Investment Appraisal Flashcards
What is investment appraisal
Investment appraisal is the process of using forecast cash flows to assess the financial attractiveness of an investment decision, linked with a consideration of non- financial factors.
Average rate of return steps
Add all net cash flows together, minus initial outlay, divide by number of years, divide by initial investment x 100
Limitation of paypack period
Assumes quicker payment is best so less risk but may not turn out to be most profitable in long term- does not consider time value of money. The payback method does not give a complete analysis as to the attractiveness of projects that receive cash flows after the end of the payback period. And it does not consider the profitability of a project nor its return on investment.
Why NPV is better
money tied up in an investment
has an opportunity cost. This can be accounted for by discounting the
value of future cash flows to allow for a given percentage return that could
be achieved if the money were available now and generated that return.
Discount factor explained
Considering the likely rate of interest that will be missed out on by tying
money up in the investment allows the choice of a discount factor to use,
for example a 10% discount factor allows for a return of 10%. Bigger better, definite returns
How to work out NPV
Times by discount factor, add all up then minus initial investment
What does NPV show
A positive NPV shows that a project generates a greater return on its
initial outlay than simply putting the money in the bank at an interest
rate equal to the percentage discount factor used. The higher the figure,
the more profitable it will
What does PaYback encourage
Short termism- the tendency to focus on achieving short-term objectives by taking decisions that may preclude better, longer-term options.
Some advantages of payback
Easy to calculate and understand • May be more accurate as it ignores longer-term forecasts which may be less accurate •Takes into account the timing of cash flows • Very useful for businesses with weak cash flow
Main disadvantages of payback summarised
Tells us nothing about profitability, Ignores what happens after payback is achieved, May encourage a short-termist attitude
ARR Advantage
Clear focus on profitability, Considers cash flows over the whole return project's lifetime, Easy to compare with other measures of return expressed as percentages, such as interest rates
ARR disadvantages
Ignores the timing of cash flows therefore values far distant inflows
as much as more immediate inflows,
which are worth’ more, Including forecast data from far in the
future may reduce the reliability of the
forecasts and therefore results
NPV advantages
Takes the opportunity cost of money
into account,
Considers both amount and timing of
cash flows to indicate profitability. TIME VALUE OF MONEY AND DECISION-MAKING
NPV disadvantages
Complex to calculate and
communicate (difficult concept to grasp), Meaning is often misunderstood, Only comparable between different projects if the initial outlay is the same, NPV also assumes the discount rate is the same over the life of the investment or project. Discount rates, like interest rates, can and do change year-to-year. NPV assumes you can accurately assess and predict future cash flows.
Non-financial factors to consider when making a decision
Corporate objectives, company finances, confidence in the data, social resopnsibilities