KAPLAN 5-9 Flashcards
WACC
cost of debt and equity averaged based on market value of each source of finance
[Ve/Ve+Vd]Ke + [Vd/Vd+Ve]Kd(1-T)
Ke, Kd - return required by equity and debt holders
Ke - CAPM
derives required return for investor by relaitng return to the level of systematic risk faced by investor (assumption that all investor are well diversified, so syst risk is only relevant)
Ke (CAPM) = Rf + Bi(E(Rm)-Rf)
Rf - risk free rate
E (Rm) - expected return on the market
(E(Rm) - Rf) is called equity risk premium
Bi - beta factor - systematic risk of the firm or project compared to market
B>1 - above average risk
B<1 relatively low risk
B = based on statistical analysis of returns from a particular share over a period compared to the overall market returns; if indiv returns are more volatile then B>1
bETA
Beta values reflect:
business risk (resulting from operations) and finance risk (resulting from their level of gearing)
2 types of gearing:
1. asset or ungeared, Ba, - only systematic risk of business area
2. Be - equity or geared beta, reflects the systematic risk of business area and specific gearing position of the company in question
de-gear and re-gear Beta
Ba = [Ve/(Ve+Vd(1-T)]Be
Dividend Valuation Model
value of company is PV of expected future dividends discounted at shareholders required rate of return
P0 = D0(1+g)/(ke-g)
g - constant growth rate in dividends
D0 - currrent level of dividend
P0 - current share price
Ke = [D0(1+g)/P0]+g
MM’s proposition 2
Ke = Kei +(1-T)(Kei-Kd)(Vd/Ve)
V - market value
Kd - pre-tax return required by debt holders
Kei - cost of equity in equivalent ungeared firm
Ke - cost of equity in geared firm
cost of debt
the value of share = PV of future dividends at the shareholders required rate of return
The value of bond = PV of future receipts (interest + redemption amount) discounted at lender’s required rate of return
Irredeemable debt
Kd(1-T) = I (1-T)/MV
I - annual interest paid
T - corporate tax rate
MV - current bond price
Redeemable debt
Kd(1-T) = the Internal Rate of Return of :
- bond price
- interest (net of tax)
- redemption payment
pre-tax cost of debt
also called yield to investor, yield to maturity, or gross redemption yield
for irredeemable debt, pre-tax Kd is I/MV - interest/cost of bond now
for redeemable debt = pre tax cost of debt is IRR of the bond price, the GROSS interest (i.e. pre-tax) and redemption payment
credit spread (default risk premium)
Kd(1-T) = (Risk free rate + Credit spread)(1-T)
credit spread is a measure of the risk associated with the company. generally calculated by credit rating agency
credit risk, rating agencies and spread
credit or default risk is the uncertainty surrounding a firm’s ability to service its debts and obligations
credit rating agencies provide infor on creditworthiness
factor indicating likelihood that company will default on its obligations
- the magnitude and strength of company’s CF
- the size of debt relative to the asset value of the firm
- the volatility of the firm’s asset value
- the length of time the debt has to run
AAA - BBB - Investment - from highest quality - zero risk, AA - HQ, little risk, A - strong, min risk
BBB - medium grade - low but clear risk
BB-C - junk
BB grade - marginal risk
B - significant risk exposure
CCC - considerable risk exposure
CC - highly speculative - v high risk
C - in default - v high likelihood of failure
Kaplan Urwitz model to calc credit rating
CREDIT SPREAD
to compensate lenders for uncertainty with low rank firms, firm pay SPREAD or PREMIUM over Risk free rate of interest, which is proportional to their default probability
Yield on corporate bond = Yield on equivalent treasury bond + credit spread
Iterative process for determining spot yield curve by bootstraping coupon paying bonds
current trading price of the bond = 100+coupon rate (107)/(1+r1)
so 103=(107/(1+r1))
R1=107/103-1=3.88%
Bond B, redeemable in 2yrs, coupon rate of 6% and is trading at $102
Bond B; 102 = ($6/1.0388)+[106/(1+r2)^2]; r2 = 4.96%
Bond C: $98 = ($5/1.0388)+(5/1.0496)+[105/(1+r3)^3]
r3 = 5.8%
the annual spot yield curve:
year
1 = 3.88%
2 = 4.96
3 = 5.8
Macalay duration for bond
- calculate PV of each future receipt from bond, using pre-tax cost of debt as discount rate
- calculate the sum of (time to maturity PV of receipt) (10.03+(28.15)+(37.36)… =404.
- divide this by PV of receipts (i.e. the bond price) = 404.30/97.25=4.157 yrs
Modified duration = Macalay duration/(1+discount rate) = 4.157/1.10743 = 3.754 - the size of modified duration = identified how much the value of the nond will change if there is a change in interest rates
the value of the bond will change by 3.754 times the change in interest rates mulitplied by original value of the bond
duration pros and cons
duration measures average time it takes for a bond to pay its coupons and principal and measures redemption period of a bond
1. allows comparison of binds with different maturities
main cons
assumes a linear relationship bn interest rates and bond price. the extent of deviation from linear relationship is known as convexity
themore convex, the more inaccurate duration is for measuring interest rate sensistivity