IV: Derivative asset pricing, Aspects of the financial system Flashcards
What drives hedge fund flows? A 30-Year Perspective on Property Derivatives: What Can Be Done to Tame Property Price Risk? Anomalies: The Law of One Price in Financial Markets Towards a Political Theory of the Firm Moore’s Law versus Murphy’s Law: Algorithmic Trading and Its Discontents
Alpha or beta in the eye of the beholder: What
drives hedge fund flows?
Agarwal, Vikas, Clifton T. Green, and Honglin Ren, 2018
What is “flow-performance horse race”?
Which model’s alpha predicts the CFs of the hedge fund the best.
Alpha or beta in the eye of the beholder: What
drives hedge fund flows?
Agarwal, Vikas, Clifton T. Green, and Honglin Ren, 2018
Hedge funds are using more exotic strategies than ever before. How the investors evaluate hedge fund’s performance?
They use CAPM. The probability that the sign of the fund flow (positive or negative) depends on the alpha is the highest for CAPM, the simplest model.
Alpha or beta in the eye of the beholder: What
drives hedge fund flows?
Agarwal, Vikas, Clifton T. Green, and Honglin Ren, 2018
To which components can hedge fund’s returns be decomposed? To which factors are the returns the most sensitive to?
Alpha, traditional risk factors & exotic risk factors. Investor flows respond to all 3 return components, but emphasis on exotic factors is larger than on traditional factors.
Alpha or beta in the eye of the beholder: What
drives hedge fund flows?
Agarwal, Vikas, Clifton T. Green, and Honglin Ren, 2018
What does it mean if the risk exposure (beta) persistence?
Hedge funds follow certain strategies for risk exposures, but future returns to those exposures are not predictable from the recent returns to those exposures.
Alpha or beta in the eye of the beholder: What
drives hedge fund flows?
Agarwal, Vikas, Clifton T. Green, and Honglin Ren, 2018
What investors are more sensitive to returns associated with exposure to exotic risk?
The ones who pay higher performance fees?
Alpha or beta in the eye of the beholder: What
drives hedge fund flows?
Agarwal, Vikas, Clifton T. Green, and Honglin Ren, 2018
Hedge funds that deliver higher alphas, charge higher fees, but traditional and exotic risk components do not differ much across the funds. What does that mean?
Higher-fee funds charge for the skill that they earn with, not exposures to exotic risks.
Alpha or beta in the eye of the beholder: What
drives hedge fund flows?
Agarwal, Vikas, Clifton T. Green, and Honglin Ren, 2018
How do funds of funds investors evaluate fund’s performance?
No evidence that funds of funds evaluate performance using more sophisticated models than other hedge fund investors, but they are more sensitive to exotic returns.
Alpha or beta in the eye of the beholder: What
drives hedge fund flows?
Agarwal, Vikas, Clifton T. Green, and Honglin Ren, 2018
What can be concluded about the investors of the hedge funds?
Emphasis on CAPM does not reflect a lack of awareness of untraditional risks, but rather a specific tendency of investors to chase recent returns associated with both traditional and exotic risk exposures
As the returns to factors do not persist, this is not an optimal practice, instead of looking at how much exotic risks contributed to recent returns, investors should employ more sophisticated models and separate traditional and exotic risks. This would help them allocate capital between cheap mutual funds or ETFs (where they can get exposed to traditional factors) and hedge funds with exotic exposures.
A 30-Year Perspective on Property Derivatives:
What Can Be Done to Tame Property Price Risk?
Fabozzi, Frank J., Robert J. Shiller, and Radu S. Tunaru, 2020
What do the authors mean by saying that the market for property derivatives is “in a state of infancy”?
Property derivatives require a more complex process to be generally accepted by financial market participants.
In particular, more needs to be done on the modelling side to facilitate pricing and hedging in this incomplete market. The ultimate goal is for property derivatives to be traded as a standard commodity, similar to the way that futures, options, and swaps are traded for stock and bond indexes.
A 30-Year Perspective on Property Derivatives:
What Can Be Done to Tame Property Price Risk?
Fabozzi, Frank J., Robert J. Shiller, and Radu S. Tunaru, 2020
What is a reverse mortgage?
A homeowner receives periodic payments for a fixed period or life, secured by the value of the property that will be sold after death. Reverse mortgages may be especially beneficial for elderly households with low income, poor health, and limited non-housing wealth.
A 30-Year Perspective on Property Derivatives:
What Can Be Done to Tame Property Price Risk?
Fabozzi, Frank J., Robert J. Shiller, and Radu S. Tunaru, 2020
What are the advantages of property derivatives?
- Information about future prices of property can be extracted
- Housing price risk can be be hedge
- One can get exposure to real estate without owning it (diversification).
- Reverse mortgage can be designed.
A 30-Year Perspective on Property Derivatives:
What Can Be Done to Tame Property Price Risk?
Fabozzi, Frank J., Robert J. Shiller, and Radu S. Tunaru, 2020
What caused the rise of the property derivatives in 1970s?
- Acceleration of property price growth: before that, the prices were mostly rising slowly
- Unpreparedness of covered mortgages and MBS for elevated inflation of 1970s
- Shift to adjustable rate mortgages: previously, mortgages have been balloon payments.
