are being set up in Kent to further reduce the signal transfer time by a few milliseconds
What is securitisation?
One of the biggest innovations in debt markets during the 1980s - therefore not a new concept - arguably one of the major/main reasons which led to the global financial crisis (subprime crisis) in about 2006-2009
Securitisation turns relatively illiquid assets with cash flows into a liquid asset by combing/pooling the cash flows from illiquid assets into a security for investors (sold to investors)
For example say a bank wishes to take over another bank but does not have the required cash - the bank main income comes from giving out mortgage loans and earning an interest on them - the bank could pool some if it’s illiquid assets (mortgage loans) together which generate a cash flow to the bank and package them into something called asset-backed securities (ABS) to be sold to investors
Investor buys security from bank and therefore the bank receives the cash/money immediately for the combined illiquid mortgage loans (so that they can take over another bank as planned) - the interest the bank receives from the borrowers is PASSED to the investor so that the investor earns a fixed income (their gain from buying the combined security) - so the bank sacrifices it’s long term interest earning for immediate cash/capital to fulfil any monetary tasks like mergers and acquisitions
The asset backed securities (ABS) are sometimes called mortgage backed securities (MBS) or collateralised debt obligations (CDO’s) - CDO is a more general term as the they may include a more broader type of assets like mortgages, debt obligations and may even include MBS within them
CDO’s when they are sold are put into different tranches (different class) according to the risk level of each product - e.g. the product from which the interest income is earned first from the borrower by the investor would be the safest CDO with the lowest risk level as payment/earning is earned first
Why is securitisation done? CONFIRM ANSWER USING TUTORIAL Q IN WEEK 2
For liquid assets (cash etc) otherwise banks have many illiquid assets (interest which is earned from borrowers over several years - sometimes 25-30 years for certain mortgage loans) - therefore to gain access to capital, securitisation is done - allowing for mergers and acquisitions and other tasks which require liquid assets/capital like cash
What is a financial security?
A financial security is a legal claim to a future cash flow - called financial instruments, financial assets or financial claims - e.g. stocks, bonds etc
Each financial security has an issuer that receives the lump sum money and agrees it make future cash payments (in the form of interest) to the legal owner of the asset (who supplies the lump sum money) often referred to as the investor or asset holder
Remember that the issuer receives the lump sum and agrees to make interest payments
For example if Sony was to issue a corporate bond of £500 million - they would be the issuer and receive the lump sum of £500 million and agree to make interest payments to the investors - Sony would pay bond interest to the investors during the life of the bond and the principal amount (original amount borrowed) back to the investors upon maturity of the bond (after the term of the bond has ended)
How many types of financial securities are there?
2 distinct types