Lec 3 - Corporate Disclosure Policy and Share Price Anticipation of Earnings / Gelb and Zarowin Flashcards
What type of firm finds prices leading earnings more important?
Firms with an informative disclosure policy
What was G and Z’s prediction?
The association between current stock price changes (returns) and future earnings is higher for high disclosure firms
Thereore higher disclosure firms enable the market to anticipate a larger proportion of future earnings changes in period t
The higher correlation shows up in future ERCs
What dataset do G and Z rely on?
Federation of Financial Analysts (FAF)
- Total score calculated as weighted average of the 3 individual category scores and main tests are based on total score
Empirical journal articles report either standard error of the estimate of the t-test or the p-value, which do G and Z use?
P-value
What does a p-value smaller than 0.01 mean for the coefficient?
The coefficient is highly significant
What does a p-value between 0.01 and 0.05 mean for the coefficient?
The coefficient is significant
What does a p-value between 0.05 and 0.1 mean for the coefficient?
The coefficient is marginally significant
What does a p-value greater than 0.1 mean for the coefficient?
The coefficient is not significant and there is no co-movement between the dependent and independent variable