L7 Flashcards

1
Q

What role do banks play in the transition?

A

provide transition financing to achieve carbon emissions reductions

joining climate groups like PCAF

adopting reporting standards

powerful actors = could change the cost of capital for clean tech and change dynamics for big emitters

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

why is debt tricky for clean tech

A

Dont always have cash flow in the first 3-5 years to provide that you can repay debt

need to figure out the loan loss ratio and how the company is going to deal with issues in repaying the loan

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

What are the 4x option for getting financing?

A
  • public market issuance - equity or credit
  • private market financing - equity, debt or infrastructure
  • lending
  • balance sheet funding
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

What are some key sectors that are not accounted for yet in green transition financing?

A
  • natural gas pipelines suitable for hydrogen
  • land use changes
  • cost of decommissioning ff infrastructure
  • sustainable food supply
  • information and communication technology
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

What is a stronger alternative to NDCs to transition?

A

board structure and general board engagement

leadership is v important

but difficult as the main mandate is inflation and growth for major banks - focus on shareholder returns - need shareholders to start asking for change in a concrete way

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

What role do oil companies play in the transition?

A
  • must be a part of the transition - rapidly transition companies with a legitimate transition plan in the investible universe
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

What is the requirements to be a legitimate part of the transition if you are an oil and gas company?

A

Revenues
- 50% green revenues - current
- at least 50% of green revenues by 2050 through legitimate transition plan

Capex
- % of total capex for X number of years

CO2 emissions
- Scope 1 and 2 - what is the min rate of carbon emissions reduction
NOT CREDIBLE to just by carbon offsets

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

Is there evidence of shifting capex for renewables?

A

Announcement of aggressive renewable capital expenditures and capacity tragets

as of Q4 2021 - there is little evidence of a significant % of total capex for renewables

Shell is focused on integration of low carbon value chain with position in utilities, EV charging and battery storage
but a renewable power generation portfolio is not a core part of the companies energy transition strategy

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

What is BPs transition plan?

A

it will rely on CCS and offsets

trailed behind peers in RE spending but announced it will sped $4 billion a year by 2050 and $5 billion by 2030
8-10x on current green spending of $500 million

2050 - represent 1/3 of capex

but this could be a result of reduced absolute capex, combined with maintenance or ugrades of energy/transition budget

but BP has been opaque in reporting of capex

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

What is the difference between project debt financing and corporate financing?

A

PDF is when the investors exposure is tied solely to the cash flows of a specific investment i.e. the project rather than with CF where it is to the entire company
i.e. the sponsor

PDF is ringfencing the investment - financing something v specific

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

When is project debt financing used?

A

often in energy and frastructure projects

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

What are other names for project debt financing?

A

SPV or special purpose company financing

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

The use of project financing is becoming more widespread - what explains this trend?

A

= can spread the same amount of capital available over a greater number of projects

  • can ring-fence risks or cap your exposure to a specific project without impacting the resources of the rest of the organisation
  • you have no other choice - ie. you don’t have a balance sheet eg. developers or funds
  • depending on the credit quality of the sponsor it can be more efficient to use project financing if the credit risk of the project is better than that of a sponsor
  • join ventures - allows for shared participation by joint venture partners
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

What are the key debt financing parameters?

A

1/ rate - margin, fees, fixed vs. floating
2/ tenor - duration of the loan
3/ repayment terms: amortising or bullet
4/ security - secured vs unsecured
5/ covenants

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

How do you work out the DSCR?

A

CFADS/debt service ( principle +interest)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

What is there is no principal replayment - to the DCSR?

A

DSCR = ICR

ICR is the interest cover ratio

17
Q

How do you work out CFADS?

A

CFADS= revenue - opex - maintence CAPEX (or reserve accounts) - changes in working capital - cash taxes

18
Q

What is the flexibility around project finance debt?

A

v inflexible cap structure - you can only borrow money for this purpose and in accordance with the covenants

19
Q

What are some key risks that a project would face

A

1/ revenue - primary source of concern
2/ climate conditions - how often windy
3/ volume and price risk - PPA or hedge?
4/ opp and technological risk - O&M contracted out risks or warranties

20
Q

What are some of the risks on opp costs?

A

1/ construction - delays, or cost overruns
outsources to the EPC
2/ tech performance but risks taken from the equipment manufacturer normally

21
Q

What are the opperations OPEX risks?

A

O&M costs - availability related to operational performance

counterparty takes on these risks

offtake risks

22
Q

What is the relationship between the DSCR and risk?

A

higher risk = higher DSCR

allow for more cashflow cushioning to meet the servicing of the debt - it will lower the debt to equity

if gearing is low then COC i high - thus wacc is higher

23
Q

What is the relationship between D/E ration and risk?

A

strong correlation - the higher the perception of risk the less tech maturity

the lower the debt to equity ratio - and the shorter the tenor of the loan