lecture 1: epidemiology and oncology Flashcards
benefit of cohort study over randomized control trial
large group of people over a long period of time
what is a cohort study? cohort vs case control?
cohort: Cohort of people selected and followed over time
case control: Select cases (individuals with the diagnosis being studied) then compare aspects of patient history (exposure to a possible risk factor) to controls (individuals matched to cases who do not have the diagnosis)
what is a benefit of a case control study?
Lower cost: can abstract data from records
95% Confidence Interval (CI)
Range of results for which the findings have a 95% chance of holding true
CI that crosses 1 is:
not significant
Conclusion from the “Risks and Benefits of Estrogen Plus Progestin in Healthy Postmenopausal Women” (what risks increased and what risks decreased?)
Increase in: Coronary Heart Disease, Stroke, venous thromboembolism, Breast cancer (after 5 years)
Decrease in: hip fracture
what is a meta-analysis
Statistical analysis allowing smaller studies to be merged to yield data in a larger population (= more robust)
what was the outcome of the study: “Passive Smoking and the Risk of Coronary Heart Disease — A Meta-Analysis of Epidemiologic Studies”?
Statistically significant “dose-response” relationship: trend for 1-9 years, then stat significant beyond that
**however!
MAYBE:
-Smoking more prevalent in socioeconomic groups in whom CVD is more prevalent
-Perhaps families of smokers ate less heart-healthy diets
Outcome of “A Population-Based Study of Measles, Mumps, and Rubella Vaccination and Autism: retrospective cohort study?
This study provides strong evidence against the hypothesis that MMR vaccination causes autism.
Outcome of “Once-Daily Valacyclovir to Reduce the Risk of Transmission of Genital Herpes” RCT?
- oral valacyclovir taken by immunocompetent persons with recurrent genital HSV-2 infection significantly reduces the rates of HSV reactivation, subclinical shedding, and transmission of genital herpes to a susceptible partner.
- According to the overall rate of HSV-2 acquisition and 48% reduction in risk with valacyclovir, one would expect to treat 38 persons with recurrent genital herpes for a year to prevent one case of HSV-2 infection in a susceptible partner. (NNT)
T/F: There was a large increase in the rate of advanced diagnostic imaging and associated radiation exposure between 1996 and 2010
TRUE
sensitivity:
Likelihood of an abnormal result in persons known to have the disease
(True positive / All with disease)
specificity:
Likelihood of a normal result in persons known not to have the disease
(True negative / All disease-free)
False positive rate:
Likelihood of an abnormal result in persons known not to have the disease
( = 1 -specificity)
False negative rate:
Likelihood of a normal result in patients known to have the disease ( = 1 - sensitivity)
Absolute vs. relative risk
relative risk can be misleading whereas absolute risk is more truthful
first and 2nd leading cause of death
1) heart disease
2) cancer
T/F: From 1950 to 2005, there has been a decreasing trend in death rates of heart disease and cancer
false, cancer has remained the same
T/F: More men die of cancer every year than women.
True
Incidence vs. Prevalence
Incidence: New cases
Prevalence: Current cases (new plus existing)
Incidence and mortality rates are close
in what type of cancer?
Give an example of cancer where Incidence»_space; mortality
Incidence and mortality rates are close: Aggressive cancer with limited treatment options (eg lung)
Incidence»_space; mortality:
Potentially aggressive cancer with early detection and effective treatment (eg breast)
Less aggressive cancer with effective detection (? prostate)
cancer with most new cases in women? men?
cancer with most deaths in women? men?
most new cases: breast and prostate
most deaths: lung (both gender)
what race has highest death rate/shortest survival rate from cancer?
African american
Lead time bias:
Earlier detection of disease without ultimate impact on mortality; however, the earlier diagnosis makes it appear as though early detection lead to improved survival
(ex: lung cancer)