Lecture 1 Flashcards
What are the 3 major uses of econometrics
- Describe economic reality
- Test hypotheses about economic theory
- Forecast future economic activity
Explain the 3 steps involved in quantifying economic relationship
- Specifying/ Identifying theoretical economic relationships between variables
- Collecting data on those variables identified by the theoretical model.
- Obtaining estimates of the parameters in the theoretical relationships
Explain what correlation measures
Measures the linear relationship between x and Y from a probability distribution.
Explain the main advantage and disadvantage of using the correlation measure
Correlation divides by the variance which ensures it produces a scale-free measure with value always between -1 and 1. The main disadvantage of using correlation is that it only takes into account linear relationships. For example, if there was a quadratic relationship between 2 variables correlation would fail to take this into account.
Explain what the covariance measures
The covariance measures the average cross product of devotions of X around its mean.
What is linear regression used to measure
Linear regression models the relationship between 2 variables that are assumed to be linear,
What does ei (epsilon) measure?
Epsilon measures the error and this is calculated by subtracting the estimated value of Y from the estimated value of Y.
What is the equation for a standard linear regression equation
Y=A + Bx + e
What are the 4 assumptions of the CLRM?
- E(e|x)=0 the error term is independent of xi see notes for full proof.
- V(e|x)=O^2 ( theta squared) This shows that the variance of the error term conditioned on x equals a constant. How far the estimated value is from the actual value is assumed to be constant throughout.
- Cov(ei,ej|x)=0, information about the ith person had no info about the Jth person.
- Ei|x-N(0,0^2), The regression model follows a normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of theta squared.
How do you derive a from the residual ei
- Sqaure the residual ei and then replace with y-a-bx
2. Differentiate with respect to a and replace with y bar and x bar and then you should have a=
How do you derive b from the residual ei
- Replace ei with y-a-bx squares and then differentiate with respect to b.
- replace a with the equation derived and rearrange for b see notes for full detail.