Investment Planning Flashcards
Coefficient of Variation
CV = std dev /avg return
The higher the coefficient of variation the more risky an investment per unit of return.
Kurtosis
Leptokurtic= high peak and fat tails (higher chances of extreme events)
Platykurtic=low peak and thin tails (lower chance of extreme events)
Covariance
Measure of relative risk
Cov=std dev asset A times std dev asset B times correlation coefficient of Assets A and B
Correlation coefficient
Correlation ranges -1 to +1
Cor coefficient = covariance of Assets A and B/(std dev A* std dev B)
- correlation of +1, positively correlated
- correlation of 0, uncorrelated
- correlation of -1, negative correlation
Beta coefficient
-Is a measure of individual security’s volatility relative to mkt
-The greater the Beta, the greater the systemic risk of that security.
- equals security risk premium/market risk premium
Standard deviation
- measure of total risk
Coefficient of determination or r2
= is a measure of how much return is due to market
-If r 2 is >70% use beta
-If r 2 is <70% use std dev
Market risk premium
Return of the market rm minus Risk free rate of return Rx
Security Market Line vs Capital Market Line
-SML uses beta as it’s measure of risk
-CML uses std dev as its measure of risk
-If port provides a return above the SML, security is undervalued and should be purchased
-If port provides a return below the SML, security is overvalued and should NOT be purchased
Optimal Portfolio
Is the point at which an investor’s indifference curve is tangent to the efficient frontier
Holding Period Return
= (Selling price - purchase price)+/- cash flows divided by purchase price or equity invested
Internal Rate of Return
-NPV = PV of cash flows - Initial Cost
-If NPV is positive, then IRR>Discount rate
-If NPV is zero, then IRR = Discount rate
-If NPV is negative, then IRR<Discount rate
Mutual funds report returns
-on a time weighted basis. Investors are concerned about dollar weighted returns.
Expected Rate of return
r = D1/P +g
Where:
r = The required rate of return.
g = The dividend growth rate.
D1 = Next period’s dividend.
P = is market price
If D1 is not provided, you can use D0, which is this year’s dividend multiplied by the growth rate provided. D(1+g).
-If the required rate of return decreases, the stock price will increase
-If the dividend is expected to increase, the stock price will increase
-If the required rate of return increases, the stock price will decrease
-If the dividend is expected to decrease, the stock price will decrease
Dividend Payout Ratio
DPR = common stock dividend/Earnings per share
Determines percentage of earnings paid out in dividends to shareholders.
-the higher the dividend payout ratio, the more mature the company
-a high dividend payout ratio may also indicate the possibility of a dividend being reduced
-a low dividend payout ratio may indicate that the dividend may increase, thereby increasing the stock price