Investment Planning 17% (29 Questions) Flashcards
Purchasing Power Risk *Inflation Risk
(Systematic Risk)
Potential loss of the purchasing power of an investment due to inflation
Reinvestment Risk
(Systematic Risk)
Proceeds available for reinvestment must be reinvested at a lower rate of return than that of the investment vehicle that generated the proceeds
Interest Rate Risk
(Systematic Risk)
Value of equity securities may be affected by the change in interest rate risk
Market Risk
(Systematic Risk)
Risk of volatility in the overall marketplace
Affected by overall change in economy
Exchange Rate Currency Risk
(Systematic Risk)
The risk that a change in the relationship between the value of the dollar and the value of the foreign currency during the period of investment will negatively affect the investor’s return
Systematic Risk v. Unsystematic Risk
Systematic:
1. Risk w/ entire market
2. non-diversifiable risk
Unsystematic Risk:
1. Diversifiable risk.
2. The risk that affects only a specific company, country or sector & its securities
Business Risk
(Unsystematic Risk)
The uncertainty of operating income
Financial Risk
(Unsystematic Risk)
Indicates the degree to which the company uses debt/leverage to finance its operations. It increases as a company increases the percentage of debt used in its capital structure.
Default Risk
(Unsystematic Risk)
The risk that a borrower will be unable to service its debt obligations
Political Risk
(Unsystematic Risk)
The risk that the political or economic climate of a country will negatively affect an investment
Investment Mgr. Risk
(Unsystematic Risk)
The risk associated with the skills and philosophy of the individual manager of an investment fund or account
Liquidity & Marketability Risk
(Unsystematic Risk)
Liquidity:
The ability to sell an investment quickly and at a competitive price, with no loss of principal and little price concession
Marketability:
The ability to find a ready market where the investor may sell the investment
Tax Risk
(Unsystematic Risk)
The risk that taxation of investment gains or losses will negatively affect investment return
Normal Distribution
- Bell shaped curve
Arithmetic Mean:
sum of observations ÷ the total number of observations
Median:
Midpoint (arranged smallest –> largest)
Mode:
observation w/ greatest frequency
Symmetric Distribution
Mean, median, & mode are EQUAL
50% chance that observation will fall to right of the mean & 50% chance that observation will fall to the left of the mean.
Right Tail (+) skewed
- Mean highest of 3 measures
Left To Right:
Mode- Median- Mean
- More outliers to the right of the mean than to the left.
Left Tail (-) skewed
- Mode is largest of the three measures
Mean-Median-Mode
- More outliers to the left of the mean than to the right.
Kurtosis
(more or less peaked than normal distribution)
Measures whether a distribution is more or less peaked than a normal distribution
Lepokurtic
(more peaked)
MORE peaked than a normal distribution
- More observations clustered closely around the mean
*For investors who want to minimize VOLATILITY in their portfolio
Platykurtic
(less peaked)
LESS peaked than a normal distribution
- More observations w/ large deviations from the mean
Lognormal Probability Distribution
One in which the series of observations is skewed to the LEFT of the arithmetic mean
A lognormal probability distribution implies that there is a greater than 50% chance that an observation selected at random will fall to the left of the mean
Indicating performance that is less than expected or predicted
Covariance
Measure extent to which two variables move together (+) or (-).
Correlation Coefficient
*Combining not perfectly correlated securities will reduce portfolio risk
Measures extent two returns on any two securities are related.
-1.0 = Move in opposite directions ↑ ↓
+1.0 = Movement is identical ↑ ↑
0.0 = Security movements are unrelated
Beta
Measure of systematic risk
Beta > 1 = more risky than the market
Beta < 1 = less risky than market
Market Beta = 1
Portfolio beta is calculated by weighting the individual assets betas and adding the results
Portfolio Weighted Beta
=
Total Product (#)
÷
Total FMV(#)
Standard Deviation
The dispersion of outcomes around the mean.
The greater the SD = the greater the risk
68% w/in 1 SD of mean
95% w/in 2 SD of mean
99% w/in 3 SD of mean
Simple Return
Interest = principle x interest rate x time
John borrows $1000 for 2 years @ 8%. What is interest charged.
1000 X .08 X 2 = $160.
*John would ultimately pay $1160 back to lender
Compound Interest
Interest earned on interest
John invest $1000 for 2 years @ 8%
PV: 1000
N: 2
I/YR: 8
Solve for FV: $1166.40
Holding Period Return
Total return of an investment for the given period over which the investment is owned
HPR = ending value - beginning value (+ or -) cash flows ÷ beginning value
Arithmetic Mean
Sum of observations
÷
total # of observation
Expected Rate of Return
Probability x single period rate of return
Probability (30%)
Single Per. Return (.50)
= 15%
Inflation Adjusted Rate of Return
[(1 + Rate of Return) ÷ (1 + Inflation Rate) -1] X 100
Nominal Annual Percentage Rate
(Compounded not involved)
Yearly cost expressed as a %
*If lender advertises 1.25% monthly, the APR = (1.25% X 12 mos)= 15%
Tax Adjusted Return
TAR= return x( 1- marginal tax bracket)
Ex:
Allision: 32% tax bracket
Corp Bond Coupon: 7%
7% X (1-.32) = 4.76%
Time Weighted Return v. Dollar Weighted Return
Time Weighted:
1. Measure return w/o considering w/d’s or deposits
2. Preferred method for portfolio mgr. performance
Dollar Weighted:
1. Provides assessment of actual performance including w/d’s and deposits.
2. CF method for this problem.
Tax Adjusted Return
TAR = realized return X (1- marginal tax bracket)
Ex:
Allison 32% tax bracket
Corp Bond coupon 7%
TAR = [7% X (1-.32)]
TAR = 4.76%
Risk Adjusted Returns
RAR = Actual Rtn ÷ Beta
Asset Allocation Client Considerations for Advisor
T-H-R-E
Client’s
Tax Situation
Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Economic Forecast
Strategic Asset Allocation
- Appropriate allocation based on the long-term financial goals of the client.
- Mirrors mkt index that seeks low cost means of generating long term returns w/ minimal turnover
Rebalance 1-2x/yr