L15 - Option Sensitivity Flashcards
What are the sensitivity factors we consider?
- Quantitative factors (from Black-Scholes)
- Underlying Price
- Strike Price
- Volatility
- Time
- Interest rate
- Dividend
- Other factors
- Expectations
- Behavioural finance
What are the Greeks?
- To estimate the option sensitivity to different factors some synthetic indicators called greeks are used
- the Greeks are quantities representing the sensitivities of derivatives such as the option to change in underlying parameters on which the value of an instrument r portfolio of financial instruments is dependent on
- Also called risk sensitivities, risk measures or hedge parameters
- Each greek measure a different aspect of the risk in an option
- though understanding and managing these greeks, market makers, traders, financial institutions and portfolio managers can mage their risk appropriately
- Each Greek measures the sensitivity of the value of a portfolio to a small change in a is given underlying (using partial derivatives) –> so that components risks may be treated in isolate and the portfolio reblanced accordingly to achieve a desired exposure
What are the most common Greeks?
- Greeks are the first-orde derivatives
- Delta
- theta
- vega
- Rho
- Second-order derivatives of value –> Gamma
Ther remaining sensitivities are common enough that they have common names, but this list is by no means exhaustive
What is Delta?
- delta of call options is always positive when the spot price increases
- A call option value will increase by delta for every £1 increase in the underlying
- it has a range from 0 (when OTM) and +1 when deep ITM
- Delta for an ATM option is around 0.5 and decreases when OTM and increases when in the money for a call option
- A call option value will increase by delta for every £1 increase in the underlying
- delta of a put option is always negative when the spot price increases
- ranges from 0 and -1
- A put options value will decrease by delta for every £1 increase in the underlying
- ranges from 0 and -1
-
delta put-call parity
- delta of put = delta of call - 1
- as the sum of the absolute values of the delta is one for the same strike price
What is Delta Hedging?
Example of Delta Hedging?
- Take on the opposite position in the underlying of size delta*stocks underlying original option
- In this case for every delta lost in the value of the option, the share price went up by 1*no of shares used for hedging
What is the problem with delta hedging?
- unfortunately, delta-hedging only works for a short period of time during when the delta of the option is fixed
- The hedge will have to be readjusted periodically to reflect changes in delta, which could be affected by the share price, time to expiry, risk-free rate of return and volatility of the underlying
- Markets may be illiquidity so you cant buy enough stocks to hedge
how can Delta be a proxy for probability?
- Some options traders also use the absolute value of delta as the probability that the option will expire ITM (if the markets move under Brownian motion)
- For example, if an OTM call option has a delta of 0.15 the trader might estimate that the option has appropriately a 15% chance of expiring ITM
- Similarly, if a put contract has a delta of -0.25 the trader might expect the option to have a 25% probability of expiring ITM.
- ATM options have a delta absolute value of 0.5 so they have a 50% chance of expiring ITM
Variations of Delta with Share Price?
- Variation of Delta with Time to Expiry (T) for European option on non-dividend paying share with a strike price of X
- the close you get to the expiry date the closer the delta of OTM, ATM and ITM option
- moves closer to the ATM delta –> they are never equal though
What is Gamma?
- If gamma is small, delta only changes slowly and in order to keep a portfolio (basket of shares and options) delta-neutral adjustments to the portfolio can be made less frequently
- however, if delta is very sensitive and the game is large the portfolio will need to be adjusted more frequently to maintain delta neutrality
Example of Gamma?
- Only goes till 1 or to 0 wont go any higher or lower
Example of using Gamma as a trader?
change in delta = (gamma+delta) * no of options bought
How can you use Gamma to estimate the market value of your portfolio?
How does Gamma vary with the share price?
How does Gamma vary with Time to Expiry?
- ITM and OTM options drive gamma towards zero over time
- Because when you are close to the expiry date and you are far from the strike price you know whether the option is in or out
- Gamma increases as the time to expiry decrease for ATM options i.e. the value of the option is highly sensitive to the underlying share price