L5 Hypothesis testing and confidence intervals Flashcards

1
Q

How do you in general calcualte the t-statistic

A

the result of the estimator subtracted by the hypothized value divided by the standard error of the estimator

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2
Q

When should you reject the null hypothesis given a confidence level of 95%

A

If the absolute of the t-statistic is greater than 1.96. Than the likelihood of getting such an extreme outcome assuming the null hypothesis is true is less than 5%.

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3
Q

How large does n have to be to be considered large

A

50

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4
Q

How do you write a regression report in a consise way

A

Estimation = intercept_in_numbers with standard error of intercept in parenthases under - coefficient_in_numbers with standard error in parenthases under *SRE, R² = regression, SER = standard error

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5
Q

are b0 and b1 OLS estimators

A

Yes

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6
Q

what is the confidence interval for b1 at 95% confidence

A

b1+- 1.96*SER(b1)

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7
Q

Are binary regressors called dummy variables

A

Yes

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8
Q

What is the slope called in a binary regressor

A

population difference in group means. This is because it would not make sense to call something binary a slope.

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9
Q

What is the intercept in a binary regression distribution

A

the mean of Y when X is 0

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10
Q

What is Homoskedasticity

A

It is when the variance of the standard error does not depend on the independent variable var(u|X=x) = const otherwise it is hetroskedastic

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11
Q

if group variances are equal is the standard error homo or hetro -skedastic

A

homoskedastic

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12
Q

if group variances are unequal in the standard error of a binary-regression is the standard error homo or hetero skedastic

A

heteroskedastic

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13
Q

What is the difference between homoskedacity and E(u|X=x)=0

A

E is concerned about if there is a normally distributed area where the expected error is 0, if the normally distributed areas variance stays constant than we have homoskedacity if does not we have heteroskedacity.

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14
Q

Is there special formulas for homoskedastic standard errors

A

Yes, they are called homoskedastic-only standard error formulas

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15
Q

What is the standard error that works for both homo and hetero skedacity

A

robust standard errors

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16
Q

What are the advatanges of a homoskedastic only standard error formula

A

It is simpler than the robust formulas although it cannot calculate the standard error in case of heteroskedacity

17
Q

Is homoskedacity only standard errors the default in most statistical softwares

A

Yes, if you want robust you must change the settings but that you cannot do in excel as it is the only option

18
Q

Should you always use robust formulas

A

Yes if you can although the formulas coencide when n is large

19
Q

OLS in unbiased but not consistent

A

False it is both unbiased and consistent

20
Q

What is the Gaus Markov theorem

A

That if OLS is homoskedastic the estimated slope has the smallest variance of all possible linear estimators

21
Q

When does the result of the OLS estimator have the smallest variance of all consistent functions for Y, all linear and non linear estimators

A

If we assume both homoskedacity and that the errors are normally distributed

22
Q

What are the drawbacks of the OLS estimator

A

the conditions for perfection are rare as relationships are often not linear and errors often not homoskedastic. It is also sensitive to outliers, never the less it is often the default in statistical software and if n is over 50 it is usually quite good

23
Q

Estimated slopes in multiple regression are generally independently distributed

A

False, so nether are their test statistics

24
Q

What is a joint hypothesis test when talking about regression

A

A test that specifies a null value for multiple coefficients. Often the null is that the coeficient of them both is the same

25
Q

What is the q in joint hypothesis tests

A

The number of restrictions that are attempted to be disproved.

26
Q

In joint hypothesis testing can you test the two hypothesis after each other

A

No because that would make the significance level misleading. If you test at 5% significance and give it 2 chances to fail the confidence is altered. 5% significance is in reality 9.75%

27
Q

What mesure is used to test joint hypotesis tests

A

You use the F-statistic

28
Q

Can the F-statistic be negative

A

No it cannot

29
Q

When does an F-test tell us that the variables matter

A

When the F statistic is large, then we reject that the coefficients are 0

30
Q

What does the general test of linear restrictions test

A

If the value of some coefficients are 0

31
Q

What does the F statistic signify in excell

A

A small number means that it is likely that all coefficients of the variables that are tested are zero

32
Q

What is a prediction interval

A

The confidence interval for a specific instance

33
Q

Why are confidence intervals smaller than prediction intvals

A

Because the prediction interval also hinges on the uncertainty of the error of the confidence interval and thus relies on more random variables.