Investment Appraisal Flashcards
Investment appraisal
Evaluating the profitability or desirability of an investment project
Net cash flow calculation
inflow - outflow
Payback period
length of time it takes for the net cash inflows to pay back the original capital cost of the investment
Payback period calculation
Payback period = (income required / next year net cash flow) x 12
- Calculate cumulative cash flow
Cumulative = the next cash flow + cumulative cash flow
*start with year 0
Advantages of payback period (4)
- Quick and easy to calculate
- Easy to understood
- The result can be used to eliminate projects that give returns too far into the future
- Useful for business where liquidity is of greater significance than overall profitability
Disadvantages of payback period (3)
- Does not make sure the overall profitability of a project (ignores all the cash flow after the payback period)
- This concentration on the short term leads businesses to reject very profitable investments just because they take some time to repay the capital
- Does not consider the timing of the cash flow during the payback period (external factors: economic recession)
ARR - Average rate of return
Measures the annual profitability of an investment as a percentage of the initial investment
ARR calculation
(annual profit (net cash flow) / initial cost ) x 100
Average profit: (total profit - cost of investment) / no. years
Advantages of ARR (4)
- Uses all of the cash flows - unlike the payback
- Focuses on profitability, which is the central objective of many business decision
- The result is easily understood and easy to compare with other projects that may be competing for the limited investment funds available
- The result can be quickly assessed against the predetermined criterion rate of the business
Disadvantages of ARR (3)
- Ignores the timing of the cash flows (can result in two project with similar ARR, but one could pay back more quickly than another)
- Later cash flow are less likely to be accurate are incorporated in the calculation (as all the cash flows are included)
- The time value of money is ignored as the cash flows have not been discounted
NPV - Net present value
Today’s value of the estimated cash flows resulting from an investment
Advantages of NPV (3)
- Considers both the timing of cash flows and the size of them in arriving at an appraisal
- The rate of discount can be varied to allow for different economic circumstances. (increased if interest rate is expected to rise )
- Considers the time value of money and takes the opportunity cost of money into account
Disadvantages of NPV (3)
- Complex to calculate and to explain (to non numerate managers)
- The final result depends greatly on the rate of discount used, and expectations about interest rates may be inaccurate
- Can only be compared to other project only if the initial capital cost is the same. (because the method does not provide a percentage rate of return on the investment)
IRR - Internal rate of return
The rate of discount that yields a net present value of zero - the higher the IRR, the more profitable the investment of the project
Criterion rates of levels
The minimum levels (maximum for payback period) set by management for investment - appraisal results for a project to be accepted