L1 Flashcards
What is a model?
Explanation of the world in an easy way with variables
How are y and x related?
Linearly
What does u capture?
Everything that determines y, that is not x
Name observable, and non-observable: y, x, u.
y and x observable. u unnobservable.
What are Betas?
Unobservable parameters -> we want to estimate
What is B1 in y = B0 + B1 x + B2 x2 + u?
CAUSAL effect of x on y, ceteris paribus.
What is spurious correlation?
Correlation without causation.
What is the key assumption for causality?
Zero Conditional Mean Assumption -> E[u|x] = E[u] = 0
Divide the systematic part from the idiosyncratic part.
Starting with E[y|x] = B0 + B1 x
y = E[y|x] (systematic) + u (idiosyncratic)
For the population sample, yi equals?
yi = E[y|xi] + ui
Symbol to represent estimated error:
ûi
ûi equals:
yi - ^yi
(Estimated error = real value - estimated value)
What is the goal of choosing ^B0 and ^B1?
Minimizing ûi (squared)
^B1 equals:
^B1 = cov(x,y) / var(x)
^B0 equals:
Intercept -> avg(y) - ^B1 avg(x)