Overall, some property derivatives have been developed since then, but none of them has become truly widespread. Crisis in subprime lending (and thus GFC) also did not help the initiatives.
A 30-Year Perspective on Property Derivatives:
What Can Be Done to Tame Property Price Risk?
Fabozzi, Frank J., Robert J. Shiller, and Radu S. Tunaru, 2020
What are the obstacles in property development derivatives?
!!!
◦ Index construction mismatch
◦ There are various ways how to measure the real estate market value (new sales or listed prices, national or
regional, rural or urban, etc.)
◦ Matching the timing of the real estate index to the property derivatives
◦ Negligible liquidity: who would be willing to provide insurance against a fall in prices?
◦ On the sell side are all those concerned about a possible price decline. But who would be on the buy side? Youngsters who want to hedge against too much housing price increase?
Likely too few of them. Perhaps, big asset managers who want to be exposed to real estate.
◦ Modelling considerations: arbitrage condition is not a good condition for real estate derivatives, so
creating a pricing model is a challenge
◦ Regulatory issues: as a result of GFC and Basel III Accord, trading property derivatives became very
capital-intensive for banks, so they quit the market
Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future
Stulz, Rene M., 2007
The authors compare mutual funds and hedge funds. Mention at least five differences between mutual and hedge funds. One sentence per each is enough.
Hedge funds are relatively unregulated, managers have a great deal of flexibility in strategies (short positions, borrowing, extensive use of derivatives). Aggressive and risky strategies. No disclosure required, although might be provided voluntarily typically to attract funds. Lack of disclosure makes proper risk evaluation very difficult but strategies protected. Small in size, but require a large initial investment. Active only. Securities are issued privately; investors must meet SEC requirements (knowledge, wealth, capacity to bear losses). Fund flows are less sensitive to short-term performance → more opportunity to engage in complex strategies. A hedge fund can reject an investor.
Mutual funds are heavily regulated with respect to risk level, managers’ compensation, governance, etc. Disclosure and reporting are required, audit. Typically large in size with a small initial investment required. Active/passive. Almost anyone can become an investor by buying fund’s shares. Therefore, fund flows are sensitive to short-term performance, which also constrains the type of strategies a fund manger can employ.
Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future
Stulz, Rene M., 2007
Please challenge the conclusions made by the authors! Recall at least three problems the authors faced and that could affect their results/conclusions.
??
Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future
Stulz, Rene M., 2007
Only a handful of hedge funds have ever grown to exceed $1 billion in AUM, while many more mutual and exchange-traded funds have done so rather quickly. Explain why this might be so from the point of view of the returns to scale of hedge fund strategies.
Hedge fund strategies involves hedging the risk and, thus, on average does not outperform ETFs/market indexes.
Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future
Stulz, Rene M., 2007
Long-Term Capital Management (often referred to as LTCM) was a large hedge fund, led by Nobel Prize-winning economists and renowned Wall Street traders, which collapsed in 1998. One of the differences in the regulation of hedge funds and mutual funds is the mandatory disclosure condition. Why do some hedge funds choose not to disclose their trades, and what
are the costs and risks behind it? How is the hedge fund client selection different from that of
the mutual funds?
??????
Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future
Stulz, Rene M., 2007
What is the purpose of mutual fund and how does it differ from the purpose of a hedge fund?
The purpose is the same - provide positive returns for investor.
Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future
Stulz, Rene M., 2007
How does close-end and open-end mutual fund differ?
Closed-end funds: shares are listed on an exchange and are traded like stocks throughout the market hours, no
creation/redemption.
Open-end funds: create/redeem shares based on net asset value (NAV) at the end of the trading day.
Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future
Stulz, Rene M., 2007
What are the characteristics of hedge funds?
- freedom in strategies (more than mutual funds)
- harsh entrance and exit conditions
- not traded on an exchange
- the least accessible type; designed for sophisticated investors.
All hedge funds and some mutual funds have active management style, but mutual funds may also have a passive management style.
Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future
Stulz, Rene M., 2007
How are ETFs traded?
Traded throughout the market hours like closed-end funds, but can be created/redeemed (similar to open-end) on the primary market by authorised participants; the most accessible type. ETFs are typically passive in a sense that they follow a predefined index.
Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future
Stulz, Rene M., 2007
What are funds of funds?
A hedge fund that invests in individual hedge funds and monitors these investments, thereby providing investors a diversified portfolio of hedge funds, risk management services, and a way to share the due diligence costs with other investors.
Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future
Stulz, Rene M., 2007
What are the differences between manager’s evaluation (and compensation) mutual funds vs. hedge funds?
Hedge fund’s manager pursue absolute returns rather than returns in excess of a benchmark (fund returns do not depend on market returns), compensation is about 1-2% of AUM and 15-25% above the hurdle rate. Managers get compensated only once the loss is recovered (although it should control risk-taking, most typically a fund closes after experiencing large losses); if gains are large, compensation will rise as well.
Mutual fund’s manager’s evaluation is relative to a benchmark and the compensation mostly depends on assets under management (AUM), symmetric. Typically cheaper than hedge funds.