Lec 8: Geoengineering and scientific knowledge Flashcards
What are the 2 main types of geoengineering?
- CDR
- solar radiation management
Why geoengineering?
- it’s a green technology
- it allows us to avoid the tragedy of the commons
- it’s not inconsistent with other mitigation and adaptation strategies
- it’s profitable enough for private companies to enter the market
what is the main advantage of of geoengineering as opposed to other climate mitigation strategies?
it doesn’t require international agreements
How does the US’ $45Q tax credit increase the likelihood of a profitable CDR system?
At the moment, americans can receive an amount of money per number of tons of CO2 captured. If this amount is raised, competition will increase, and better CDR systems will be created.
What are arguments against geoengineering?
- some think it’s mad science, mistrust science/technology
- it’s playing god, against nature
- there’s uncertainty about the side-effects
What are the 5 points in the Oxford principle of geoengineering?
1) Geoengineering should be regulated as a public good
2) there should be public participation in geoengineering decision-making
3) there should be disclosure of geoengineering research and open publication of its results
4) there should be independent assessment of its impacts
5) there needs to be a governance structure in place before its deployment
What are objections to Gardiner and Fragniere’s 5 principles
1) Regulating geoengineering as a global public good goes against the initial goal of geoengineering. We need it to be rival so that private companies actually invest in it.
5) Requiring a governance bodies takes away the benefits of geoengineering. We want to use geoengineering specifically because it doesn’t require international agreements.
What is knowledge?
a justified true belief
What are the 3 conditions for knowledge?
S knows that P if and only if…
- P is true
- S believes that P is true
- S is justified in thinking that P is true
What is scientific knowledge obtained through? What is it based on?
inductive reasoning. based on the scientific method
Name the 5 steps of the scientific method
- make an observation
- take a measurement
- come up with a testable, refutable hypothesis
- test the hypothesis
- the truth-value of hypotheses: if the hypothesis is proven to be true, you have knowledge
What are the limits of inductive reasoning?
the turkey paradox
- inductive reasoning would predict that the turkey farmer would not kill the turkey
reducing uncertainty to risk
- uncertainty: we have not knowledge of the likelihood of future events
- risk: we know the likelihood of future events
difference is that with risk you can calculate the EXPECTED costs and benefits
the precautionary principle acknowledges…
it considers….
- the limits of scientific knowledge
- uncertainty
- irreversability
- the possibility of unexpected catastrophic events