// lecture 04 Flashcards
sea level rise since 1880 has been about:
225 mm (22 cm or ~9 in)
these don’t contribute to sea level rise:
sea ice and ice shelves (connected to ice sheets, but floating on ocean).
these contribute to sea level rise:
- thermal expansion of sea water - water expands when it warms and is the main contributor of sea level rise so far.
- mountain glaciers.
- ice sheets (Greenland and Antarctica).
contribute only a tiny amount to sea level rise:
permafrost and snow cover.
natural influences on sea level:
tides, ocean currents, winds, tectonic activity (some are rising/falling).
tide gauges
are measuring sticks or sometimes floats in wells. always coastal and few long records.
TOPEX
Poseidon Radar Altimetry - instruments emit a short radar flash and measures the time-of-flight of its reflection from Earth 1,000 times per second. Measures sea level and ice sheet height.
addition of heat and addition of freshwater (land ice melting mostly) =
total sea level rise.
sea level rise 1993-2010 IPCC AR5:
thermal expansion 39%, mountain glaciers 27%, Greenland 12%, Antarctica ice sheet 9%, land water storage 13%, total 100%.
thermal expansion and mountain glaciers account for 2/3 of total sea level rise for this year period as well.
measuring the global oceans:
addition of heat (Argo) + addition of freshwater (Grace) = total sea level rise (Jason).
Exendable Bathyermographs (XBT)
helps monitor the ocean heat content. about 70 voluntary ships toss them overboard, about 14,000 each year. they measure down to 1500 m and have been in use since 1962.
the base of much of Greenland’s ice is
below sea level. was ice free about 15 million years ago when CO2 was 400-500 ppm.
Greenland ice is equivalent to a
~7 m rise in global sea level.
Mountain glaciers currently contribute
27% to rising sea levels. Greenland and Antarctica currently contribute 21%.
Recent estimates of sea level rise including increases in calving:
- 0.5 - 1.4 m by considering past SLR to past warming dependence and used IPCC estimate of future warming.
- accelerated but plausible dynamic thinning could give 0.8 - 2 m.