Investment Appraisal Flashcards

1
Q

Name the 4 Investment Appraisal Techniques?

A
  • Net Present Value (NPV)
  • Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
  • Payback Period
  • Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) or Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)
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2
Q

What is NPV?

A
  • NPV is present value of all future cash flows discounted back to today’s values (time = 0)
  • Investment decision rule - positive NPV indicates a project is worth undertaking
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3
Q

How to change –ve NPV to +ve NPV?

A
  • Change cash flows – reduce initial investment
  • Reduce WACC
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4
Q

What is Internal Rate of Return (IRR)?

A
  • IRR, or yield, of a project is the discount rate which gives a zero NPV
  • IRR is the maximum cost of funding you could afford to pay to undertake a project
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5
Q

What are issues with IRR?

A
  • Scale of Projects: IRR gives no impression of the scale of a project
  • Competing Projects: Even with projects of similar scale higher IRR does not mean higher NPV at all discount rates
  • Varying Cash Flows: Multiple changes in cash flow can lead to multiple IRRs
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6
Q

What is Payback Period?

A
  • Time taken to for net cash flow from a project to repay entire initial outlay
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7
Q

Advantages and disadvantage of pay back period?

A

Advantages

  • Simple screen to eliminate poor projects
  • Eliminates long payback period that would put strain on company’s liquidity

Disadvantages

  • Ignores cash received after payback date
  • Ignores time value of money

Discounted Payback Period

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8
Q

What is ROCE or ARR?

A
  • Also known as accounting rate of return (ARR)
  • Annual ARR during life of project = EBIT/Average Capital Employed
  • Average ARR over life of project = Average EBIT/Average Capital Employed
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9
Q

Advantages/Disadvantages ARR or ROCE?

A

Advantages

  • Simple to calculate
  • Uses accounting numbers rather than cash flows

Disadvantage

  • Based on profits which can be “managed” more easily than cash
  • Ignores time value of money
  • Older projects with low net book values can show very high returns which may deter re-investment
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10
Q

What are relevant Cash Flows?

A
  • Cash flow NOT accounting income
  • Incremental cash flows ONLY
  • Capital budgeting only considers additional cash flows that a project generates
  • Free cash flow is cash available for investors
  • Free cash flow = after tax operating income+ depreciation
    • capital expenditure
    • change in working capital
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11
Q

What are Components of Cash Flow?

A

INCLUDE

  • Initial capital investment
  • Terminal value of initial capital investment
  • Investment in working capital

EXCLUDE

  • Depreciation is a non cash expense
  • Interest expense is already included in WACC
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12
Q

What are incremental Cash Flows?

A
  • Must identify difference between cash flows if firm doesn’t undertakes project and cash flows if it does undertake the project
  • Sunk Costs – cash flow that occurs before consideration of project
  • Opportunity Costs – cash flow that could have been generated from an asset that the firm already owns
  • Externalities – impact on other areas of firms business – will a new product negatively impact demand for existing products
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13
Q

Does WACC include inflation cost?

A
  • Cash flows should generally include inflation
  • Different cash flows inflate at different rates.
  • WACC is nominal - includes inflation
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14
Q

Impacts of International Capital Budgeting?

A
  • Differing project and parent cash flows due to difficulties in remitting cash to the parent and FX controls
  • FX rates may not be constant throughout a project’s life
  • Different tax rates may apply in host country and parent’s country
  • Decide whether to use home currency or local currency
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15
Q

What is the project discount rate?

A
  • Hurdle rate vs WACC
  • Companies adjust WACC upwards before using it as discount rate
    • Counter over optimism of managers
    • Compensate for mandatory projects with –ve NPV
    • Reflect option value of delaying project
    • Possible future changes to cost of debt and/or equity
    • Relative project risk
  • UK companies typically add 1%
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16
Q

Why multiple hurdle rates?

A
  • Large or small projects
  • Projects with risk profiles higher or lower than norm
  • Mandatory HSE projects
  • Project crucial to core strategy
  • Useful but non essential projects
17
Q

What is Beta equity?

A
  • Two companies with same operating risk but different capital structures will have different βequity
  • Operating risk of a company (βasset) is the weighted average of βequity and βdebt
  • If operating risk measured by βasset remains the same βequity can change if gearing changes
18
Q

What is Beta asset?

A
  • Companies operating in the same industry have the same operating or business risk
  • Two companies with same operating risk but different capital structures will have different βequity
  • Operating risk of a company (βasset) is the weighted average of βequity and βdebt
  • If operating risk measured by βasset remains the same βequity can change if gearing changes
19
Q

What is the Profitability Index?

A
  • Company must choose between competing projects
  • Profitability Index = NPV/Investment
20
Q

Name 4 methods Adjusting Project AppraisalMethods for Risk?

A
  • Expected Net Present Value
  • Sensitivity Analysis
  • Scenario Analysis
  • Monte Carlo Simulation
21
Q

How to calculate Terminal Value?

A

TV = Post Tax Cash Flow for next year / (WACC – growth rate)

(Gordon’s growth model: equation 18)