Investments Flashcards
What are types of unsystematic risk?
Accounting
Business
Country
Default
Executive
Financial
Governmental/Regulation
Remember ABCDEFG
These risks are diversifiable
What is the percent liklihood a return will be within 1, 2 or 3 standard deviations away from the average?
1 - 68%
2 - 95%
3 - 99%
What is beta?
A measure of systematic/market risk.
It represents the relationship between a portfolio and the market.
How our portfolio returns are related to market returns
If beta = .88
When market goes up 10%, portfolio goes up 8.8%
(The beta of the market is always 1)
What is r2?
R squared is the correlation between a portfolios and the market.
What percent of return is due to the market.
If correlation = .8
r-squared = 64%
When is beta an appropriate measure of risk?
Only when r-squared is greater than .70
r-squared is the correlation coefficient squared.
If it’s less than .7 than beta is NOT an appropriate measure of risk. -> Use standard deviation to measure risk instead.
What is the efficient frontier?
Harry Markowitz
The portfolios that offer the highest rate of return based on the risk of the portfolio - these are the most efficient combinations of risky assets.
What is the market portfolio?
The optimal portfolio. Connects the risk free rate with the efficient frontier.
The Capital Market line maps from the risk free rate - helps determine the best portfolio based on the risk that you’re comfortable.
Only works on a well diversified portfolio with systematic risk.
What is market risk premium?
The risk over the risk free rate.
What is the required rate of return when the risk free rate of return is 3%, the beta is 1.2 and the risk premium is 8%
rm = market return
rm-rf = market risk premium
What is duration?
If you buy a put you..
have the RIGHT to sell a security at a certain price.
If you buy a call…
you have the RIGHT (but not obligation) to buy the underlying asset at a predetermined price at a pre determined time.
If you sell a put…
You’re agreeing, and you’re obligated, to sell a security at a specific price within a specific time period
What is a long stock position?
Someone who has a long position has the right to buy the asset/commodity for $x.
What is the value of the option when “in-the-money”?
An in-the-money call option is when the strike price is less than the market price. Does not take premium into account. Profit.
Ex: Strike price - $50, market price - $55
- You’re in the money because you can redeem your call and profit $5
At-the-money: prices are equal
Out-of-the-money: price is less - no profit
The longer the timeframe on an option, the ____(greater/less) the value
Greater.
You’ll pay more for a longer time frame to execute an option.
How to value an option?
Add the fundamental value plus the time value.
Fundamental value is the difference between strike and market price. Fundamental value can’t be negative.
If you’re long on a futures contract of corn..
You benefit if the price goes up because you have a locked in price.
If you’re short, you’ve agreed to sell at a certain price. Benefit when price goes down.
What is short selling?
Sell at a higher price with the hope that market price drops and you can fulfill the order with cheaper stock.
Must have a margin account
What is the initial margin?
The amount that an investor must contribute to enter into a margin position.
Regulation T by the Fed requires that it must be 50% or greater.
At what price does an investor receive a margin call price?
Formula to memorize
Loan/(1-maintenance margin)
What is the value line?
Ranks stocks on a scale of 1 to 5 based on timeliness and safety. 1 is the highest
Morning star is 1 to 5 stars, 5 is the highest
What is the dividend date?
The date you receive the dividend
The ex-dividend date is the day before the day of record. If you buy on that day you don’t get the dividend.
Note that it’s BUSINESS DAYS
Requirements for a cash dividend do be qualified and received capital gains treatment
- Paid by American company or qualifying foreign company
- Not specifically listed by the IRS as a non-qualifying dividend
- Held for more than 60 days during the 121 day period that begins before the ex-dividend date.
note that a stock dividend is not taxable to the shareholder.
What is the Securities Act of 1933?
Paper Act
Issuance of new securities (IPOs)
secondary offering (but not secondary market) - so a company is selling more shares into the market
What is the Securities Act of 1934?
People Act - one investor to another investor
Regulates the secondary market and trading of securities
Created the SEC
1934 - FOR the people
What is the Investment Company Act of 1940
Authorized SEC to regulate investment companies.
What are treasury bills?
Denominations of $100
Less than 1 year to maturity, direct obligation of the government
What is commercial paper?
Short term loans between corporations
Maturities of 270 days or less
Denominations of $100k
What is a Certificate of Deposit?
Time deposit at a bank with a set interest rate and maturity date
What is the coefficient of variation?
What is the information ratio?
Looks at the portfolio return versus the return of a benchmark
Risk measure is standard deviation
RELATIVE risk measure
the higher the better
How do you calculate geometric mean?
What is regulation D?
What is the investment policy statement?
Establishes client objectives and limitations on investment manager.
Return requirements
Risk tolerance
Constraints including:
- Time horizon
- liquidity needs
- taxes - is the account taxable?
- Laws and regs - ex when held in trust
- Unique Circumstances - anything unique to the client
What is the Dow?
Index
Price weighted average
Does not include market capitalization
30 stocks
What is the S&P 500?
Value weighted index - does incorporate market capitalization
large cap stocks
Russel 2000-small cap
What is standard deviation?
Measures systematic AND unsystematic risk.
The bigger the most risky.
How do you calculate the standard deviation?
Use calculator.
input each number followed by sigma key
Shift 8 for standard dev
Shift 7 for mean
How do you calculate coefficient of variation?
standard deviation / mean
(standard deviation per unit of mean return)
The more coeffecient of variation, the more risk
The lower CV is a better mix of risk and return
What is the correlation?
Perfectly negative correlation (-1) - securities move opposite of each other. No risk
No correlation (0)
Perfectly positive (+1) move exactly like each other
Note: You don’t need a negative correlation to be diversified! Just something less than 1. The closer to 0 the better.
What is covariance?
measures risk of a security reletive to another security.
What is beta?
Measure of systematic risk in a diversified portfolio.
the beta of the market is 1.
Beta greater than 1 is more volatile than the market.
What is the Coefficient of Determination?
R2 – square the correlation coefficient
Measures how much return is due to the market
If R2 is over 70%, then beta is an appropriate measure of risk
- this means you are an appropriate measure of risk
-if less than 70%, you’ll want to use something else to measure risk
What is the Capital Market Line?
What is the capital asset pricing model?
AKA SML
A security is _____ if it is over the SML
Undervalued
How do you measure risk of a portfolio?
Use the standard deviation of a portfolio formula on the formula sheet.
W = weighting
σ = standard deviation
Exam tip: take the average of the standard deviation. Eliminate answers above this average because
What is the information ratio?
IR = α /σ (On formula sheet)
A relative risk-adjustmed performance measure
The higher the better
Measure the excess return and consistency provided by a fund manager
What is the Treynor Ratio?
Measures reward achieved relative to risk (beta risk)
Just like Sharpe but uses beta as the denominator
The higher the better
Because it uses beta, r2 needs to be > .7
What is the Sharpe Ratio?
Provides a measure of portfolio performance
The higher the Sharpe the better
Does not measure a portfolio managers performance against the market
Relative risk measure (must compare it to something)
What is Jensens Alpha?
Measures how well a portfolio manager performed based on the risk that they took.
The higher the alpha the better
Negative alpha means fund underperformed the market
Absolute measure - so doesn’t need to be compared to anything but itself
What are Sharpe aand Treynor ratios?
Relative performance measure. Use Sharpe when r2 is low- Sharpe doesn’t use beta. Use Treynor
What is Arbitrage Pricing Theory?
tries to take advantage of pricing imbalances
Does not use beta or standard deviation!!!
Attempts to take advantage of pricing imbalances
It’s a multi factor model
Inputs are factors such as inflation and expected returns and their sensitivity to those factors.
What is holding period return?
NOT a compounded rate of return
No consideration of time
Might be part of a margin return question but otherwise not that useful
This is on the exam sheet
What is the effective annual rate?
On formula sheet
What is the Geometric Average?
On formula sheet
What is weighted average?
If NPV is 0, do. you invest?
yes
What is the difference between time weighted and dollar weighted return?
- Time weighted is used by mutual fund wholesalers
What is the dividend discount model?
In formula sheet
measures intrinsic value
r = the required rate of return for the stock
g = growth rate of stock
In the dividend discount model, if the required rate of return decreases, the stock price will…
If the dividend is expected to increase, the stock price will..
Increase
increase
What is the expected rate of return?
What is the PE ratio?
PE = stock price / earnings per share
Represents how much an investor will pay for each dollar of company earnings
companies that grow fast have a high P/E ratio - tech
What is the dividend payout ratio?
Dividend payout ratio = common stock dividend / earnings per share
The higher the dividend payout ratio, typically the more mature the company. In early years companies are spending on growth so paying a smaller dividend.
What is Return on Equity?
Earnings per share / stockholders equity per share
Stockholders equity per share = total equity / shares outstanding
A typical ROE is between 18-25%
What is Dividend Yield?
Dividend per share / stock price
What is the random walk theory?
the behavior of stocks resembles a random walk. They are “unpredictable”
Everything you need is priced in
Go for index funds
What is the weak form of efficient market hypothesis?
Historical info will not help investors achieve above average returns. Rejects technical analysis.
..but can be beat by fundamental analysis or insider knowledge (not insider trading)
What is the semi-strong form of efficient market hypothesis
Historical AND public info will not help investors
Technical and fundamental analysis are already priced in so they don’t work
Only insider info might give you advanatage
What is the strong form of efficient market hypothesis?
There’s nothing you can do
Historical, public, and private info will not help investors
Rejects technical, fundamental, AND inside info.
Just go with an index
It’s efficient! even if you’re cheating with insider info
What are market anomalies?
January effect
Small firm effect
Value line effect
P/E effect
AFC/NFC
Presidential Elections
Market anomalies do not support the EMH or any of the three forms
What is an active investment strategy?
markets are inefficient
Investors can achieve above average returns through active investing
What is a EE bond?
Used to be in paper but stopped this in 2011. Were sold at a 50% discount
Now they are treasury direct at 100% par
$10k max annually
Covers qualified post secondary only - college and grad
Qualified education expenses include tuition but not room and board or books
30 year max maturity. Guaranteed to double in value in 20 years
To qualify for excluding accrued interest from taxes
- owner must be at least 24 at time of purchase
- child can be named as POD bene
- Magi phase out
What is a I bond?
Used to be in paper but stopped this in 2011. Were sold at a 50% discount
Now they are treasury direct at 100% par
$10k max annually
Covers qualified post secondary only - college and grad
Qualified education expenses include tuition but not room and board or books
30 year max maturity. Guaranteed to double in value in 20 years
To qualify for excluding accrued interest from taxes
- owner must be at least 24 at time of purchase
- child can be named as POD bene
- Magi phase out
> Single $85,800 to $100,800
>MFJ/QW taxpayer - $128,650 to $150
What are maturity periods of treasury bills, notes, and bonds?
Bills: < 1 year
Notes: 2-10 years
Bonds: 10+ years
3 month t bill is the risk free rate